Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, 9/28/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles

Date: Tuesday, September 28, 2021

Location: Oriole Park in Baltimore, MD

TV: MASN/MASN2

Odds/Point Spread: Boston (-278) Baltimore (+195)

Oriole Park is the venue where Bruce Zimmermann and the Baltimore Orioles (50-106, 5th in AL East) will take on the Boston Red Sox (88-68, 3rd in AL East) on Tuesday. The Orioles open this matchup at +195 while the Red Sox are priced at -278. The over/under opens at 9. The pitchers expected to start will be Chris Sale and Bruce Zimmermann.

The Red Sox have recorded 326 doubles as a squad and have hit 208 baseballs out of the stadium. Boston owns a slugging percentage of .450 and have been rung up 1,336 times, while being walked on 488 occasions. As a squad, the Boston Red Sox are recording 5.2 runs per game, which ranks them 4th in the league. They have tallied 758 runs batted in in addition to 1,386 hits for the year, while their average at the plate sits at .262. They have tallied 803 runs while having a team OBP of .329.

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Red Sox pitchers have given up 171 home runs and also 729 runs in total (20th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 523 opposing batters and their FIP comes in at 3.97 as a team this season. Their K/BB ratio is 2.80 and their pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.38. The Red Sox have compiled a team ERA of 4.29 on the year (16th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 1,462 batters.

Red Sox bullpen pitchers have entered the contest with runners on base 172 times in addition to having 186 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have a total of 88 holds so far this year (8th in the league). The Red Sox bullpen have accumulated a save percentage of 63.9% and has come into the game in 165 save situations. They have recorded 46 saves for the year and have missed out on 26 of their 72 chances to get a save. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 266 base runners so far this season with 31.2% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. The Red Sox have sent 538 relief pitchers to the mound so far this season.

The Red Sox have converted 65.8% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 12,303 innings, which has them sitting at 30th in pro baseball. The Boston Red Sox have a tally of 4,101 putouts for the season, in addition to 1,377 assists and 104 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .981 which puts them in 28th in pro baseball, and have accumulated 1,072 double plays.

Sale (114-73 win-loss mark in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 2.92 while he has faced 6,692 opposing hitters in the majors. He has conceded 1,349 base knocks (7.3 hits per 9 innings) with 382 free passes. His earned run average is 3.02 (558 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.040. Sale has taken the ball for 1,664 innings and has tallied 2,046 strikeouts so far in his career.

The Orioles hold a slugging % of .404 and they are earning 4.10 runs per outing (26th in the league). They have recorded 260 doubles, while taking a walk 440 times as well as recording 640 runs. Baltimore has tallied 190 home runs over the course of the season as well as 614 runs batted in. They have struck out on 1,394 occasions (11th in MLB) and are sitting with 1,250 hits. The Baltimore Orioles have recorded an OBP of .304 as well as a batting average of .239 over the course of the season.

The Orioles hold a team WHIP of 1.487 in addition to having a FIP of 5.08 as a unit this season. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.19 (1,202 strikeouts against 550 walks). They are currently ranked 30th in the league as a staff in total hits surrendered with 1,459. They have given up 242 home runs and they yield 6.12 runs per 9 innings (30th in MLB). The Baltimore pitching staff have surrendered 918 runs on the year while holding a team ERA of 5.83 (875 earned runs allowed).

Sitting with 117 save situations, the Orioles have tallied 62 holds in addition to 28 blown saves. Baltimore has had bullpen pitchers enter the contest in 53 save chances and they have converted 25 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 153 times in high leverage situations in addition to 206 occasions with runners on. Baltimore relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 40.2% out of 326 inherited base runners. They are ranked 29th in MLB with a save percentage of 47.2%, and they have dispatched 547 relievers onto the field on the year.

In 12,159 innings played, the Orioles have a defensive efficiency of 68.2% (28th in baseball). The Baltimore Orioles have turned 94 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .987 (6th in the majors). The Orioles have accrued 1,303 assists, 71 errors and have amassed 4,053 putouts so far this season.

During his pro baseball career, Zimmermann has conceded 74 hits and he has 60 punch outs in 66 innings pitched. He has given up 38 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.440 and a FIP of 5.3. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.73 and he has faced 293 batters so far in his MLB career. Zimmermann (4-4 win-loss mark in his career) has earned a 5.13 earned run average and has given up 10.0 hits per nine innings.

So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Baltimore (+195) and under 9 runs

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