Cincinnati Reds vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 8/11/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs Atlanta Braves

Date: Wednesday, August 11, 2021

Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA

TV: Bally Sports South

Odds/Point Spread: Cincinnati (+100) Atlanta (-125)

Wade Miley and the Cincinnati Reds (61-52, 2nd in NL Central) go to Truist Park on Wednesday where they'll take on the Atlanta Braves (57-55, 2nd in NL East). The Reds open this contest at +100 while the Braves are priced at -125. The over/under is set at 9.5. The starting pitchers are Wade Miley and Touki Toussaint.

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The Reds have accounted for 206 doubles as a team and have hit 150 balls out of the stadium. Cincinnati is slugging .430 and have been called out on strikes 1,012 times, while taking a walk on 398 occasions. As a team, the Cincinnati Reds are earning 5.0 runs per outing, which has them sitting at 5th in the league. They have 542 runs batted in and 970 base knocks on the year, while their team batting average is at .254. They have 566 runs while having a team on-base percentage of .335.

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The Reds have compiled a team ERA of 4.50 over the course of the season (21st in the league), and the staff has rung up 1,082 hitters. Their K/BB ratio is 2.35 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.39. Reds pitchers have surrendered 149 long balls and 550 runs in total (23rd in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 461 opposing players and their FIP is 4.46 as a squad over the course of the season.

The Reds bullpen have accumulated a save rate of 58.2% and stepped onto the hill in 116 save situations. The relievers have inherited 183 base runners over the course of the season with 40.4% of them ended up scoring. Reds bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on 124 times in addition to having 144 appearances in high leverage situations. The Reds have sent 415 relief pitchers to the hill for the year. The relievers have tallied 59 holds so far this year (11th in the league). They have tallied 32 saves over the course of the season and have missed out on 23 of 55 save opportunities.

The Cincinnati Reds have a tally of 3,024 putouts for the season, in addition to 992 assists and 63 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .985 which ranks 12th in the majors, and they have twisted 730 double plays. The Reds have converted 68.8% of balls in play into outs out of 9,072 innings on the diamond, ranking them 23rd in pro baseball.

Miley (94-89 career mark) holds a FIP of 4.08 while facing 6,598 opposing batters during his time in the majors. He has allowed 1,576 hits (9.2 hits per nine innings) with 537 walks. His ERA is 4.12 (705 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.373. Miley has taken the mound for 1,539 frames and has earned 1,220 punch outs in his MLB career.

Atlanta has knocked in 157 home runs for the year as well as 518 runs batted in. They have put up 188 two-baggers, while walking 395 times as well as scoring 539 runs. The Atlanta Braves have compiled a team on-base percentage of .322 and a batting average of .242 for the season. The Braves hold a team SLG% of .427 and they have an average of 4.81 runs per contest (9th in MLB). They have been rung up on 1,017 occasions (9th in baseball) and have totaled 895 hits.

The Braves have a team WHIP of 1.293 in addition to having a FIP of 4.06 as a squad so far this year. They are currently ranked 14th in baseball as a staff in total hits surrendered with 890. The Atlanta pitching staff have conceded 474 runs on the season while having a team ERA of 4.03 (435 earned runs conceded). Their K/BB ratio sits at 2.67 (981 strikeouts vs 367 walks). They have yielded 122 homers and they yield 4.39 runs per 9 innings (13th in MLB).

Atlanta bullpen pitchers have an inherited score rate of 36.8% of 136 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 149 times in high leverage situations in addition to 90 occasions with runners on base. Sitting with 116 save situations, the Braves have recorded 74 holds in addition to 17 blown saves. They are ranked 19th in MLB holding a save percentage of 58.5%, and they have dispatched 399 relief pitchers onto the diamond this season. Atlanta has had relievers enter the game in 41 save chances and they have earned 24 saves.

In 8,748 innings on the diamond, the Braves have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 69.6% (18th in the majors). The Atlanta Braves have twisted 71 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .987 (3rd in the majors). The Braves have racked up 1,000 assists, 50 errors and have amassed 2,916 putouts for the season.

In his MLB career, Toussaint has conceded 108 base hits while accumulating 130 strikeouts in 117 innings. He has allowed 74 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.509 and being the owner of a FIP of 5.1. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 1.88 and he has gone up against 534 opposing hitters in his career. Toussaint (7-5 mark in his career) has a 5.68 earned run average and has conceded 8.3 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Cincinnati (+100)

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