Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, 10/1/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays

Date: Friday, October 1, 2021

Location: Rogers Centre in Toronto, ON

TV: Sportsnet

Odds/Point Spread: Baltimore (+295) Toronto (-435)

Conner Greene and the Baltimore Orioles (51-107, 5th in AL East) go to Rogers Centre on Friday where they'll meet the Toronto Blue Jays (88-70, 4th in AL East). The Orioles open this game at +295 while the Blue Jays are coming in at -435. The over/under opens at 10. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Conner Greene and Alek Manoah.

The Orioles have hit 263 doubles as a team and have hit 191 balls out of the stadium. Baltimore is slugging .403 and have struck out 1,414 times, while being walked on 444 occasions. As a squad, the Baltimore Orioles are notching 4.1 runs per game, which is 26th in the league. They have 618 runs batted in and 1,263 hits on the year, and their batting average is at .239. They have 644 runs while having a team on-base percentage of .304.

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The Orioles are sitting with a team ERA of 5.79 this season (30th in the league), and their staff has rung up 1,218 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 553 hitters and their FIP is 5.07 as a squad on the campaign. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.20 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.48. Orioles pitchers have given up 246 home runs and 926 total runs (30th in baseball).

The Orioles bullpen have recorded a save percentage of 48.1% and has entered the game in 119 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 327 runners for the season and 40.4% of those players crossed home plate. Orioles relief pitchers have gone to the mound with opponents on base 207 times as well as having 156 appearances in high leverage situations. The Orioles have sent 554 relief pitchers to the mound this season. The relief pitchers have a total of 63 holds so far this season (30th in MLB). They have earned 26 saves this season and have missed out on 28 of their 54 save chances.

The Orioles have turned 68.3% of baseballs in play into outs out of 12,321 innings, ranking them 28th in MLB. The Baltimore Orioles have amassed 4,107 putouts over the course of the season, as well as 1,322 assists and 73 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .987 which is 6th in the majors, and they have twisted 1,070 double plays.

Greene has taken the hill for 23 innings and has accumulated 24 strikeouts in his career. Greene (1-3 career record) sits with a FIP of 3.33 while he has faced 110 batters in the major leagues. His ERA is 7.83 (20 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.783. He has conceded 30 base knocks (11.7 hits per nine innings) with 11 walks.

The Toronto Blue Jays hold an on-base percentage of .329 as well as a team batting average of .264 on the season. They have been called out on strikes on 1,196 instances (29th in the league) and have 1,407 hits. Toronto has recorded 251 home runs on the season as well as 786 runs batted in. The Blue Jays hold a slugging percentage of .461 and they average 5.16 runs per contest (3rd in MLB). They have hit 274 doubles, while walking 488 times as well as scoring 816 runs.

The Toronto pitching staff have allowed 648 runs over the course of the season while having an ERA of 3.91 (595 earned runs conceded). They have allowed 201 homers and they relinquish 4.26 runs per 9 innings (10th in the league). The Blue Jays have a team WHIP of 1.235 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.16 as a squad so far this year. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 3.08 (1,428 strikeouts against 464 bases on balls). They sit at 10th in the league as a staff in total hits surrendered with 1,227.

Toronto has called on bullpen pitchers to take the mound in 51 save chances and they have tallied 33 saves. They are currently ranked 9th in baseball with a save percentage of 64.7%, and they have dispatched 527 bullpen pitchers onto the diamond this year. Their relief pitchers have come in 156 times in high leverage situations in addition to 165 occasions with base runners. Toronto relievers have an inherited score percentage of 28.4% of 236 inherited base runners. With 118 save situations, the Blue Jays have accrued 64 holds in addition to 18 blown saves.

The Toronto Blue Jays have turned 119 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .984 (20th in the majors). The Blue Jays have accrued 1,341 assists, 88 errors and have a tally of 4,108 putouts on the season. In their 12,324 innings on the field, the Blue Jays have accumulated a efficiency on defense of 69.9% (10th in pro baseball).

Manoah (8-2 win-loss mark in his career) holds a 3.35 ERA while allowing 6.5 hits per nine innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.00 and he has gone up against 435 opposing hitters in his pro baseball career. He has surrendered 39 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.099 and a FIP of 4.0. So far in his pro baseball career, Manoah has given up 76 base hits while tallying 117 K's in 104 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Baltimore (+295)

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