Cincinnati Reds vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 8/29/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs Miami Marlins

Date: Sunday, August 29, 2021

Location: Marlins Park in Miami, FL

TV: Bally Sports Florida

Odds/Point Spread: Cincinnati (-185) Miami (+140)

Tyler Mahle and the Cincinnati Reds (71-59, 2nd in NL Central) travel to Marlins Park on Sunday where they'll take on the Miami Marlins (53-76, 5th in NL East). The moneyline on this game has the Reds priced at -185 and the Marlins are at +140. The over/under is set at 7.5. The expected starting pitchers are Tyler Mahle and Jesus Luzardo.

As a team, the Cincinnati Reds are notching 5.0 runs per game, which puts them at 5th in baseball. They have a total of 653 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .331. The Reds have tallied 236 two-baggers as a team and have knocked 181 balls out of the park. They have accumulated 627 runs batted in as well as 1,101 hits for the year, while their batting average is sitting at .251. Cincinnati has a slugging rate of .434 and have been called out on strikes 1,173 times, while drawing a walk on 450 occasions.

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The Reds have a team earned run average of 4.36 over the course of the season (16th in the league), and they have rung up 1,232 hitters. They have a K/BB ratio of 2.36 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.36. Reds pitchers have relinquished 162 home runs and also 610 runs in total (19th in the league). They have walked 521 opposing batters and their FIP is 4.36 as a team so far this season.

Reds relief pitchers have entered the game with players on base 141 times and also have had 160 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen are sitting with 63 holds this season (16th in the league). The Reds bullpen have accumulated a save percentage of 59.0% and has entered the game in 126 save situations. They have accumulated 36 saves over the course of the season and have blown 25 of their 61 chances to save the game. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 215 runners on the campaign and 38.6% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. The Reds have dispatched 466 relief pitchers to the mound for the year.

The Cincinnati Reds have 3,476 putouts on the campaign, as well as 1,141 assists and 70 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .985 which has them sitting 14th in MLB, and they have turned 851 double plays. The Reds have converted 69.1% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 10,428 innings on the field, which has them sitting at 21st in MLB.

Mahle has thrown 450 frames and has accounted for 481 punch outs during his pro baseball career. Mahle (23-29 career record) has a FIP of 4.44 while he has gone up against 1,951 opposing hitters in the major leagues. His earned run average is 4.37 (219 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.336. He has given up 436 hits (8.7 hits per 9 innings) with 166 free passes.

The Marlins have a team slugging % of .376 and they score 3.96 runs per contest (27th in baseball). They have put up 190 two-baggers, while taking a walk 372 times and scoring 511 runs. Miami has recorded 126 long balls this season as well as 487 RBIs. They have struck out on 1,242 instances (3rd in MLB) and have 1,012 base hits. The Miami Marlins have an on-base percentage of .303 as well as a batting average of .236 for the year.

The Marlins are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.271 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.05 as a pitching staff this season. Their K/BB ratio is 2.57 (1,086 strikeouts vs 423 bases on balls). They have a ranking of 13th in the league as a staff in total hits allowed with 1,012. They have yielded 130 homers and they surrender 4.41 runs per 9 innings (14th in MLB). The Miami pitching staff have surrendered 553 runs on the campaign while holding a team ERA of 3.95 (496 earned runs conceded).

Miami has had relievers enter the game in 47 save opportunities and they have earned 24 saves. They are ranked 28th in the league holding a save rate of 51.1%, and they have dispatched 474 relievers onto the diamond on the campaign. Their relievers have taken the field 137 times in high leverage situations and also on 95 occasions with runners on. Miami bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 37.9% out of their 145 inherited runners. With 108 save situations, the Marlins have accrued 61 holds and also 23 blown saves.

The Miami Marlins have turned 117 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .981 (29th in the majors). The Marlins have recorded 1,158 assists, 88 errors and have notched a total of 3,387 putouts so far this year. Out of their 10,161 innings played, the Marlins have earned a defensive efficiency of 69.5% (18th in MLB).

During his career, Luzardo has given up 140 hits while he has totaled 135 K's in 131 innings pitched. Luzardo (7-9 career win-loss mark) holds a 5.62 earned run average and has allowed 9.6 hits per 9 innings. He has surrendered a total of 82 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.470 and a FIP of 5.1. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.55 and he has gone up against 581 hitters in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's baseball game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Cincinnati (-185)

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