Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, 9/18/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers

Date: Saturday, September 18, 2021

Location: American Family Field in Milwaukee, WI

TV: Bally Sports Wisconsin

Odds/Point Spread: Chicago (+255) Milwaukee (-357)

Justin Steele and the Chicago Cubs (66-81, 4th in NL Central) go to American Family Field on Saturday where they'll meet the Milwaukee Brewers (89-57, 1st in NL Central). The odds on this game have the Cubs priced at +255 and the Brewers are at -357. The total is set at 7. The expected starting pitchers will be Justin Steele and Corbin Burnes.

As a team, the Chicago Cubs are knocking in 4.3 runs/g, which is 21st in the league. They have accounted for 635 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .306. The Cubs have accounted for 199 doubles as a squad and have hit 195 baseballs out of the park. They have 605 runs batted in in addition to 1,120 hits for the year, while their team batting average is at .233. Chicago has a slugging % of .405 and have struck out 1,446 times, while taking a walk on 437 occasions.

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Cubs pitchers have surrendered 210 home runs in addition to 754 runs in total (27th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 540 opposing batters and their FIP comes in at 4.82 as a squad for the year. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.30 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.39. The Cubs are sitting with a team ERA of 4.80 on the year (26th in MLB), and they have struck out 1,244 hitters.

The Cubs have dispatched 544 relievers to the mound on the campaign. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 254 base runners this season and 35.4% of those runners crossed the plate. They have tallied 37 saves for the year and have blown 13 of their 50 save opportunities. The Cubs relievers have a save rate of 74.0% and has stepped onto the mound in 122 save situations. The relievers have a total of 71 holds on the year (15th in baseball). Cubs bullpen pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 155 times as well as having 156 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Chicago Cubs have earned 3,861 putouts this season, as well as 1,422 assists and 77 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .986 which puts them in 12th in MLB, and have a total of 941 double plays. The Cubs have turned 69.3% of balls in play into outs out of their 11,583 innings on the field, which ranks them 21st in professional baseball.

Steele has taken the ball for 41 innings and has totaled 43 K's so far in his MLB career. Steele (3-3 win-loss record in his career) holds a FIP of 5.12 while he has gone up against 182 hitters in the major leagues. His ERA is 4.17 (19 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.390. He has conceded 37 base knocks (8.1 hits per 9 innings) with 20 free passes.

The Brewers have a SLG% of .399 and they tally 4.62 runs per game (12th in MLB). They have 232 two-baggers, while taking a walk 524 times and scoring 674 runs. Milwaukee has accounted for 176 long balls this year to go along with 639 runs batted in. They have been called out on strikes on 1,333 instances (8th in MLB) and have earned a total of 1,141 hits. The Milwaukee Brewers are sitting with a team on-base percentage of .319 in addition to a team batting average of .235 on the season.

The Brewers have a WHIP of 1.171 and have a FIP of 3.65 as a squad for the season. They are sitting at 2nd in baseball as a staff in total hits conceded with 1,027. The Milwaukee pitching staff have yielded 541 runs so far this season and come in with a team ERA of 3.36 (484 earned runs relinquished). They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.98 (1,465 strikeouts against 492 walks). They have surrendered 144 homers and they give up 3.75 runs per 9 innings (3rd in the league).

Milwaukee bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 35.0% out of their 137 inherited base runners. Their relievers have stepped onto the hill 176 times in high leverage situations in addition to 95 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 141 save situations, the Brewers have accrued 74 holds and 24 blown saves. They are ranked 12th in baseball holding a save percentage of 63.1%, and they have dispatched 481 relievers to the hill for the season. Milwaukee has had relief pitchers enter the game in 65 save chances and they have recorded 41 saves.

In their 11,673 innings on the diamond, the Brewers hold a defensive efficiency of 70.9% (5th in MLB). The Milwaukee Brewers have turned 93 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .983 (21st in baseball). The Brewers have racked up 1,217 assists, 87 errors and have a total of 3,891 putouts on the campaign.

In his career, Burnes has allowed 244 hits while tallying 403 K's in 298 innings. He has allowed 111 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.098 and being the owner of a FIP of 2.7. He has a K/BB ratio of 4.80 and he has faced 1,221 hitters during his pro baseball career. Burnes (22-10 win-loss record in his career) is the owner of a 3.34 earned run average and has given up 7.4 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Chicago (+255)

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