Boston Red Sox vs New York Mets Prediction, 4/28/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs New York Mets

Date: Wednesday, April 28, 2021

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: SNY

Odds/Point Spread: Boston (+205) New York (-240)

Jacob deGrom and the New York Mets (9-8, 1st in NL East) host the Boston Red Sox (14-9, 1st in AL East) at Citi Field on Wednesday. The Mets open this matchup at -240 while the Red Sox are priced at +205. The O/U opens at 7. The pitchers taking the mound will be Nick Pivetta and Jacob deGrom.

As a team, the Boston Red Sox are scoring 5.2 runs per outing, which puts them at 3rd in the league. They have earned a total of 119 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .340. The Red Sox have tallied 54 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 26 baseballs out of the park. They have amassed 105 RBI's as well as 213 hits on the year, and their team batting average is sitting at .276. Boston has a slugging rate of .455 and have struck out 189 times, while drawing a walk on 66 occasions.

The Red Sox are sitting with a team ERA of 3.94 this season (12th in the league), and the staff has struck out 207 hitters. They have walked 85 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 3.38 as a unit this year. They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.44 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.31. Red Sox pitchers have relinquished 14 home runs and also 99 total runs (18th in the league).

Red Sox pitchers have entered the contest with runners on 22 times as well as having 28 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have a total of 11 holds for the season (14th in the league). The Red Sox bullpen have accumulated a save percentage of 71.4% and has entered the game in 18 save situations. They have 5 saves on the season and have missed out on 2 of their 7 save opportunities. The relievers have inherited 32 runners for the year and 31.3% of them ended up scoring. The Red Sox have sent 77 relief pitchers to the hill for the year.

The Red Sox have converted 67.9% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 1,830 innings, which has them ranked 26th in MLB. The Boston Red Sox have earned 610 putouts for the season, in addition to 209 assists and 16 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .981 which is 24th in professional baseball, and they have turned 163 double plays.

Pivetta has taken the hill for 427 innings and is sitting with 452 punch outs so far in his pro baseball career. Pivetta (23-30 record in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 4.58 and he has gone up against 1,855 hitters during his time in the major leagues. His ERA is 5.31 (252 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.426. He has given up 442 base knocks (9.3 hits per nine innings) and has 167 free passes.

New York has tallied 14 home runs so far this year and 53 runs batted in. They have 21 two-baggers, while walking 57 times as well as putting up 56 runs. The New York Mets have earned an on-base percentage of .329 as well as a batting average of .243 for the year. The Mets hold a team SLG% of .368 and they are earning 3.29 runs per contest (28th in MLB). They have struck out on 134 occasions (30th in MLB) and have accounted for 130 base hits.

The New York pitching staff have allowed 67 runs over the course of the season while having a team ERA of 3.25 (51 earned runs relinquished). They have allowed 9 homers and they surrender 4.27 runs per 9 innings (11th in baseball). The Mets have a WHIP of 1.120 with a FIP of 2.62 as a squad for the season. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 3.66 (172 strikeouts vs 47 free passes). They are sitting at 1st in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 111.

With 8 save situations, the Mets have amassed 4 holds in addition to 2 blown saves. New York has called on relief pitchers to enter the contest in 4 save opportunities and they have earned 2 saves. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 14 times in high leverage situations and on 12 occasions with runners on. New York relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 37.5% of 24 inherited base runners. They rank 21st in MLB holding a save percentage of 50.0%, and they have dispatched 46 bullpen pitchers onto the diamond this season.

The New York Mets have turned 12 double plays and have a fielding rate of .979 (27th in pro baseball). The Mets have 143 assists, 12 errors and have earned 424 putouts so far this year. Out of their 1,272 innings on the field, the Mets have a defensive efficiency of 67.9% (25th in baseball).

So far in his pro baseball career, deGrom has given up 954 hits while totaling 1,409 K's in 1,198 innings pitched. He has surrendered a total of 340 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.035 and a FIP of 2.7. His K/BB ratio is 4.91 and he has gone up against 4,755 hitters so far in his MLB career. deGrom (72-52 mark in his career) has earned a 2.55 ERA while giving up 7.2 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's baseball game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Boston (+205)

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