Chicago Cubs vs Chicago White Sox Prediction, 8/28/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Chicago Cubs vs Chicago White Sox

Date: Saturday, August 28, 2021

Location: Guaranteed Rate Field in Chicago, IL

TV: NBC Sports Chicago

Odds/Point Spread: Chicago Cubs (+255) Chicago White Sox (-357)

Lance Lynn and the Chicago White Sox (74-55, 1st in AL Central) play the Chicago Cubs (56-73, 4th in NL Central) at Guaranteed Rate Field on Saturday. The Cubs open this contest at +255 while the White Sox are coming in at -357. The O/U opens at 8. The men taking the mound are Alec Mills and Lance Lynn.

As a team, the Chicago Cubs are earning 4.2 runs per game, which has them at 23rd in MLB. They have earned a total of 538 runs scored and hold an OBP of .305. The Cubs have tallied 174 doubles as a team and have hit 160 balls out of the park. They have 509 runs batted in and 966 hits over the course of the season, and their batting average comes in at .230. Chicago has a slugging rate of .395 and have struck out 1,264 times, while drawing a walk on 390 occasions.

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Cubs pitchers have allowed 184 long balls and 638 total runs (25th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 466 opposing players and their FIP comes in at 4.76 as a squad on the campaign. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.39 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.38. The Cubs have a team ERA of 4.65 for the season (22nd in the league), and their staff has rung up 1,114 hitters.

The Cubs relief pitchers have recorded a save percentage of 75.6% and has stepped onto the mound in 106 save situations. The relievers have inherited 209 runners on the year with 32.5% of them crossed the plate. Cubs bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on 131 times as well as having 128 appearances in high leverage situations. The Cubs have sent 477 relievers to the hill on the year. The relief pitchers have a total of 64 holds this season (15th in baseball). They have accumulated 31 saves so far this year and have blown 10 of their 41 chances to save the game.

The Cubs have converted 69.2% of balls in play into outs out of 10,128 innings, ranking them 20th in the majors. The Chicago Cubs have earned a total of 3,376 putouts this year, as well as 1,228 assists and 67 errors. Their fielding rate is at .986 which has them ranked 11th in pro baseball, and have accumulated 824 double plays.

Mills has taken the mound for 201 frames and is sitting with 177 strikeouts in his career. Mills (11-12 mark in his career) sits with a FIP of 4.38 and he has faced 855 hitters in the major leagues. His ERA is 4.39 (98 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.299. He has surrendered 196 base hits (8.8 hits per 9 innings) with 65 walks.

Chicago has a total of 152 long balls on the season as well as 602 runs batted in. They have put up 208 two-baggers, while walking 463 times as well as putting up 634 runs. The Chicago White Sox have accumulated an OBP of .332 in addition to a team batting average of .252 so far this year. The White Sox hold a team slugging percentage of .418 and they earn 4.91 runs per contest (7th in the league). They have been called out on strikes on 1,141 occasions (12th in baseball) and have earned a total of 1,074 base knocks.

The White Sox hold a team WHIP of 1.195 with a FIP of 3.81 as a squad so far this season. They rank 6th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 945. The Chicago pitching staff have surrendered 504 runs for the season while holding an ERA of 3.69 (458 earned runs yielded). Their K/BB ratio is 3.26 (1,276 strikeouts vs 391 free passes). They have yielded 152 homers and they surrender 4.06 runs per 9 innings (7th in the league).

Chicago has had relief pitchers enter the contest in 56 save chances and they have come away with 34 saves. They rank 16th in MLB holding a save rate of 60.7%, and they have sent 386 relievers onto the diamond so far this season. Their bullpen pitchers have taken the field 127 times in high leverage situations in addition to 107 occasions with base runners. Chicago bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 33.7% out of their 166 inherited runners. Sitting with 129 save situations, the White Sox have recorded 70 holds in addition to 22 blown saves.

In 10,065 innings on the field, the White Sox have a defensive efficiency of 70.0% (10th in baseball). The Chicago White Sox have twisted 80 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .982 (26th in baseball). The White Sox have 948 assists, 77 errors and have accounted for 3,355 putouts on the campaign.

So far in his MLB career, Lynn has conceded 1,409 hits while tallying 1,560 K's in 1,557 innings. He has surrendered 598 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.270 and a FIP of 3.6. His K/BB ratio is 2.74 and he has faced 6,581 opposing hitters thus far in his career. Lynn (114-74 win-loss mark in his career) has earned a 3.46 earned run average while giving up 8.1 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game ATS?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take the White Sox (-357)

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