Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, 9/19/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers

Date: Sunday, September 19, 2021

Location: American Family Field in Milwaukee, WI

TV: Bally Sports Wisconsin

Odds/Point Spread: Chicago (+170) Milwaukee (-238)

Eric Lauer and the Milwaukee Brewers (90-57, 1st in NL Central) play the Chicago Cubs (66-82, 4th in NL Central) at American Family Field on Sunday. The line on this contest has the Cubs coming in at +170 and the Brewers are at -238. The over/under has been set at 8. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Adrian Sampson and Eric Lauer.

The Cubs have accrued 199 doubles as a team and have knocked 196 balls out of the park. Chicago has a slugging rate of .405 and have been rung up 1,457 times, while drawing a walk on 439 occasions. As a squad, the Chicago Cubs are putting up 4.3 runs per game, which ranks them 21st in MLB. They have earned 608 RBI's and 1,131 hits over the course of the season, and their batting average sits at .233. They have accounted for 640 runs scored and hold an OBP of .306.

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The Cubs have an earned run average of 4.82 so far this year (26th in MLB), and the staff has struck out 1,253 batters. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.28 and the pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.40. Cubs pitchers have relinquished 210 home runs and 762 runs in total (27th in MLB). They have walked 549 players from the other team and their FIP is 4.82 as a squad so far this season.

The Cubs have dispatched 548 relievers to the hill over the course of the season. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 259 runners for the year with 35.5% of those players crossed the plate. They have 37 saves on the season and have missed out on 14 of 51 chances to save the game. The Cubs relief pitchers have earned a save percentage of 72.5% and has entered the game in 124 save situations. The relief pitchers have racked up 72 holds this year (15th in baseball). Cubs bullpen pitchers have entered the contest with runners on 157 times and also have had 159 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Chicago Cubs have amassed 3,885 putouts thus far, as well as 1,429 assists and 77 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .986 which has them sitting 11th in the majors, and they have turned 945 double plays. The Cubs have turned 69.2% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 11,655 innings, which has them sitting 21st in pro baseball.

Sampson has pitched in 174 innings and has earned 134 punch outs in his pro baseball career. Sampson (7-14 career win-loss record) is the owner of a FIP of 5.84 while he has faced 769 hitters in the major leagues. His earned run average is 5.32 (103 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.457. He has conceded 208 base hits (10.7 hits per 9 innings) and has had 46 walks.

The Brewers have a team slugging percentage of .399 and they are scoring 4.64 runs per game (10th in the league). They have put up 233 doubles, while walking 533 times as well as putting up 682 runs. Milwaukee has recorded 176 home runs on the season to go along with 646 runs batted in. They have been called out on strikes on 1,342 occasions (8th in MLB) and have recorded 1,150 base hits. The Milwaukee Brewers have accounted for an on-base percentage of .320 as well as a team batting average of .236 over the course of the season.

The Brewers have a team WHIP of 1.173 with a FIP of 3.64 as a staff this season. They are sitting at 2nd in MLB as a staff in total hits conceded with 1,038. The Milwaukee pitching staff have conceded 546 runs on the campaign while having an ERA of 3.36 (488 earned runs surrendered). Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.99 (1,476 strikeouts vs 494 walks). They have relinquished 145 homers and they concede 3.76 runs per 9 innings (3rd in baseball).

With 142 save situations, the Brewers have earned 74 holds and 24 blown saves. Milwaukee has had bullpen pitchers step onto the hill in 66 save chances and they have converted 42 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 176 times in high leverage situations and on 96 occasions with runners on base. Milwaukee relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 34.8% of 138 inherited base runners. They are ranked 10th in baseball with a save rate of 63.6%, and they have dispatched 484 relievers onto the field this year.

The Milwaukee Brewers have twisted 94 double plays and have a fielding rate of .983 (23rd in the majors). The Brewers have 1,225 assists, 89 errors and have 3,918 putouts on the season. In their 11,754 innings played, the Brewers have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 70.8% (5th in professional baseball).

In his MLB career, Lauer has allowed 386 base hits while he has totaled 349 punch outs in 374 innings pitched. Lauer (20-24 career win-loss mark) holds a 4.30 earned run average and has allowed 9.3 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed 179 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.405 and having a FIP of 4.3. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.49 and he has faced 1,638 hitters in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Chicago (+170)

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