Baltimore Orioles vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 9/20/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Baltimore Orioles vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Monday, September 20, 2021

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: Baltimore (+125) Philadelphia (-167)

Citizens Bank Park is the site where Ranger Suarez and the Philadelphia Phillies (76-72, 2nd in NL East) will play the Baltimore Orioles (47-102, 5th in AL East) on Monday. The Orioles open this matchup at +125 while the Phillies are priced at -167. The over/under opens at 8. The men taking the mound will be John Means and Ranger Suarez.

The Orioles have accounted for 245 two-baggers as a unit and have smacked 184 balls out of the park. Baltimore has a slugging percentage of .406 and have been called out on strikes 1,322 times, while taking a walk on 414 occasions. As a team, the Baltimore Orioles are putting up 4.1 runs per game, which puts them at 26th in the league. They have earned 586 RBI's as well as 1,189 base knocks for the year, while their average at the plate sits at .240. They are sitting with 612 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .304.

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The Orioles hold a team ERA of 5.93 so far this year (30th in the league), and the staff has rung up 1,145 batters. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.16 and their pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.50. Orioles pitchers have surrendered 236 home runs and also 886 total runs (30th in the league). They have walked 530 batters and their FIP comes in at 5.16 as a squad so far this year.

Orioles relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with players on base 191 times in addition to having 138 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen are sitting with 54 holds so far this year (30th in MLB). The Orioles relief pitchers have a save percentage of 48.9% and has stepped onto the mound in 100 save situations. They have compiled 22 saves so far this season and have missed out on 23 of their 45 chances to get a save. The relief pitchers have inherited 305 runners this year and 40.3% of them crossed home plate. The Orioles have dispatched 512 relief pitchers to the hill this year.

The Baltimore Orioles are sitting with 3,841 putouts on the campaign, as well as 1,225 assists and 72 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .986 which is 7th in baseball, and have a total of 1,001 double plays. The Orioles have turned 68.1% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 11,523 innings, which has them sitting 28th in MLB.

Means has taken the hill for 334 frames and is sitting with 285 K's so far in his career. His earned run average is 3.75 (139 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.069. He has given up 287 hits (7.7 hits per nine innings) with 70 free passes. Means (19-22 career mark) has a FIP of 4.64 while he has faced 1,354 hitters in the major leagues.

The Phillies hold a team SLG% of .412 and they average 4.64 runs per game (11th in the league). They have hit 243 two-baggers, while taking a walk 524 times and racking up 686 runs. Philadelphia has a total of 183 long balls for the season to go along with 654 RBIs. They have been called out on strikes on 1,267 occasions (20th in MLB) and have recorded 1,187 base hits. The Philadelphia Phillies have accounted for an on-base percentage of .320 and a team batting average of .242 on the campaign.

The Philadelphia pitching staff have given up 695 runs on the campaign while having a team ERA of 4.48 (645 earned runs conceded). They have surrendered 191 homers and they concede 4.82 runs per 9 innings (19th in MLB). The Phillies are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.298 with a FIP of 4.20 as a unit this year. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.96 (1,357 strikeouts vs 459 bases on balls). They come in at 16th in the league as a staff in total hits relinquished with 1,225.

Sitting with 140 save situations, the Phillies have earned 68 holds and also 32 blown saves. Philadelphia has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the mound in 66 save opportunities and they have earned 34 saves. Their relievers have stepped onto the hill 154 times in high leverage situations and also on 137 occasions with runners on. Philadelphia relievers have an inherited score rate of 41.6% out of their 214 inherited base runners. They are currently ranked 27th in the league with a save rate of 51.5%, and they have dispatched 484 bullpen pitchers onto the diamond this season.

The Philadelphia Phillies have turned 125 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .983 (21st in MLB). The Phillies have 1,315 assists, 88 errors and are sitting with 3,893 putouts for the year. In 11,679 innings played, the Phillies have a defensive efficiency of 68.5% (26th in professional baseball).

Thus far in his career, Suarez has surrendered 139 base knocks while he has accumulated 140 strikeouts in 151 innings. He has surrendered 49 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.266 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.7. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.64 and he has faced 638 opposing hitters during his pro baseball career. Suarez (13-7 win-loss record in his career) has a 2.91 earned run average and has conceded 8.2 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's baseball game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Baltimore (+125)

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