Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, 9/30/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles

Date: Thursday, September 30, 2021

Location: Oriole Park in Baltimore, MD

TV: MASN/MASN2

Odds/Point Spread: Boston (-256) Baltimore (+190)

Alexander Wells and the Baltimore Orioles (51-106, 5th in AL East) play the Boston Red Sox (88-69, 3rd in AL East) at Oriole Park on Thursday. The Orioles open this matchup at +190 while the Red Sox are priced at -256. The total has been set at 10.5. The expected starting pitchers are Nick Pivetta and Alexander Wells.

Boston has a slugging percentage of .449 and have been called out on strikes 1,342 times, while taking a walk on 490 occasions. They have accrued 760 runs batted in as well as 1,389 base knocks so far this season, while their average at the plate is .261. The Red Sox have hit 326 doubles as a team and have smacked 210 balls out of the stadium. They have racked up 805 runs while having a team on-base percentage of .328. As a squad, the Boston Red Sox are notching 5.1 runs per outing, which puts them at 4th in the league.

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The Red Sox have compiled a team earned run average of 4.29 so far this year (16th in baseball), and their staff has struck out 1,471 batters. They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.80 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.38. Red Sox pitchers have given up 172 home runs in addition to 733 total runs (18th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 525 opposing batters and their FIP comes in at 3.96 as a unit so far this year.

The Red Sox have dispatched 540 relief pitchers to the mound this year. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 267 base runners for the year and 31.5% of those runners earned a run for their team. They have 46 saves on the season and have blown 26 out of their 72 save opportunities. The Red Sox relief pitchers have a save percentage of 63.9% and has come into the game in 165 save situations. The relievers have a total of 88 holds for the year (9th in the league). Red Sox bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on 173 times as well as having 187 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Boston Red Sox have a tally of 4,125 putouts this season, in addition to 1,381 assists and 106 errors. Their fielding rate is holding at .981 which is 29th in MLB, and have accumulated 1,078 double plays. The Red Sox have transformed 65.7% of baseballs in play into outs out of 12,375 innings on the diamond, which has them ranked 30th in professional baseball.

Pivetta has taken the mound for 555 innings and is sitting with 600 punch outs in his career. Pivetta (30-37 mark in his career) holds a FIP of 4.52 while he has faced 2,408 opposing hitters during his time in the majors. His earned run average is 5.17 (319 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.398. He has allowed 561 base hits (9.1 hits per nine innings) and has 216 free passes.

The Baltimore Orioles have accumulated an on-base percentage of .304 and a team batting average of .240 on the year. They have struck out on 1,403 instances (11th in the league) and have totaled 1,259 hits. Baltimore is sitting with 191 home runs over the course of the season to go along with 618 RBIs. The Orioles have a slugging percentage of .404 and they average 4.10 runs per contest (26th in MLB). They have hit 260 two-baggers, while taking a walk 442 times and notching 644 runs.

The Baltimore pitching staff have surrendered 920 runs for the year while having an ERA of 5.80 (877 earned runs conceded). They have surrendered 244 long balls and they allow 6.09 runs per 9 innings (30th in baseball). The Orioles hold a team WHIP of 1.481 and have a FIP of 5.08 as a staff on the season. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.19 (1,208 strikeouts vs 552 walks). They are sitting at 30th in the league as a staff in total hits surrendered with 1,462.

Baltimore has had bullpen pitchers enter the contest in 54 save opportunities and they have walked away with 26 saves. They are ranked 29th in the league with a save percentage of 48.1%, and they have dispatched 550 relief pitchers onto the field so far this season. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 155 times in high leverage situations and on 206 occasions with runners on base. Baltimore relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 40.2% out of their 326 inherited runners. Sitting with 119 save situations, the Orioles have earned 63 holds and 28 blown saves.

The Baltimore Orioles have twisted 94 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .987 (6th in MLB). The Orioles have recorded 1,313 assists, 71 errors and have earned 4,080 putouts so far this year. In 12,240 innings played, the Orioles have a defensive efficiency of 68.4% (28th in the majors).

During his MLB career, Wells has given up 50 base hits while accumulating 24 K's in 36 innings. Wells (1-3 career mark) has a 7.61 earned run average and has allowed 12.3 hits per 9 innings. He has conceded a total of 31 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.745 and being the owner of a FIP of 6.4. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 1.71 and he has faced 175 opposing hitters so far in his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's baseball game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Boston (-256)

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