Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, 7/19/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays

Date: Monday, July 19, 2021

Location: Sahlen Field in Buffalo, NY

TV: Sportsnet

Odds/Point Spread: Boston (+115) Toronto (-147)

Sahlen Field is the site where Alek Manoah and the Toronto Blue Jays (46-42, 3rd in AL East) will play the Boston Red Sox (56-37, 1st in AL East) on Monday. The Red Sox open this game at +115 while the Blue Jays are coming in at -147. The total has been set at 11. The pitchers taking the mound are Garrett Richards and Alek Manoah.

As a squad, the Boston Red Sox are compiling 5.0 runs per outing, which has them at 5th in the league. They have earned a total of 469 runs and hold an OBP of .321. The Red Sox have accumulated 196 doubles as a unit and have hit 117 balls out of the stadium. They have 440 RBI's as well as 809 hits for the year, while their average at the plate comes in at .257. Boston has a slugging % of .438 and have been called out on strikes 805 times, while being walked on 266 occasions.

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Red Sox pitchers have conceded 95 home runs and 410 runs in total (17th in the league). They have walked 316 hitters and their FIP is 3.87 as a unit this season. They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.75 and the pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.38. The Red Sox have compiled a team earned run average of 4.05 on the year (13th in baseball), and the staff has struck out 868 hitters.

The Red Sox relievers have recorded a save rate of 68.2% and has stepped onto the mound in 109 save situations. The relievers have inherited 141 base runners over the course of the season with 30.5% of those players ended up crossing the plate. Red Sox bullpen pitchers have entered the game with opponents on base 91 times in addition to having 114 appearances in high leverage situations. The Red Sox have sent 306 relievers to the hill so far this season. The relievers are sitting with 62 holds this year (1st in the league). They have recorded 30 saves for the year and have blown 14 out of their 44 chances to save the game.

The Red Sox have converted 65.6% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 7,383 innings on the diamond, which ranks them 30th in professional baseball. The Boston Red Sox have accounted for 2,461 putouts thus far, as well as 846 assists and 66 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .980 which has them ranked 29th in baseball, and have accumulated 664 double plays.

Richards has taken the ball for 896 innings and has accumulated 775 strikeouts so far in his pro baseball career. Richards (52-46 mark in his career) sits with a FIP of 3.79 while going up against 3,797 opposing hitters during his time in the major leagues. His earned run average is 3.76 (374 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.299. He has allowed 830 base knocks (8.3 hits per nine innings) and has 334 walks.

Toronto is sitting with 135 home runs on the year and 432 RBIs. They have hit 148 two-baggers, while getting a free base 269 times and recording 454 runs. The Toronto Blue Jays have compiled a team on-base percentage of .328 in addition to a batting average of .264 over the course of the season. The Blue Jays hold a team SLG% of .453 and they average 5.16 runs per game (3rd in baseball). They have struck out on 726 occasions (29th in the league) and have notched a total of 794 hits.

The Blue Jays have a team WHIP of 1.258 and have a FIP of 4.28 as a unit this season. They are sitting at 8th in MLB as a staff in total hits relinquished with 685. The Toronto pitching staff have relinquished 374 runs this year while holding a team ERA of 3.97 (338 earned runs surrendered). They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.95 (826 strikeouts vs 280 free passes). They have given up 119 long balls and they surrender 4.39 runs per 9 innings (12th in MLB).

Toronto has had bullpen pitchers take the mound in 26 save chances and they have come away with 16 saves. They are currently ranked 15th in baseball with a save percentage of 61.5%, and they have sent 303 relief pitchers onto the field on the year. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 91 times in high leverage situations and on 103 occasions with runners on. Toronto relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 27.7% out of their 148 inherited base runners. Sitting with 69 save situations, the Blue Jays have recorded 40 holds and also 10 blown saves.

Out of their 6,909 innings on the field, the Blue Jays have earned a efficiency on defense of 69.7% (15th in MLB). The Toronto Blue Jays have turned 67 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .982 (25th in the majors). The Blue Jays have racked up 776 assists, 56 errors and have earned 2,303 putouts during this campaign.

Manoah (2-1 mark in his career) has earned a 2.90 ERA while giving up 6.2 hits per nine innings. His K/BB ratio is 3.47 and he has faced 168 batters in his career. He has given up a total of 13 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.066 and having a FIP of 4.3. During his career, Manoah has conceded 28 hits while he has accumulated 52 punch outs in 40 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game ATS?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Toronto (-147)

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