Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees Prediction, 9/4/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees

Date: Saturday, September 4, 2021

Location: Yankee Stadium in Bronx, NY

TV: YES

Odds/Point Spread: Baltimore (+245) New York (-345)

Jordan Montgomery and the New York Yankees (77-56, 2nd in AL East) host the Baltimore Orioles (41-91, 5th in AL East) at Yankee Stadium on Saturday. The Yankees open this game at -345 while the Orioles are coming in at +245. The O/U opens at 10. The expected starting pitchers are Chris Ellis and Jordan Montgomery.

The Orioles have tallied 226 two-baggers as a team and have knocked 158 balls out of the stadium. Baltimore has a slugging percentage of .403 and have struck out 1,163 times, while drawing a walk on 363 occasions. As a unit, the Baltimore Orioles are recording 4.1 runs per game, which ranks them 26th in baseball. They have amassed 521 RBI's and 1,060 hits for the year, while their batting average is sitting at .240. They have racked up 542 runs while holding a team OBP of .303.

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Orioles pitchers have allowed 204 home runs in addition to 776 runs (30th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 466 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 5.02 as a unit this season. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.25 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.49. The Orioles have an ERA of 5.84 over the course of the season (30th in the league), and the staff has rung up 1,048 batters.

The Orioles relievers have recorded a save percentage of 51.4% and has entered the game in 85 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 274 base runners for the season with 39.8% of them crossed the plate. Orioles relief pitchers have come into the game with runners on 169 times and also have had 121 appearances in high leverage situations. The Orioles have dispatched 452 relievers to the hill so far this year. The relief pitchers have tallied 47 holds so far this season (30th in the league). They have compiled 19 saves so far this season and have blown 18 of 37 save opportunities.

The Baltimore Orioles have accumulated 3,421 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 1,100 assists and 61 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .987 which ranks 5th in MLB, and they have turned 906 double plays. The Orioles have converted 67.9% of baseballs in play into outs out of 10,263 innings on the field, ranking them 28th in MLB.

Ellis has taken the hill for 12 frames and has totaled 12 strikeouts so far in his MLB career. His ERA is 2.84 (4 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.105. He has surrendered 11 base knocks (7.8 hits per 9 innings) with 3 free passes. Ellis (1-0 career mark) is the owner of a FIP of 4.50 while going up against 52 opposing batters during his time in the major leagues.

The New York Yankees have compiled a team on-base percentage of .326 as well as a batting average of .238 this season. They have struck out on 1,222 instances (9th in the league) and are sitting with 1,041 hits. New York has hit 171 HRs over the course of the season to go along with 540 RBIs. The Yankees have a team slugging % of .402 and they have an average of 4.36 runs per contest (19th in baseball). They have 183 two-baggers, while taking a walk 532 times and putting up 580 runs.

The New York pitching staff have conceded 528 runs for the season while holding an ERA of 3.63 (474 earned runs conceded). They have given up 150 dingers and they yield 4.05 runs per 9 innings (6th in MLB). The Yankees hold a team WHIP of 1.169 with a FIP of 3.77 as a squad on the campaign. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 3.24 (1,262 strikeouts against 390 bases on balls). They rank 4th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 982.

New York bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 28.5% of 165 inherited runners. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 175 times in high leverage situations and also on 124 occasions with base runners. With 138 save situations, the Yankees have amassed 71 holds and 20 blown saves. They are ranked 4th in the league holding a save percentage of 67.7%, and they have dispatched 406 relief pitchers to the hill this year. New York has had relievers take the mound in 62 save chances and they have recorded 42 saves.

Out of their 10,566 innings played, the Yankees hold a defensive efficiency of 70.6% (5th in baseball). The New York Yankees have twisted 95 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .983 (21st in the majors). The Yankees have 1,105 assists, 78 errors and have a total of 3,522 putouts over the course of the season.

Montgomery (18-15 mark in his career) has earned a 3.91 ERA and has surrendered 8.3 hits per nine innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.05 and he has gone up against 1,514 opposing batters so far in his career. He has surrendered a total of 157 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.238 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.9. In his pro baseball career, Montgomery has surrendered 334 hits while earning 345 strikeouts in 361 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Baltimore (+245)

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