Cincinnati Reds vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 8/28/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs Miami Marlins

Date: Saturday, August 28, 2021

Location: Marlins Park in Miami, FL

TV: Bally Sports Florida

Odds/Point Spread: Cincinnati (+105) Miami (-132)

Sandy Alcantara and the Miami Marlins (53-75, 5th in NL East) play the Cincinnati Reds (70-59, 2nd in NL Central) at Marlins Park on Saturday. The Reds open this game at +105 while the Marlins are coming in at -132. The over/under opens at 7.5. The pitchers taking the mound will be Vladimir Gutierrez and Sandy Alcantara.

As a team, the Cincinnati Reds are scoring 5.0 runs per game, which has them at 6th in MLB. They have a total of 647 runs scored and have an on-base percentage of .332. The Reds have earned 231 two-baggers as a squad and have knocked 179 balls out of the park. They have 623 runs batted in as well as 1,092 hits on the campaign, while their average at the plate comes in at .251. Cincinnati is slugging .433 and have been called out on strikes 1,167 times, while being walked on 449 occasions.

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Reds pitchers have conceded 162 home runs in addition to 610 total runs (20th in MLB). They have walked 518 players from the other team and their FIP is 4.37 as a unit for the season. They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.36 and the pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.37. The Reds hold a team ERA of 4.39 for the year (17th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 1,225 batters.

Reds relief pitchers have come into the game with runners on 141 times in addition to having 160 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have a total of 63 holds so far this year (16th in the league). The Reds bullpen have compiled a save rate of 59.0% and has entered the game in 126 save situations. They have earned 36 saves this year and have missed out on 25 of their 61 save opportunities. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 215 runners this season and 38.6% of those runners crossed home plate. The Reds have sent 465 relief pitchers to the hill so far this year.

The Cincinnati Reds have accounted for 3,449 putouts for the season, as well as 1,132 assists and 70 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .985 which has them ranked 14th in baseball, and they have turned 844 double plays. The Reds have transformed 69.0% of balls in play into outs out of their 10,347 innings, which has them sitting at 22nd in baseball.

Gutierrez has taken the mound for 93 innings and is sitting with 73 strikeouts so far in his pro baseball career. Gutierrez (9-4 win-loss record in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 4.78 and he has gone up against 391 batters in the major leagues. His earned run average is 3.68 (38 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.290. He has given up 85 hits (8.2 hits per 9 innings) with 35 walks.

The Marlins hold a slugging % of .377 and they are recording 3.99 runs per game (27th in the league). They have recorded 187 two-baggers, while walking 369 times and scoring 511 runs. Miami has 126 home runs on the season to go along with 487 runs batted in. They have been rung up on 1,235 occasions (3rd in MLB) and have notched a total of 1,006 base hits. The Miami Marlins hold an OBP of .303 and a batting average of .236 on the campaign.

The Miami pitching staff have allowed 547 runs on the year while holding an ERA of 3.95 (492 earned runs yielded). They have relinquished 128 HR's and they allow 4.40 runs per 9 innings (13th in baseball). The Marlins have a WHIP of 1.272 and have a FIP of 4.04 as a team this year. Their K/BB ratio sits at 2.56 (1,080 strikeouts vs 422 walks). They have a ranking of 13th in MLB as a staff in total hits surrendered with 1,003.

Miami relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 37.9% out of their 145 inherited base runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 137 times in high leverage situations and on 95 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 108 save situations, the Marlins have accrued 61 holds and 23 blown saves. They rank 28th in baseball with a save percentage of 51.1%, and they have dispatched 472 relievers to the hill on the season. Miami has had relief pitchers take the mound in 47 save chances and they have tallied 24 saves.

In their 10,080 innings on the diamond, the Marlins have a defensive efficiency of 69.5% (19th in the majors). The Miami Marlins have turned 116 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .981 (28th in professional baseball). The Marlins have 1,149 assists, 86 errors and have accounted for 3,360 putouts during this campaign.

Thus far in his career, Alcantara has conceded 380 hits while accumulating 376 K's in 440 innings pitched. Alcantara (18-31 career win-loss mark) holds a 3.58 earned run average while allowing 7.8 hits per nine innings. He has allowed a total of 175 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.252 and a FIP of 4.2. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.20 and he has faced 1,843 opposing hitters thus far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game ATS?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Cincinnati (+105)

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