Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago Cubs Prediction, 7/28/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago Cubs

Date: Wednesday, July 28, 2021

Location: Wrigley Field in Chicago, IL

TV: Marquee Sports Network

Odds/Point Spread: Cincinnati (+100) Chicago (-125)

Tyler Mahle and the Cincinnati Reds (51-49, 2nd in NL Central) head to Wrigley Field on Wednesday where they'll meet the Chicago Cubs (50-51, 4th in NL Central). The Cubs open this contest at -125 while the Reds are priced at +100. The O/U opens at 9. The expected starting pitchers are Tyler Mahle and Zach Davies.

The Reds have earned 169 two-baggers as a unit and have smacked 124 baseballs out of the park. Cincinnati has a slugging % of .414 and have been called out on strikes 897 times, while drawing a walk on 348 occasions. As a squad, the Cincinnati Reds are recording 4.8 runs per game, which puts them at 8th in the league. They have accumulated 459 RBI's as well as 841 hits so far this year, and their average at the plate is .249. They have tallied 482 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .331.

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Reds pitchers have yielded 133 long balls and 502 total runs (27th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 418 opposing hitters and their FIP is 4.48 as a team for the season. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.32 and their pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.40. The Reds hold a team earned run average of 4.62 so far this season (22nd in the league), and the staff has rung up 968 batters.

The Reds relief pitchers have earned a save rate of 58.0% and has come into the game in 95 save situations. The relievers have inherited 175 runners for the season and 40.6% of them ended up scoring. Reds relief pitchers have entered the contest with opponents on base 118 times and also have had 130 appearances in high leverage situations. The Reds have sent 373 relievers to the hill for the season. The relief pitchers are sitting with 43 holds so far this year (24th in MLB). They have tallied 29 saves so far this season and have missed out on 21 of their 50 chances to get a save.

The Reds have converted 68.4% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 8,028 innings, which has them ranked 24th in pro baseball. The Cincinnati Reds have accounted for 2,676 putouts so far this season, in addition to 870 assists and 62 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .983 which has them ranked 23rd in professional baseball, and have earned 643 double plays.

Mahle has pitched in 415 innings and has 444 punch outs so far in his career. Mahle (20-28 record in his career) has a FIP of 4.54 while going up against 1,804 opposing batters in the majors. His earned run average is 4.49 (207 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.359. He has conceded 403 hits (8.7 hits per nine innings) and has 161 free passes.

Chicago has accounted for 128 home runs so far this season as well as 406 runs batted in. They have put up 132 doubles, while taking a walk 323 times and earning 427 runs. The Chicago Cubs have accumulated an OBP of .307 as well as a team batting average of .227 this season. The Cubs have a SLG% of .396 and they are recording 4.23 runs per game (20th in the league). They have been rung up on 968 occasions (5th in baseball) and have 741 base hits.

The Cubs have a WHIP of 1.326 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.55 as a unit over the course of the season. Their K/BB ratio sits at 2.31 (890 strikeouts against 385 bases on balls). They rank 15th in MLB as a staff in total hits relinquished with 789. They have conceded 130 home runs and they concede 4.55 runs per 9 innings (16th in the league). The Chicago pitching staff have surrendered 447 runs on the season while holding an ERA of 4.09 (402 earned runs conceded).

Sitting with 96 save situations, the Cubs have amassed 59 holds in addition to 9 blown saves. Chicago has had bullpen pitchers take the mound in 36 save opportunities and they have come away with 27 saves. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 108 times in high leverage situations and on 106 occasions with runners on base. Chicago bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 28.7% of 171 inherited base runners. They sit at 1st in MLB holding a save rate of 75.0%, and they have dispatched 372 relievers to the hill for the season.

The Chicago Cubs have turned 81 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .985 (9th in professional baseball). The Cubs have accrued 953 assists, 56 errors and have accounted for 2,656 putouts so far this year. In their 7,968 innings on the field, the Cubs hold a efficiency on defense of 70.5% (8th in baseball).

Davies (56-42 career mark) is the owner of a 3.86 earned run average and has allowed 8.8 hits per nine innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.24 and he has faced 3,318 hitters in his MLB career. He has given up 337 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.304 and having a FIP of 4.3. In his career, Davies has allowed 772 base knocks while he has accumulated 567 K's in 786 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Cincinnati (+100)

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