Chicago Cubs vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction, 10/3/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Chicago Cubs vs St. Louis Cardinals

Date: Sunday, October 3, 2021

Location: Busch Stadium in St. Louis, MO

TV: Bally Sports Midwest

Jake Woodford and the St. Louis Cardinals (89-70, 2nd in NL Central) host the Chicago Cubs (69-90, 4th in NL Central) at Busch Stadium on Sunday.

As a squad, the Chicago Cubs are recording 4.4 runs per game, which is 21st in MLB. They are sitting with 693 runs scored while having a team OBP of .311. The Cubs have compiled 221 doubles as a team and have knocked 207 balls out of the park. They have accrued 660 runs batted in as well as 1,232 hits this season, and their batting average is sitting at .236. Chicago has a slugging percentage of .408 and have been called out on strikes 1,573 times, while drawing a walk on 490 occasions.

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Cubs pitchers have conceded 231 home runs and also 828 runs in total (28th in MLB). They have walked 585 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 4.87 as a squad on the campaign. They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.29 and their pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.40. The Cubs are sitting with a team ERA of 4.91 this year (27th in baseball), and they have struck out 1,337 hitters.

Cubs pitchers have come into the game with runners on 168 times in addition to having 170 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have accumulated 75 holds on the year (16th in MLB). The Cubs relievers have a save rate of 69.6% and has stepped onto the mound in 132 save situations. They have compiled 39 saves on the season and have blown 17 of 56 chances to save the game. The relief pitchers have inherited 276 runners for the year with 36.2% of them crossed home plate. The Cubs have dispatched 590 relief pitchers to the mound over the course of the season.

The Chicago Cubs have accounted for 4,164 putouts this year, as well as 1,530 assists and 85 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .985 which has them sitting 15th in professional baseball, and have a total of 1,020 double plays. The Cubs have turned 69.1% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 12,492 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting at 21st in pro baseball.

Mills has taken the hill for 234 frames and is sitting with 201 strikeouts in his MLB career. Mills (12-13 career mark) has earned a FIP of 4.51 while he has gone up against 995 hitters in the majors. His earned run average is 4.60 (120 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.300. He has surrendered 231 base knocks (8.9 hits per 9 innings) with 74 free passes.

The Cardinals have a team slugging percentage of .411 and they earn 4.37 runs per contest (20th in the league). They have hit 258 doubles, while taking a walk 467 times and earning 695 runs. St. Louis has accumulated 194 home runs this year and 668 RBIs. They have been called out on strikes on 1,320 instances (24th in the league) and have notched a total of 1,280 base hits. The St. Louis Cardinals have tallied an OBP of .313 in addition to a team batting average of .243 on the campaign.

The Cardinals have a WHIP of 1.298 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.29 as a staff over the course of the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.02 (1,202 strikeouts against 596 bases on balls). They rank 7th in the league as a staff in total hits conceded with 1,211. They have surrendered 149 dingers and they give up 4.27 runs per 9 innings (10th in the league). The St. Louis pitching staff have given up 660 runs so far this year while holding a team ERA of 3.97 (614 earned runs surrendered).

St. Louis has called on relievers to take the mound in 69 save opportunities and they have recorded 50 saves. They are ranked 1st in MLB holding a save percentage of 72.5%, and they have sent 546 bullpen pitchers onto the diamond on the campaign. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 159 times in high leverage situations and on 165 occasions with base runners. St. Louis relievers have an inherited score rate of 36.9% out of 271 inherited base runners. With 177 save situations, the Cardinals have tallied 106 holds in addition to 19 blown saves.

Out of their 12,528 innings played, the Cardinals hold a efficiency on defense of 71.4% (2nd in professional baseball). The St. Louis Cardinals have turned 133 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .986 (13th in the majors). The Cardinals have accrued 1,476 assists, 83 errors and have accumulated 4,176 putouts this year.

Woodford (4-3 win-loss mark in his career) has a 4.30 earned run average and has conceded 8.6 hits per nine innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.14 and he has gone up against 356 batters so far in his MLB career. He has surrendered 40 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.303 and being the owner of a FIP of 5.2. In his MLB career, Woodford has surrendered 80 base knocks while he has accumulated 62 strikeouts in 83 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Chicago

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