Chicago Cubs vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 9/14/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Chicago Cubs vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Tuesday, September 14, 2021

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: Chicago (+140) Philadelphia (-175)

Kyle Gibson and the Philadelphia Phillies (72-71, 2nd in NL East) play the Chicago Cubs (65-79, 4th in NL Central) at Citizens Bank Park on Tuesday. The Phillies open this game at -175 while the Cubs are coming in at +140. The O/U is set at 8.5. The pitchers who are expected to start are Adrian Sampson and Kyle Gibson.

The Cubs have accounted for 191 doubles as a squad and have smacked 188 balls out of the park. Chicago has a slugging % of .402 and have been rung up 1,418 times, while drawing a walk on 427 occasions. As a unit, the Chicago Cubs are putting up 4.3 runs per outing, which has them sitting at 21st in baseball. They have 586 RBI's as well as 1,093 base knocks for the season, while their team batting average comes in at .232. They have earned a total of 616 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .305.

Get all of our MLB Expert Picks

The Cubs hold a team earned run average of 4.75 over the course of the season (24th in the league), and the staff has struck out 1,225 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 529 opposing batters and their FIP is 4.81 as a squad this season. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.32 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.39. Cubs pitchers have surrendered 206 home runs and also 728 runs in total (26th in MLB).

Cubs relief pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on base 150 times in addition to having 151 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have recorded 68 holds on the campaign (16th in the league). The Cubs relief pitchers have a save percentage of 73.5% and has stepped onto the mound in 118 save situations. They have recorded 36 saves this season and have blown 13 out of their 49 chances to get a save. The relievers have inherited 245 runners this year and 34.3% of those players earned a run for their team. The Cubs have dispatched 531 relievers to the hill so far this season.

The Chicago Cubs have notched a total of 3,784 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 1,386 assists and 74 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .986 which is 10th in professional baseball, and have accumulated 926 double plays. The Cubs have converted 69.4% of balls in play into outs in their 11,352 innings, which has them sitting 20th in pro baseball.

Sampson has taken the hill for 169 innings and is sitting with 131 K's during his pro baseball career. Sampson (6-14 mark in his career) sits with a FIP of 5.83 while going up against 749 opposing hitters in the majors. His ERA is 5.37 (101 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.465. He has conceded 204 base knocks (10.8 hits per nine innings) with 44 free passes.

The Philadelphia Phillies have an OBP of .318 as well as a batting average of .240 so far this year. They have been called out on strikes on 1,237 instances (17th in MLB) and have earned a total of 1,138 hits. Philadelphia has accounted for 176 HRs for the year as well as 621 runs batted in. The Phillies hold a team slugging percentage of .409 and they tally 4.55 runs per game (13th in baseball). They have 226 doubles, while walking 507 times as well as putting up 651 runs.

The Phillies hold a team WHIP of 1.301 and have a FIP of 4.19 as a pitching staff on the campaign. Their K/BB ratio sits at 2.93 (1,309 strikeouts vs 446 bases on balls). They come in at 16th in the league as a staff in total hits conceded with 1,183. They have allowed 183 dingers and they yield 4.82 runs per 9 innings (18th in MLB). The Philadelphia pitching staff have conceded 670 runs on the season while holding an ERA of 4.46 (620 earned runs surrendered).

Philadelphia has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the hill in 62 save chances and they have walked away with 32 saves. They rank 28th in the league with a save rate of 51.6%, and they have dispatched 461 relievers onto the field over the course of the season. Their relief pitchers have come in 147 times in high leverage situations and also on 129 occasions with base runners. Philadelphia bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 42.6% out of their 204 inherited runners. With 130 save situations, the Phillies have 62 holds in addition to 30 blown saves.

The Philadelphia Phillies have turned 120 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .983 (24th in the majors). The Phillies have recorded 1,264 assists, 87 errors and have a total of 3,758 putouts over the course of the season. Out of their 11,274 innings on the field, the Phillies hold a efficiency on defense of 68.5% (26th in pro baseball).

So far in his career, Gibson has allowed 1,354 base hits while he has tallied 1,028 strikeouts in 1,314 frames. He has surrendered 646 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.396 and a FIP of 4.3. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.14 and he has faced 5,657 hitters so far in his MLB career. Gibson (79-80 record in his career) holds a 4.42 earned run average while allowing 9.3 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's baseball game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Philadelphia (-175)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here