Boston Red Sox vs Houston Astros Prediction, 10/16/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs Houston Astros

Date: Saturday, October 16, 2021

Location: Minute Maid Park in Houston, TX

TV: FOX

Odds/Point Spread: Boston (+114) Houston (-141)

Nathan Eovaldi and the Boston Red Sox (92-70, 2nd in AL East) are headed to Minute Maid Park on Saturday where they'll meet the Houston Astros (95-67, 1st in AL West) in Game 2 of the ALCS. The Astros open this contest at -141 while the Red Sox are coming in at +114. The O/U is set at 8.5. The expected starting pitchers will be Nathan Eovaldi and Luis Garcia.

As a unit, the Boston Red Sox are scoring 5.1 runs per outing, which ranks them 4th in baseball. They have accumulated 829 runs and have an OBP of .328. The Red Sox have accumulated 330 doubles as a unit and have hit 219 baseballs out of the park. They have amassed 783 RBI's as well as 1,434 hits over the course of the season, while their batting average is .261. Boston has a slugging rate of .449 and have been called out on strikes 1,386 times, while being walked on 512 occasions.

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Red Sox pitchers have relinquished 176 home runs in addition to 749 total runs (18th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 546 opposing batters and their FIP sits at 3.95 as a squad this year. They have a K/BB ratio of 2.80 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.38. The Red Sox have an ERA of 4.26 on the campaign (15th in MLB), and their staff has rung up 1,527 batters.

Red Sox relief pitchers have gone to the mound with opponents on base 177 times and also have had 198 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have 95 holds on the season (7th in baseball). The Red Sox relief pitchers have a save percentage of 64.5% and has entered the game in 176 save situations. They have earned 49 saves on the campaign and have blown 27 out of their 76 save chances. The relief pitchers have inherited 277 base runners this year with 30.7% of those players crossed the plate. The Red Sox have sent 563 relievers to the hill over the course of the season.

The Boston Red Sox have amassed 4,257 putouts this year, as well as 1,421 assists and 108 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .981 which puts them in 29th in pro baseball, and have accumulated 1,104 double plays. The Red Sox have turned 65.9% of balls in play into outs out of 12,771 innings, ranking them 30th in the majors.

Eovaldi has taken the hill for 1,148 innings and has racked up 957 punch outs in his pro baseball career. His ERA is 4.19 (534 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.331. He has conceded 1,192 base knocks (9.3 hits per nine innings) with 336 walks. Eovaldi (61-65 career win-loss mark) holds a FIP of 3.78 while going up against 4,895 hitters in the majors.

The Houston Astros have recorded an on-base percentage of .339 in addition to a team batting average of .267 this year. They have been called out on strikes on 1,222 instances (29th in MLB) and are sitting with 1,496 base hits. Houston has tallied 221 long balls for the year to go along with 834 runs batted in. The Astros have a team slugging % of .444 and they are recording 5.33 runs per contest (1st in the league). They have 299 two-baggers, while getting a free base 569 times as well as scoring 863 runs.

The Houston pitching staff have given up 658 runs this season while holding a team ERA of 3.76 (604 earned runs conceded). They have relinquished 187 homers and they allow 4.10 runs per 9 innings (6th in MLB). The Astros have a team WHIP of 1.230 and have a FIP of 4.12 as a staff this season. Their K/BB ratio is 2.65 (1,456 strikeouts against 549 bases on balls). They have a ranking of 5th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 1,229.

With 131 save situations, the Astros have amassed 69 holds in addition to 27 blown saves. Houston has had relievers enter the game in 61 save opportunities and they have walked away with 34 saves. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 166 times in high leverage situations and on 137 occasions with runners on. Houston bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 36.1% out of 202 inherited runners. They sit at 24th in MLB holding a save rate of 55.7%, and they have dispatched 512 relief pitchers onto the diamond for the season.

The Houston Astros have turned 126 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .988 (1st in MLB). The Astros have 1,432 assists, 71 errors and have amassed 4,335 putouts during this campaign. In 13,005 innings played, the Astros have earned a efficiency on defense of 71.3% (3rd in MLB).

Garcia (11-9 career mark) holds a 3.27 earned run average while giving up 7.5 hits per nine innings. His K/BB ratio is 3.20 and he has gone up against 682 batters so far in his pro baseball career. He has given up a total of 61 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.157 and a FIP of 3.7. Thus far in his career, Garcia has surrendered 139 base hits while he has earned 176 strikeouts in 167 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Boston (+114)

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