Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction, 10/7/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays

Date: Thursday, October 7, 2021

Location: Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, FL

TV: FS1

Odds/Point Spread: Boston (+145) Tampa Bay (-192)

Shane McClanahan and the Tampa Bay Rays (100-62, 1st in AL East) host the Boston Red Sox (92-70, 2nd in AL East) at Tropicana Field on Thursday in Game 1 of the ALDS. The Red Sox open this game at +145 while the Rays are coming in at -192. The O/U is set at 7.5. The pitchers taking the mound are Eduardo Rodriguez and Shane McClanahan.

Boston owns a slugging percentage of .449 and have been rung up 1,386 times, while being walked on 512 occasions. They have recorded 783 RBI's as well as 1,434 hits on the year, while their average at the plate comes in at .261. The Red Sox have hit 330 doubles as a team and have hit 219 baseballs out of the park. They have accumulated 829 runs scored while having a team on-base percentage of .328. As a unit, the Boston Red Sox are notching 5.1 runs per contest, which is 4th in the league.

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Red Sox pitchers have allowed 176 home runs and also 749 runs in total (18th in the league). They have walked 546 players from the other team and their FIP sits at 3.95 as a team for the season. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.80 and the pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.38. The Red Sox have an earned run average of 4.26 so far this year (15th in baseball), and their staff has struck out 1,527 batters.

The Red Sox have sent 563 relief pitchers to the hill so far this season. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 277 runners on the campaign with 30.7% of those players crossed home plate. They have earned 49 saves on the campaign and have missed out on 27 out of their 76 save opportunities. The Red Sox relief pitchers have a save percentage of 64.5% and has entered the game in 176 save situations. The relievers have 95 holds this season (7th in the league). Red Sox relief pitchers have entered the game with opponents on base 177 times as well as having 198 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Red Sox have transformed 65.9% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 12,771 innings on the field, which has them ranked 30th in baseball. The Boston Red Sox have amassed 4,257 putouts this season, in addition to 1,421 assists and 108 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .981 which ranks 29th in the majors, and have accumulated 1,104 double plays.

Rodriguez has taken the mound for 856 innings and is sitting with 892 K's so far in his MLB career. His ERA is 4.16 (396 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.313. He has given up 831 base knocks (8.7 hits per 9 innings) with 294 walks. Rodriguez (64-39 career win-loss record) sits with a FIP of 3.83 while he has faced 3,649 hitters in the major leagues.

The Rays have a team SLG% of .428 and they tally 5.29 runs per outing (2nd in baseball). They have put up 288 doubles, while taking a walk 585 times and scoring 857 runs. Tampa Bay has knocked in 222 home runs this season and 810 runs batted in. They have struck out on 1,542 instances (3rd in baseball) and have earned a total of 1,335 base hits. The Tampa Bay Rays have tallied a team on-base percentage of .321 as well as a batting average of .242 on the season.

The Rays have a team WHIP of 1.168 and have a FIP of 3.79 as a team for the year. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 3.39 (1,478 strikeouts vs 436 walks). They are currently ranked 11th in baseball as a staff in total hits given up with 1,264. They have allowed 184 homers and they yield 4.03 runs per 9 innings (4th in the league). The Tampa Bay pitching staff have given up 651 runs on the season while having a team ERA of 3.67 (593 earned runs surrendered).

Sitting with 159 save situations, the Rays have amassed 91 holds and 22 blown saves. Tampa Bay has called on relief pitchers to step onto the hill in 64 save chances and they have recorded 42 saves. Their relievers have come in 180 times in high leverage situations and on 126 occasions with runners on. Tampa Bay bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 27.7% of 166 inherited base runners. They are currently ranked 7th in MLB with a save percentage of 65.6%, and they have dispatched 531 bullpen pitchers to the hill so far this season.

The Tampa Bay Rays have twisted 130 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .986 (9th in baseball). The Rays have racked up 1,358 assists, 80 errors and have notched a total of 4,367 putouts over the course of the season. Out of their 13,101 innings on the field, the Rays have a defensive efficiency of 70.6% (7th in the majors).

During his career, McClanahan has surrendered 120 base knocks while tallying 141 K's in 123 frames. McClanahan (10-6 win-loss record in his career) has earned a 3.43 ERA and has given up 8.8 hits per 9 innings. He has surrendered 47 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.273 and having a FIP of 3.3. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.81 and he has faced 517 opposing hitters during his career.

So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (-192) and under 7.5 runs

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