Boston Red Sox vs Washington Nationals Prediction, 10/2/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs Washington Nationals

Date: Saturday, October 2, 2021

Location: Nationals Park in Washington, D.C.

TV: MASN/MASN2

Odds/Point Spread: Boston (-147) Washington (+115)

Tanner Houck and the Boston Red Sox (89-70, 3rd in AL East) head to Nationals Park on Saturday where they'll meet the Washington Nationals (65-94, 5th in NL East). The Red Sox open this matchup at -147 while the Nationals are coming in at +115. The O/U has been set at 9.5. The pitchers taking the mound will be Tanner Houck and Jon Gray.

As a unit, the Boston Red Sox are scoring 5.1 runs per game, which puts them at 4th in MLB. They have accounted for 813 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .328. The Red Sox have hit 328 two-baggers as a squad and have smacked 213 balls out of the park. They have accumulated 767 runs batted in as well as 1,407 hits over the course of the season, while their team batting average comes in at .261. Boston is slugging .449 and have been called out on strikes 1,355 times, while being walked on 495 occasions.

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Red Sox pitchers have conceded 173 home runs in addition to 739 runs in total (18th in baseball). They have walked 529 opposing players and their FIP sits at 3.94 as a squad on the campaign. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.82 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.38. The Red Sox have an ERA of 4.27 over the course of the season (15th in MLB), and they have rung up 1,493 hitters.

Red Sox bullpen pitchers have come into the game with runners on base 174 times as well as having 187 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have racked up 89 holds this year (9th in the league). The Red Sox bullpen have compiled a save rate of 63.9% and has entered the game in 166 save situations. They have earned 46 saves for the season and have blown 26 of their 72 save chances. The relievers have inherited 269 base runners on the season and 31.2% of those runners earned a run for their team. The Red Sox have dispatched 547 relievers to the hill so far this year.

The Red Sox have converted 65.8% of balls in play into outs out of 12,528 innings, which has them sitting 30th in pro baseball. The Boston Red Sox have accounted for 4,176 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 1,394 assists and 108 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .981 which puts them in 29th in baseball, and they have turned 1,091 double plays.

Houck has pitched in 81 frames and is sitting with 100 strikeouts in his MLB career. His ERA is 3.11 (28 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.148. He has conceded 63 base hits (7.0 hits per nine innings) and has had 30 walks. Houck (4-5 career record) holds a FIP of 2.87 while going up against 333 opposing batters in the majors.

Washington has recorded 179 long balls so far this season to go along with 676 RBIs. They have put up 264 doubles, while taking a walk 556 times and racking up 714 runs. The Washington Nationals hold an OBP of .337 as well as a batting average of .259 for the season. The Nationals hold a slugging % of .418 and they tally 4.49 runs per outing (15th in the league). They have struck out on 1,269 occasions (27th in MLB) and have a total of 1,367 hits.

The Nationals have a team WHIP of 1.366 in addition to having a FIP of 4.85 as a squad so far this year. They are sitting at 19th in baseball as a staff in total hits given up with 1,337. The Washington pitching staff have allowed 804 runs this season and come in with a team ERA of 4.79 (728 earned runs relinquished). Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 2.48 (1,315 strikeouts against 531 free passes). They have allowed 241 dingers and they allow 5.29 runs per 9 innings (25th in baseball).

Washington has called on bullpen pitchers to take the mound in 72 save chances and they have walked away with 36 saves. They sit at 28th in the league holding a save percentage of 50.0%, and they have sent 555 bullpen pitchers onto the field this year. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 178 times in high leverage situations and also on 145 occasions with runners on. Washington relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 38.0% out of their 216 inherited runners. Sitting with 170 save situations, the Nationals have accrued 96 holds and also 36 blown saves.

In their 12,306 innings on the diamond, the Nationals hold a efficiency on defense of 69.4% (18th in pro baseball). The Washington Nationals have twisted 113 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .983 (23rd in professional baseball). The Nationals have accrued 1,340 assists, 94 errors and have accounted for 4,103 putouts so far this year.

In his MLB career, Gray has given up 823 hits while totaling 842 K's in 825 frames. He has surrendered a total of 416 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.336 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.9. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.01 and he has gone up against 3,537 opposing batters during his career. Gray (53-49 win-loss mark in his career) has earned a 4.54 earned run average while allowing 9.0 hits per nine innings.

So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Washington (+115) and under 9.5 runs

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