Chicago Cubs vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 8/13/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Chicago Cubs vs Miami Marlins

Date: Friday, August 13, 2021

Location: Marlins Park in Miami, FL

TV: Bally Sports Florida

Odds/Point Spread: Chicago (-116) Miami (-105)

Adbert Alzolay and the Chicago Cubs (52-64, 4th in NL Central) go to Marlins Park on Friday where they'll take on the Miami Marlins (48-67, 5th in NL East). The line on this contest has the Cubs coming in at -116 and the Marlins are at -105. The over/under is set at 6.5. The men taking the mound will be Adbert Alzolay and Jesus Luzardo.

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The Cubs have hit 154 two-baggers as a team and have hit 142 balls out of the stadium. Chicago has a slugging percentage of .390 and have been called out on strikes 1,131 times, while being walked on 359 occasions. As a unit, the Chicago Cubs are putting up 4.1 runs per game, which puts them at 23rd in baseball. They have earned 455 RBI's in addition to 854 hits so far this season, and their average at the plate sits at .227. They have a total of 479 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .304.

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The Cubs have an ERA of 4.40 for the season (17th in MLB), and the staff has rung up 995 batters. They have walked 426 hitters and their FIP sits at 4.71 as a team over the course of the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.34 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.36. Cubs pitchers have allowed 159 home runs in addition to 544 total runs (20th in MLB).

Cubs relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on 116 times as well as having 117 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have accumulated 62 holds on the campaign (8th in MLB). The Cubs bullpen have a save percentage of 76.3% and has come into the game in 101 save situations. They have earned 29 saves on the season and have blown 9 of 38 save opportunities. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 186 base runners on the campaign with 30.6% of them ended up scoring. The Cubs have dispatched 426 relief pitchers to the mound for the season.

The Cubs have converted 69.8% of balls hit into play into outs in their 9,120 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting 14th in baseball. The Chicago Cubs are sitting with 3,040 putouts this season, in addition to 1,126 assists and 62 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .985 which puts them in 9th in professional baseball, and have a total of 736 double plays.

Alzolay has thrown 138 innings and has earned 148 K's during his career. Alzolay (6-14 win-loss record in his career) holds a FIP of 4.97 and he has gone up against 581 hitters in the major leagues. His ERA is 4.67 (72 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.219. He has surrendered 116 hits (7.5 hits per nine innings) and has had 53 walks.

The Miami Marlins have accumulated a team on-base percentage of .304 and a batting average of .237 this season. They have struck out on 1,108 occasions (4th in baseball) and have recorded 910 base knocks. Miami has tallied 113 home runs for the season and 433 RBIs. The Marlins hold a team slugging % of .379 and they average 3.97 runs per contest (27th in MLB). They have 171 two-baggers, while taking a walk 330 times and notching 456 runs.

The Miami pitching staff have conceded 473 runs this year and come in with a team ERA of 3.76 (420 earned runs conceded). They have allowed 107 homers and they surrender 4.23 runs per 9 innings (12th in the league). The Marlins hold a team WHIP of 1.245 in addition to having a FIP of 3.92 as a unit so far this season. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.62 (970 strikeouts vs 370 free passes). They rank 11th in the league as a staff in total hits surrendered with 882.

With 99 save situations, the Marlins have recorded 56 holds in addition to 22 blown saves. Miami has had bullpen pitchers take the mound in 43 save opportunities and they have tallied 21 saves. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 128 times in high leverage situations and on 81 occasions with runners on base. Miami bullpen pitchers have an inherited score rate of 37.9% out of their 124 inherited base runners. They rank 29th in the league with a save rate of 48.8%, and they have dispatched 426 relievers to the hill for the year.

The Miami Marlins have twisted 105 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .980 (30th in professional baseball). The Marlins have racked up 1,033 assists, 82 errors and have 3,018 putouts for the year. In 9,054 innings played, the Marlins hold a defensive efficiency of 69.6% (18th in pro baseball).

In his pro baseball career, Luzardo has allowed 120 base knocks while he has tallied 122 punch outs in 118 frames. He has given up a total of 68 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.374 and a FIP of 4.8. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.84 and he has gone up against 513 opposing batters in his career. Luzardo (6-7 mark in his career) is the owner of a 5.16 ERA and has allowed 9.1 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's baseball game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Miami (-105)

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