Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago Cubs Prediction, 9/7/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago Cubs

Date: Tuesday, September 7, 2021

Location: Wrigley Field in Chicago, IL

TV: Marquee Sports Network

Odds/Point Spread: Cincinnati (-125) Chicago (+100)

Adrian Sampson and the Chicago Cubs (63-75, 4th in NL Central) host the Cincinnati Reds (73-65, 2nd in NL Central) at Wrigley Field on Tuesday. The Reds open this game at -125 while the Cubs are priced at +100. The over/under opens at 8. The expected starting pitchers are Wade Miley and Adrian Sampson.

Cincinnati is slugging .432 and have struck out 1,246 times, while drawing a walk on 477 occasions. They have amassed 658 runs batted in as well as 1,159 hits on the campaign, while their batting average sits at .250. The Reds have hit 250 doubles as a team and have hit 189 baseballs out of the park. They have earned 685 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .330. As a unit, the Cincinnati Reds are scoring 5.0 runs per outing, which is 7th in the league.

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Reds pitchers have conceded 176 home runs and also 651 runs (19th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 540 opposing players and their FIP sits at 4.38 as a team this year. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.40 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.37. The Reds hold a team ERA of 4.40 this season (18th in the league), and they have rung up 1,298 batters.

The Reds relievers have accumulated a save rate of 59.7% and has stepped onto the mound in 129 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 219 base runners this season with 39.3% of those runners ended up scoring. Reds pitchers have entered the game with runners on base 144 times in addition to having 161 appearances in high leverage situations. The Reds have sent 491 relief pitchers to the mound on the campaign. The relief pitchers have accumulated 65 holds on the campaign (16th in the league). They have earned 37 saves on the campaign and have blown 25 of their 62 save opportunities.

The Cincinnati Reds have notched a total of 3,674 putouts for the season, as well as 1,209 assists and 74 errors. Their fielding rate is at .985 which ranks 12th in baseball, and have accumulated 897 double plays. The Reds have turned 68.9% of baseballs in play into outs out of 11,022 innings, which has them ranked 23rd in baseball.

Miley (96-90 career win-loss mark) has earned a FIP of 4.09 and he has gone up against 6,717 hitters during his time in the major leagues. He has allowed 1,608 hits (9.2 hits per nine innings) and has had 546 walks. His ERA is 4.12 (717 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.375. Miley has taken the ball for 1,566 frames and has tallied 1,241 strikeouts during his career.

The Cubs hold a slugging % of .403 and they are scoring 4.31 runs per contest (21st in baseball). They have recorded 187 doubles, while walking 418 times as well as putting up 595 runs. Chicago has recorded 180 home runs this season to go along with 564 RBIs. They have been rung up on 1,360 occasions (1st in baseball) and have a total of 1,051 base knocks. The Chicago Cubs are sitting with a team on-base percentage of .307 and a batting average of .233 for the season.

The Cubs are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.380 with a FIP of 4.80 as a pitching staff this year. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.35 (1,182 strikeouts against 504 walks). They rank 23rd in the league as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 1,161. They have conceded 198 dingers and they relinquish 5.17 runs per 9 innings (25th in MLB). The Chicago pitching staff have relinquished 693 runs over the course of the season and come in with a team ERA of 4.68 (627 earned runs given up).

Chicago bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 33.5% out of 233 inherited runners. Their relievers have come in 142 times in high leverage situations and on 145 occasions with runners on base. Sitting with 116 save situations, the Cubs have earned 68 holds in addition to 12 blown saves. They rank 1st in the league with a save rate of 74.5%, and they have sent 511 bullpen pitchers to the mound on the campaign. Chicago has had bullpen pitchers enter the game in 47 save opportunities and they have tallied 35 saves.

The Chicago Cubs have turned 114 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .985 (11th in MLB). The Cubs have racked up 1,317 assists, 74 errors and have accumulated 3,619 putouts this year. In their 10,857 innings played, the Cubs have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 69.4% (20th in the majors).

In his MLB career, Sampson has surrendered 198 hits while earning 129 K's in 164 innings. He has allowed 99 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.467 and being the owner of a FIP of 5.8. His K/BB ratio is 3.00 and he has gone up against 728 opposing batters in his MLB career. Sampson (6-13 win-loss mark in his career) holds a 5.42 earned run average and has conceded 10.8 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Cincinnati (-125)

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