Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees Prediction, 7/15/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees

Date: Thursday, July 15, 2021

Location: Yankee Stadium in Bronx, NY

TV: YES

Odds/Point Spread: Boston (+164) New York (-185)

Eduardo Rodriguez and the Boston Red Sox (55-36, 1st in AL East) are headed to Yankee Stadium on Thursday where they'll meet the New York Yankees (46-43, 4th in AL East). The Red Sox open this matchup at +164 while the Yankees are priced at -185. The over/under has been set at 8.5. The expected starting pitchers will be Eduardo Rodriguez and Jordan Montgomery.

As a squad, the Boston Red Sox are putting up 5.1 runs per game, which ranks them 4th in baseball. They have a total of 464 runs and have an on-base percentage of .322. The Red Sox have accrued 193 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 115 baseballs out of the park. They have amassed 435 RBI's in addition to 799 base knocks on the season, while their batting average is sitting at .259. Boston owns a slugging percentage of .439 and have been rung up 788 times, while being walked on 261 occasions.

Red Sox pitchers have allowed 93 home runs and 407 runs in total (18th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 311 opposing batters and their FIP sits at 3.87 as a team for the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.73 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.39. The Red Sox have a team earned run average of 4.09 this year (13th in baseball), and the staff has struck out 848 hitters.

The Red Sox have dispatched 302 relievers to the mound over the course of the season. The relief pitchers have inherited 140 runners so far this year and 30.7% of those players ended up scoring. They have 29 saves this season and have blown 14 of 43 save opportunities. The Red Sox relief pitchers have a save rate of 67.4% and stepped onto the hill in 107 save situations. The relievers have recorded 61 holds on the year (1st in MLB). Red Sox pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on base 90 times as well as having 114 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Red Sox have converted 65.4% of balls hit into play into outs in their 7,248 innings, which ranks them 30th in MLB. The Boston Red Sox have accumulated 2,416 putouts so far this season, as well as 834 assists and 65 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .980 which has them ranked 30th in the majors, and have 648 double plays.

Rodriguez has taken the ball for 788 innings and has earned 811 strikeouts so far in his pro baseball career. His earned run average is 4.20 (368 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.305. He has surrendered 761 base hits (8.7 hits per nine innings) and has had 268 walks. Rodriguez (57-36 win-loss record in his career) has a FIP of 3.91 and he has gone up against 3,359 hitters in the majors.

The New York Yankees have accounted for an OBP of .323 and a batting average of .236 over the course of the season. They have been rung up on 810 occasions (11th in MLB) and have totaled 692 hits. New York has accounted for 114 home runs on the season as well as 341 RBIs. The Yankees hold a team slugging % of .394 and they are recording 4.16 runs per game (20th in MLB). They have hit 111 two-baggers, while getting a free base 359 times and racking up 370 runs.

The New York pitching staff have yielded 369 runs for the season and come in with a team ERA of 3.79 (331 earned runs relinquished). They have yielded 104 homers and they yield 4.23 runs per 9 innings (11th in MLB). The Yankees have a team WHIP of 1.173 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.84 as a unit for the year. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 3.32 (841 strikeouts vs 253 bases on balls). They have a ranking of 8th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 669.

New York relievers have an inherited score rate of 27.5% of 102 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 106 times in high leverage situations and on 77 occasions with base runners. With 68 save situations, the Yankees have earned 36 holds in addition to 9 blown saves. They are ranked 5th in MLB with a save rate of 70.0%, and they have sent 258 bullpen pitchers to the hill on the year. New York has called on bullpen pitchers to take the mound in 30 save chances and they have tallied 21 saves.

Out of their 7,074 innings on the diamond, the Yankees have a defensive efficiency of 70.5% (9th in pro baseball). The New York Yankees have twisted 65 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .984 (16th in baseball). The Yankees have accrued 746 assists, 51 errors and have accounted for 2,358 putouts on the campaign.

In his pro baseball career, Montgomery has allowed 306 hits while earning 314 strikeouts in 323 innings. He has given up a total of 149 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.254 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.9. His K/BB ratio is 3.14 and he has faced 1,365 opposing batters in his career. Montgomery (16-14 win-loss record in his career) has a 4.14 earned run average while conceding 8.5 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Boston (+164)

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