Boston Red Sox vs Texas Rangers Prediction, 4/30/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs Texas Rangers

Date: Friday, April 30, 2021

Location: Globe Life Field in Arlington, TX

TV: Bally Sports Southwest

Odds/Point Spread: Boston (-166) Texas (+153)

Nathan Eovaldi and the Boston Red Sox (16-9, 1st in AL East) travel to Globe Life Field on Friday where they'll meet the Texas Rangers (10-15, 5th in AL West). The Rangers open this matchup at +153 while the Red Sox are priced at -166. The total is set at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound will be Nathan Eovaldi and Kohei Arihara.

The Red Sox have accounted for 59 doubles as a squad and have hit 27 baseballs out of the park. Boston has a slugging % of .443 and have struck out 212 times, while drawing a walk on 69 occasions. As a unit, the Boston Red Sox are scoring 4.9 runs per outing, which is 6th in baseball. They have 108 runs batted in in addition to 222 base knocks for the season, and their team batting average is at .267. They have notched a total of 122 runs while having a team on-base percentage of .330.

The Red Sox have a team earned run average of 3.66 this year (9th in MLB), and the staff has rung up 235 hitters. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.64 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.26. Red Sox pitchers have conceded 15 home runs and also 100 total runs (14th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 89 opposing players and their FIP is 3.21 as a squad on the campaign.

The Red Sox relief pitchers have recorded a save percentage of 77.8% and has entered the game in 23 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 32 base runners over the course of the season and 31.3% of those runners earned a run for their team. Red Sox relief pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on base 22 times in addition to having 33 appearances in high leverage situations. The Red Sox have sent 82 relief pitchers to the mound on the year. The relief pitchers have accumulated 14 holds on the campaign (10th in the league). They have recorded 7 saves on the season and have missed out on 2 of 9 save opportunities.

The Boston Red Sox have a total of 664 putouts so far this season, as well as 226 assists and 16 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .982 which puts them in 21st in baseball, and have a total of 176 double plays. The Red Sox have converted 68.2% of balls hit into play into outs in their 1,992 innings, which has them sitting 25th in pro baseball.

Eovaldi has taken the mound for 994 innings and has totaled 789 punch outs in his MLB career. His earned run average is 4.25 (470 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.351. He has given up 1,038 base hits (9.4 hits per nine innings) and has 306 free passes. Eovaldi (53-58 career record) holds a FIP of 3.91 while he has gone up against 4,250 batters during his time in the major leagues.

The Rangers hold a team slugging percentage of .369 and they score 3.96 runs per game (22nd in baseball). They have recorded 22 doubles, while walking 76 times as well as notching 99 runs. Texas has knocked in 29 home runs over the course of the season as well as 95 runs batted in. They have been rung up on 263 occasions (1st in baseball) and have accounted for 191 hits. The Texas Rangers hold a team OBP of .306 as well as a team batting average of .230 over the course of the season.

The Rangers have a team WHIP of 1.340 in addition to having a FIP of 4.30 as a unit this year. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 3.17 (206 strikeouts vs 65 walks). They are sitting at 30th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 230. They have surrendered 35 homers and they allow 4.82 runs per 9 innings (22nd in the league). The Texas pitching staff have relinquished 118 runs this season while holding an ERA of 4.54 (111 earned runs given up).

Texas has called on relief pitchers to step onto the mound in 8 save opportunities and they have converted 4 saves. They sit at 24th in the league holding a save percentage of 50.0%, and they have dispatched 72 relief pitchers onto the field for the season. Their relief pitchers have come in 17 times in high leverage situations in addition to 17 occasions with base runners. Texas bullpen pitchers have an inherited score rate of 17.2% out of 29 inherited base runners. With 15 save situations, the Rangers have amassed 6 holds and also 4 blown saves.

In 1,986 innings played, the Rangers have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 67.6% (28th in MLB). The Texas Rangers have turned 21 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .983 (17th in baseball). The Rangers have racked up 227 assists, 15 errors and have accounted for 662 putouts for the season.

During his pro baseball career, Arihara has given up 22 hits and he has 13 punch outs in 22 frames. He has conceded 10 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.299 and having a FIP of 4.2. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.86 and he has gone up against 91 batters in his pro baseball career. Arihara (2-2 career record) has earned a 4.03 earned run average and has given up 8.9 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Texas (+153)

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