Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction, 7/30/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays

Date: Friday, July 30, 2021

Location: Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, FL

TV: Bally Sports Sun

Odds/Point Spread: Boston (+130) Tampa Bay (-167)

Tropicana Field is the site where Josh Fleming and the Tampa Bay Rays (60-42, 2nd in AL East) will play the Boston Red Sox (63-40, 1st in AL East) on Friday. The Rays open this contest at -167 while the Red Sox are priced at +130. The O/U is set at 8.5. The pitchers who are expected to start are Martin Perez and Josh Fleming.

The Red Sox have tallied 221 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 132 baseballs out of the park. Boston is slugging .443 and have been called out on strikes 888 times, while taking a walk on 298 occasions. As a squad, the Boston Red Sox are putting up 5.0 runs per game, which puts them at 4th in the league. They have earned 487 runs batted in and 893 hits for the season, and their average at the plate is sitting at .257. They are sitting with 519 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .321.

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The Red Sox have an earned run average of 4.04 over the course of the season (13th in the league), and the staff has struck out 953 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 348 opposing hitters and their FIP is 3.89 as a squad for the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.74 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.37. Red Sox pitchers have given up 106 home runs and 450 runs (15th in the league).

The Red Sox relief pitchers have earned a save rate of 69.4% and stepped onto the hill in 118 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 155 base runners this year with 30.3% of those runners crossed the plate. Red Sox bullpen pitchers have entered the game with runners on 100 times and also have had 118 appearances in high leverage situations. The Red Sox have sent 339 relief pitchers to the hill for the year. The bullpen have tallied 65 holds for the season (3rd in baseball). They have compiled 34 saves so far this season and have not converted 15 out of their 49 chances to save the game.

The Boston Red Sox have a total of 2,719 putouts so far this season, in addition to 934 assists and 68 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .982 which has them ranked 27th in pro baseball, and they have twisted 728 double plays. The Red Sox have turned 66.1% of baseballs in play into outs out of 8,157 innings, ranking them 30th in the majors.

Perez has taken the mound for 1,083 innings and has earned 723 strikeouts during his pro baseball career. His ERA is 4.66 (561 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.476. He has surrendered 1,202 base knocks (10.0 hits per nine innings) and has had 397 free passes. Perez (63-67 mark in his career) has a FIP of 4.50 while going up against 4,728 hitters during his time in the majors.

Tampa Bay has 126 home runs so far this year as well as 473 RBIs. They have put up 176 doubles, while walking 382 times as well as earning 498 runs. The Tampa Bay Rays have tallied an on-base percentage of .315 in addition to a team batting average of .232 over the course of the season. The Rays have a team slugging % of .400 and they earn 4.88 runs per game (6th in baseball). They have been called out on strikes on 1,021 occasions (1st in MLB) and have earned a total of 801 base hits.

The Rays are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.141 and have a FIP of 3.70 as a unit so far this year. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 3.45 (963 strikeouts vs 279 free passes). They are sitting at 10th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 770. They have conceded 114 long balls and they allow 4.01 runs per 9 innings (6th in the league). The Tampa Bay pitching staff have surrendered 409 runs on the campaign while having a team ERA of 3.55 (363 earned runs yielded).

Tampa Bay relievers have an inherited score percentage of 31.4% of 105 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have come in 127 times in high leverage situations in addition to 87 occasions with runners on. With 100 save situations, the Rays have tallied 58 holds and 13 blown saves. They are ranked 6th in the league with a save rate of 67.5%, and they have sent 328 relievers to the hill on the campaign. Tampa Bay has had bullpen pitchers step onto the hill in 40 save opportunities and they have earned 27 saves.

The Tampa Bay Rays have turned 86 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .986 (7th in the majors). The Rays have accrued 886 assists, 53 errors and have a total of 2,757 putouts for the season. Out of their 8,271 innings on the field, the Rays have a efficiency on defense of 70.8% (6th in the majors).

In his career, Fleming has allowed 96 hits while he has earned 69 punch outs in 109 frames. Fleming (12-5 career mark) holds a 3.69 ERA while allowing 7.9 hits per 9 innings. He has conceded 45 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.122 and a FIP of 4.5. His K/BB ratio is 2.56 and he has faced 446 hitters so far in his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game ATS?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (-167)

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