Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago Cubs Prediction, 5/30/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago Cubs

Date: Sunday, May 30, 2021

Location: Wrigley Field in Chicago, IL

TV: Marquee Sports Network

Odds/Point Spread: Cincinnati (-102) Chicago (-108)

Wrigley Field is the venue where Jake Arrieta and the Chicago Cubs (28-22, 2nd in NL Central) will play the Cincinnati Reds (22-27, 4th in NL Central) on Sunday. The Reds open this matchup at -102 while the Cubs are priced at -108. The over/under is set at 8. The starting pitchers are Tyler Mahle and Jake Arrieta.

Cincinnati has a slugging % of .426 and have struck out 438 times, while taking a walk on 158 occasions. They have accumulated 225 RBI's and 413 base knocks on the campaign, and their team batting average is .248. The Reds have tallied 79 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 70 balls out of the stadium. They have 238 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .323. As a team, the Cincinnati Reds are scoring 4.9 runs per game, which is 8th in the league.

The Reds have compiled a team earned run average of 4.91 so far this season (27th in the league), and they have struck out 474 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 208 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 4.36 as a unit over the course of the season. They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.28 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.36. Reds pitchers have surrendered 62 long balls in addition to 260 runs (28th in MLB).

The Reds bullpen have recorded a save rate of 56.3% and has come into the game in 29 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 82 base runners so far this season with 42.7% of them earned a run for their team. Reds relief pitchers have entered the contest with runners on base 58 times in addition to having 46 appearances in high leverage situations. The Reds have sent 177 relief pitchers to the hill on the campaign. The relievers have 13 holds on the season (29th in MLB). They have compiled 9 saves for the season and have not converted 7 out of their 16 save chances.

The Reds have turned 69.5% of balls in play into outs out of their 3,924 innings on the field, ranking them 16th in pro baseball. The Cincinnati Reds have accumulated 1,308 putouts this year, in addition to 433 assists and 32 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .982 which has them ranked 23rd in the majors, and have a total of 309 double plays.

Mahle has taken the hill for 359 innings and has earned 369 K's during his MLB career. His earned run average is 4.55 (182 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.376. He has given up 358 hits (9.0 hits per 9 innings) and has 137 walks. Mahle (16-27 career win-loss mark) has a FIP of 4.60 while he has gone up against 1,567 batters during his time in the major leagues.

The Chicago Cubs have accumulated a team on-base percentage of .320 and a batting average of .238 this year. They have struck out on 475 instances (10th in the league) and have notched a total of 390 base hits. Chicago has hit 61 home runs this year to go along with 218 RBIs. The Cubs have a team slugging % of .403 and they average 4.54 runs per game (12th in the league). They have hit 71 doubles, while getting a free base 174 times and putting up 227 runs.

The Cubs have a WHIP of 1.313 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.27 as a team over the course of the season. They come in at 17th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 401. The Chicago pitching staff have given up 204 runs so far this year and come in with a team ERA of 3.79 (187 earned runs relinquished). They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.51 (457 strikeouts against 182 bases on balls). They have conceded 59 HR's and they concede 4.13 runs per 9 innings (10th in baseball).

Chicago relievers hold an inherited score rate of 25.6% out of 90 inherited base runners. Their relievers have come in 71 times in high leverage situations and on 59 occasions with runners on. With 63 save situations, the Cubs have earned 42 holds and also 5 blown saves. They rank 5th in baseball holding a save percentage of 75.0%, and they have sent 191 bullpen pitchers to the hill on the season. Chicago has had relief pitchers take the mound in 20 save chances and they have come away with 15 saves.

Out of their 3,999 innings played, the Cubs are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 69.6% (14th in MLB). The Chicago Cubs have twisted 47 double plays and have a fielding rate of .986 (6th in MLB). The Cubs have racked up 503 assists, 26 errors and have notched a total of 1,333 putouts over the course of the season.

Thus far in his career, Arrieta has given up 1,364 hits while he has tallied 1,388 strikeouts in 1,561 innings pitched. He has given up a total of 655 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.222 and a FIP of 3.9. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.56 and he has faced 6,487 opposing batters in his pro baseball career. Arrieta (115-83 career mark) has earned a 3.78 earned run average and has allowed 7.9 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game ATS?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Chicago (-108)

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