Chicago Cubs vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction, 10/1/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Chicago Cubs vs St. Louis Cardinals

Date: Friday, October 1, 2021

Location: Busch Stadium in St. Louis, MO

TV: Bally Sports Midwest

Odds/Point Spread: Chicago (+165) St. Louis (-217)

Busch Stadium is the venue where Dakota Hudson and the St. Louis Cardinals (88-70, 2nd in NL Central) will play the Chicago Cubs (68-90, 4th in NL Central) on Friday. The Cubs open this contest at +165 while the Cardinals are coming in at -217. The O/U has been set at 7.5. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Zach Davies and Dakota Hudson.

The Cubs have compiled 219 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 205 baseballs out of the park. Chicago has a slugging percentage of .407 and have been rung up 1,568 times, while being walked on 487 occasions. As a squad, the Chicago Cubs are scoring 4.3 runs per outing, which has them at 21st in baseball. They have 652 runs batted in and 1,219 hits on the campaign, and their average at the plate is .236. They have tallied 684 runs while having a team on-base percentage of .311.

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The Cubs have compiled a team earned run average of 4.94 on the season (27th in the league), and their staff has rung up 1,329 hitters. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.28 and their pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.41. Cubs pitchers have allowed 231 home runs in addition to 828 total runs (28th in baseball). They have walked 583 batters and their FIP comes in at 4.89 as a squad on the year.

Cubs pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 168 times as well as having 170 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have earned 75 holds for the year (16th in baseball). The Cubs relief pitchers have accumulated a save rate of 69.6% and has come into the game in 132 save situations. They have earned 39 saves so far this season and have blown 17 of their 56 save opportunities. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 276 base runners for the season and 36.2% of them crossed home plate. The Cubs have sent 588 relief pitchers to the mound on the campaign.

The Cubs have turned 69.1% of baseballs in play into outs in their 12,411 innings, which has them sitting 21st in professional baseball. The Chicago Cubs have a total of 4,137 putouts for the season, as well as 1,517 assists and 85 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .985 which is 15th in MLB, and have 1,015 double plays.

Davies has pitched in 831 frames and has tallied 611 strikeouts during his MLB career. His earned run average is 4.14 (383 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.333. He has surrendered 835 hits (9.0 hits per nine innings) and has 274 walks. Davies (56-48 career mark) sits with a FIP of 4.41 and he has gone up against 3,534 opposing hitters during his time in the majors.

The Cardinals have a team SLG% of .411 and they tally 4.37 runs per game (20th in MLB). They have hit 257 doubles, while taking a walk 465 times as well as earning 691 runs. St. Louis has tallied 192 home runs this season and 664 RBIs. They have struck out on 1,315 instances (24th in baseball) and have recorded 1,275 base hits. The St. Louis Cardinals have an OBP of .313 and a batting average of .244 on the campaign.

The Cardinals have a WHIP of 1.299 with a FIP of 4.30 as a squad for the year. They come in at 7th in the league as a staff in total hits surrendered with 1,202. The St. Louis pitching staff have allowed 657 runs over the course of the season while having a team ERA of 3.98 (611 earned runs conceded). They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.01 (1,191 strikeouts against 594 bases on balls). They have given up 148 home runs and they relinquish 4.28 runs per 9 innings (11th in the league).

St. Louis has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the contest in 68 save chances and they have earned 49 saves. They sit at 1st in baseball holding a save rate of 72.1%, and they have sent 543 relievers to the mound on the year. Their relief pitchers have come in 157 times in high leverage situations and on 163 occasions with base runners. St. Louis bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 37.2% of 269 inherited runners. Sitting with 174 save situations, the Cardinals have accumulated 104 holds in addition to 19 blown saves.

The St. Louis Cardinals have turned 131 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .985 (14th in professional baseball). The Cardinals have racked up 1,467 assists, 83 errors and have amassed 4,149 putouts for the year. In their 12,447 innings on the field, the Cardinals have earned a efficiency on defense of 71.5% (2nd in pro baseball).

In his pro baseball career, Hudson has surrendered 207 hits while he has totaled 188 strikeouts in 244 innings. Hudson (24-10 career record) has a 3.20 ERA and has conceded 7.6 hits per 9 innings. He has given up 87 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.332 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.7. His strikeout to walk ratio is 1.58 and he has faced 1,042 hitters during his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Chicago (+165)

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