Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, 7/21/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays

Date: Wednesday, July 21, 2021

Location: Sahlen Field in Buffalo, NY

TV: Sportsnet

Odds/Point Spread: Boston (+130) Toronto (-167)

Tanner Houck and the Boston Red Sox (57-38, 1st in AL East) are headed to Sahlen Field on Wednesday where they'll meet the Toronto Blue Jays (48-43, 3rd in AL East). The Blue Jays open this game at -167 while the Red Sox are coming in at +130. The O/U has been set at 10.5. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Tanner Houck and Robbie Ray.

The Red Sox have accrued 203 two-baggers as a team and have knocked 123 balls out of the park. Boston owns a slugging percentage of .441 and have struck out 822 times, while drawing a walk on 278 occasions. As a team, the Boston Red Sox are compiling 5.1 runs per outing, which has them at 5th in baseball. They have earned 454 RBI's in addition to 828 base knocks this season, and their team batting average comes in at .257. They have 483 runs scored while having a team OBP of .322.

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Red Sox pitchers have given up 99 long balls and 423 runs in total (17th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 325 opposing batters and their FIP sits at 3.92 as a squad this year. They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.72 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.38. The Red Sox hold a team earned run average of 4.11 this year (14th in MLB), and their staff has rung up 884 hitters.

The Red Sox have dispatched 313 relief pitchers to the hill this season. The relief pitchers have inherited 147 runners for the season and 31.3% of them ended up scoring. They have recorded 30 saves over the course of the season and have not converted 14 of 44 chances to save the game. The Red Sox relievers have accumulated a save percentage of 68.2% and has stepped onto the mound in 109 save situations. The relief pitchers are sitting with 62 holds for the season (1st in baseball). Red Sox relief pitchers have come into the game with runners on 94 times as well as having 114 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Boston Red Sox have amassed 2,512 putouts so far this season, in addition to 865 assists and 67 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .981 which ranks 29th in pro baseball, and have 673 double plays. The Red Sox have converted 65.6% of balls hit into play into outs out of 7,536 innings on the field, which has them sitting 30th in the majors.

Houck has taken the hill for 30 frames and has tallied 36 punch outs so far in his pro baseball career. Houck (3-2 career win-loss record) sits with a FIP of 2.85 while facing 119 batters during his time in the major leagues. His ERA is 1.78 (6 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.055. He has given up 21 base hits (6.2 hits per nine innings) with 11 walks.

Toronto has a total of 141 HRs so far this season and 451 runs batted in. They have put up 152 doubles, while taking a walk 275 times and racking up 473 runs. The Toronto Blue Jays have a team OBP of .328 as well as a team batting average of .265 this season. The Blue Jays have a SLG% of .456 and they are earning 5.20 runs per outing (3rd in baseball). They have struck out on 742 occasions (29th in MLB) and have 821 base knocks.

The Blue Jays have a WHIP of 1.258 with a FIP of 4.34 as a team so far this year. They rank 9th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 705. The Toronto pitching staff have allowed 387 runs this year while having a team ERA of 4.00 (351 earned runs surrendered). Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 2.91 (842 strikeouts against 289 free passes). They have allowed 125 home runs and they yield 4.41 runs per 9 innings (12th in MLB).

Toronto has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the contest in 26 save opportunities and they have come away with 16 saves. They sit at 15th in the league holding a save percentage of 61.5%, and they have dispatched 312 relievers to the mound so far this season. Their relievers have taken the field 91 times in high leverage situations and on 104 occasions with runners on. Toronto relievers have an inherited score rate of 27.2% out of their 151 inherited runners. Sitting with 69 save situations, the Blue Jays have accumulated 40 holds in addition to 10 blown saves.

The Toronto Blue Jays have twisted 68 double plays and have a fielding rate of .983 (22nd in baseball). The Blue Jays have recorded 806 assists, 56 errors and have earned 2,372 putouts over the course of the season. In their 7,116 innings played, the Blue Jays have earned a efficiency on defense of 70.0% (10th in baseball).

During his MLB career, Ray has conceded 851 base hits while tallying 1,180 punch outs in 949 innings pitched. Ray (57-55 career win-loss mark) has earned a 4.11 earned run average and has surrendered 8.1 hits per 9 innings. He has surrendered 434 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.346 and having a FIP of 4.1. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.76 and he has faced 4,078 hitters during his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's baseball game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Boston (+130)

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