Boston Red Sox vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 5/21/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Friday, May 21, 2021

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: Boston (+150) Philadelphia (-160)

Citizens Bank Park is the site where Aaron Nola and the Philadelphia Phillies (22-21, 2nd in NL East) will play the Boston Red Sox (26-18, 1st in AL East) on Friday. The Red Sox open this contest at +150 while the Phillies are priced at -160. The over/under has been set at 8. The starting pitchers will be Martin Perez and Aaron Nola.

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As a team, the Boston Red Sox are scoring 5.1 runs per outing, which ranks them 5th in baseball. They have notched a total of 217 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .324. The Red Sox have recorded 95 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 53 baseballs out of the park. They have tallied 198 runs batted in as well as 381 base knocks over the course of the season, and their team batting average comes in at .261. Boston owns a slugging percentage of .440 and have struck out 365 times, while being walked on 120 occasions.

Red Sox pitchers have relinquished 31 home runs and also 180 runs (15th in the league). They have walked 140 opposing hitters and their FIP is 3.37 as a squad for the season. They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.86 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.30. The Red Sox are sitting with a team ERA of 3.92 on the season (14th in MLB), and the staff has struck out 400 hitters.

The Red Sox have sent 136 relievers to the mound so far this season. The relievers have inherited 51 runners so far this season with 37.3% of them ended up crossing the plate. They have accumulated 12 saves on the season and have not converted 7 out of their 19 save chances. The Red Sox relief pitchers have accumulated a save rate of 63.2% and has stepped onto the mound in 46 save situations. The relief pitchers have accumulated 27 holds so far this season (5th in baseball). Red Sox pitchers have come into the game with players on base 34 times as well as having 57 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Boston Red Sox have earned 1,138 putouts for the season, as well as 391 assists and 29 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .981 which has them ranked 24th in the majors, and they have twisted 300 double plays. The Red Sox have converted 66.6% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 3,414 innings, which has them ranked 29th in MLB.

Perez has thrown 1,028 frames and has totaled 680 strikeouts during his career. Perez (57-63 career win-loss record) has earned a FIP of 4.47 and he has gone up against 4,488 hitters in the majors. His ERA is 4.66 (532 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.472. He has conceded 1,133 base hits (9.9 hits per 9 innings) and has 381 walks.

The Philadelphia Phillies hold a team on-base percentage of .314 and a team batting average of .241 this season. They have struck out on 424 instances (4th in MLB) and have 335 hits. Philadelphia has tallied 44 long balls for the season as well as 169 RBIs. The Phillies hold a team slugging % of .387 and they tally 4.24 runs per game (17th in the league). They have hit 60 doubles, while getting a free base 137 times as well as notching 178 runs.

The Philadelphia pitching staff have surrendered 180 runs this season while holding an ERA of 4.16 (170 earned runs conceded). They have yielded 54 HR's and they relinquish 4.40 runs per 9 innings (15th in the league). The Phillies have a team WHIP of 1.266 and have a FIP of 4.09 as a unit so far this year. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 3.23 (384 strikeouts against 119 free passes). They come in at 23rd in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 347.

With 41 save situations, the Phillies have earned 20 holds in addition to 9 blown saves. Philadelphia has called on relievers to enter the game in 20 save chances and they have walked away with 11 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have taken the field 60 times in high leverage situations and on 37 occasions with runners on base. Philadelphia bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 49.1% of 53 inherited runners. They sit at 22nd in the league with a save percentage of 55.0%, and they have dispatched 128 relief pitchers onto the field for the season.

The Philadelphia Phillies have turned 37 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .985 (8th in pro baseball). The Phillies have recorded 368 assists, 22 errors and are sitting with 1,104 putouts for the season. In 3,312 innings played, the Phillies are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 68.7% (22nd in baseball).

During his pro baseball career, Nola has allowed 773 hits while earning 983 K's in 897 frames. He has conceded a total of 347 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.159 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.4. His K/BB ratio is 3.68 and he has gone up against 3,689 batters so far in his career. Nola (61-43 mark in his career) has earned a 3.48 ERA while giving up 7.8 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's baseball game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Boston (+150)

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