Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, 9/29/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles
Date: Wednesday, September 29, 2021
Location: Oriole Park in Baltimore, MD
TV: MASN/MASN2
Odds/Point Spread: Boston (-286) Baltimore (+210)
Oriole Park is the venue where Zac Lowther and the Baltimore Orioles (50-106, 5th in AL East) will play the Boston Red Sox (88-68, 3rd in AL East) on Wednesday. The Orioles open this game at +210 while the Red Sox are priced at -286. The total is set at 9.5. The starting pitchers will be Nathan Eovaldi and Zac Lowther.
The Red Sox have hit 326 two-baggers as a unit and have knocked 208 baseballs out of the park. Boston has a slugging percentage of .450 and have been rung up 1,336 times, while drawing a walk on 488 occasions. As a unit, the Boston Red Sox are scoring 5.2 runs per game, which ranks them 4th in the league. They have tallied 758 RBI's and 1,386 hits so far this season, while their team batting average is sitting at .262. They have notched a total of 803 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .329.
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The Red Sox have an ERA of 4.29 so far this year (15th in the league), and their staff has rung up 1,462 hitters. Their K/BB ratio is 2.80 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.38. Red Sox pitchers have surrendered 171 long balls and 729 runs in total (19th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 523 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 3.97 as a squad so far this season.
The Red Sox relievers have accumulated a save percentage of 63.9% and stepped onto the hill in 165 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 266 runners on the season and 31.2% of them crossed the plate. Red Sox bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on 172 times in addition to having 186 appearances in high leverage situations. The Red Sox have dispatched 538 relief pitchers to the mound on the year. The relievers have 88 holds so far this year (8th in the league). They have accumulated 46 saves on the campaign and have blown 26 out of their 72 save opportunities.
The Boston Red Sox are sitting with 4,101 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 1,377 assists and 104 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .981 which ranks 28th in MLB, and have a total of 1,072 double plays. The Red Sox have turned 65.8% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 12,303 innings on the field, which ranks them 30th in the majors.
Eovaldi (60-65 record in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 3.79 while facing 4,872 opposing batters in the major leagues. He has given up 1,188 base knocks (9.4 hits per nine innings) and has 335 free passes. His ERA is 4.21 (534 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.333. Eovaldi has taken the mound for 1,142 innings and has racked up 950 K's during his MLB career.
The Baltimore Orioles have an OBP of .304 as well as a team batting average of .239 so far this year. They have been called out on strikes on 1,394 occasions (11th in the league) and have totaled 1,250 hits. Baltimore is sitting with 190 home runs for the year and 614 RBIs. The Orioles hold a team SLG% of .404 and they average 4.10 runs per outing (26th in baseball). They have notched 260 two-baggers, while taking a walk 440 times and putting up 640 runs.
The Baltimore pitching staff have conceded 918 runs for the year while having a team ERA of 5.83 (875 earned runs allowed). They have yielded 242 homers and they allow 6.12 runs per 9 innings (30th in MLB). The Orioles are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.487 and have a FIP of 5.08 as a pitching staff on the campaign. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.19 (1,202 strikeouts against 550 free passes). They sit at 30th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 1,459.
Baltimore has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the contest in 53 save chances and they have recorded 25 saves. They are currently ranked 29th in MLB with a save percentage of 47.2%, and they have dispatched 547 bullpen pitchers to the hill for the season. Their relief pitchers have come in 153 times in high leverage situations in addition to 206 occasions with runners on. Baltimore bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 40.2% out of 326 inherited runners. With 117 save situations, the Orioles have amassed 62 holds in addition to 28 blown saves.
In 12,159 innings on the field, the Orioles are sitting with a efficiency on defense of 68.2% (28th in MLB). The Baltimore Orioles have twisted 94 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .987 (6th in pro baseball). The Orioles have 1,303 assists, 71 errors and have earned a total of 4,053 putouts this season.
Lowther (1-2 career mark) is the owner of a 7.66 earned run average while conceding 10.2 hits per 9 innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.00 and he has gone up against 117 hitters so far in his MLB career. He has given up a total of 21 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.662 and having a FIP of 5.8. So far in his career, Lowther has allowed 28 base knocks while he has earned 26 punch outs in 24 frames.
Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Boston (-286)
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Additional Resources:
Baltimore Orioles - Twitter
Boston Red Sox - Twitter