Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, 10/2/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays

Date: Saturday, October 2, 2021

Location: Rogers Centre in Toronto, ON

TV: Sportsnet

Odds/Point Spread: Baltimore (+255) Toronto (-357)

Alek Manoah and the Toronto Blue Jays (88-71, 4th in AL East) host the Baltimore Orioles (52-107, 5th in AL East) at Rogers Centre on Saturday. The Blue Jays open this game at -357 while the Orioles are priced at +255. The total is set at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound will be John Means and Alek Manoah.

The Orioles have tallied 264 doubles as a team and have hit 192 baseballs out of the stadium. Baltimore has a slugging rate of .403 and have been rung up 1,425 times, while being walked on 446 occasions. As a team, the Baltimore Orioles are putting up 4.1 runs per game, which is 26th in the league. They have recorded 624 RBI's as well as 1,272 hits for the season, while their team batting average sits at .239. They have earned a total of 650 runs while having a team OBP of .304.

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Orioles pitchers have allowed 247 home runs and 928 runs in total (30th in baseball). They have walked 557 hitters and their FIP sits at 5.08 as a team for the year. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.19 and their pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.48. The Orioles are sitting with a team earned run average of 5.77 for the season (30th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 1,221 batters.

The Orioles have sent 557 relief pitchers to the hill for the year. The relievers have inherited 327 base runners on the season and 40.4% of them ended up crossing the plate. They have compiled 26 saves so far this season and have blown 28 of their 54 save opportunities. The Orioles bullpen have accumulated a save percentage of 48.1% and has come into the game in 119 save situations. The bullpen have accumulated 63 holds so far this season (30th in the league). Orioles bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on base 207 times in addition to having 156 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Baltimore Orioles have 4,134 putouts on the campaign, as well as 1,333 assists and 73 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .987 which is 6th in the majors, and they have turned 1,075 double plays. The Orioles have converted 68.4% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 12,402 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting 28th in professional baseball.

Means has taken the ball for 345 innings and has tallied 299 punch outs in his career. Means (20-23 career win-loss record) has a FIP of 4.56 while he has gone up against 1,402 opposing batters in the majors. His ERA is 3.70 (142 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.068. He has given up 298 hits (7.8 hits per nine innings) and has had 71 walks.

The Toronto Blue Jays have earned a team on-base percentage of .329 in addition to a team batting average of .264 on the season. They have been rung up on 1,205 instances (29th in the league) and are sitting with 1,417 base knocks. Toronto is sitting with 251 home runs over the course of the season as well as 788 runs batted in. The Blue Jays hold a team slugging % of .461 and they are recording 5.14 runs per game (3rd in the league). They have 277 two-baggers, while taking a walk 490 times and putting up 818 runs.

The Toronto pitching staff have given up 654 runs so far this year while holding an ERA of 3.92 (601 earned runs relinquished). They have relinquished 206 dingers and they surrender 4.27 runs per 9 innings (11th in the league). The Blue Jays have a WHIP of 1.234 and have a FIP of 4.19 as a team on the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 3.07 (1,439 strikeouts vs 468 free passes). They come in at 10th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 1,233.

Toronto relievers have an inherited score percentage of 28.4% of 236 inherited base runners. Their relievers have taken the field 156 times in high leverage situations in addition to 165 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 118 save situations, the Blue Jays have recorded 64 holds and 18 blown saves. They are ranked 9th in baseball with a save rate of 64.7%, and they have sent 530 relief pitchers onto the field on the campaign. Toronto has called on relief pitchers to enter the game in 51 save chances and they have earned 33 saves.

In their 12,405 innings on the field, the Blue Jays are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 70.0% (9th in the majors). The Toronto Blue Jays have twisted 119 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .984 (20th in MLB). The Blue Jays have racked up 1,347 assists, 89 errors and have earned a total of 4,135 putouts over the course of the season.

During his pro baseball career, Manoah has allowed 76 hits while he has earned 117 punch outs in 104 innings. Manoah (8-2 career record) has earned a 3.35 earned run average while allowing 6.5 hits per nine innings. He has surrendered a total of 39 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.099 and having a FIP of 4.0. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.00 and he has gone up against 435 batters so far in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Baltimore (+255)

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