Baltimore Orioles vs Detroit Tigers Prediction, 7/30/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Baltimore Orioles vs Detroit Tigers

Date: Friday, July 30, 2021

Location: Comerica Park in Detroit, MI

TV: Bally Sports Detroit

Odds/Point Spread: Baltimore (+125) Detroit (-156)

Comerica Park is the site where Tarik Skubal and the Detroit Tigers (49-55, 3rd in AL Central) will play the Baltimore Orioles (35-65, 5th in AL East) on Friday. The Tigers open this contest at -156 while the Orioles are coming in at +125. The total opens at 9. The men taking the mound are Matt Harvey and Tarik Skubal.

The Orioles have tallied 170 two-baggers as a squad and have knocked 115 balls out of the park. Baltimore has a slugging rate of .397 and have been called out on strikes 886 times, while being walked on 286 occasions. As a unit, the Baltimore Orioles are putting up 4.2 runs per game, which has them at 21st in MLB. They have 406 runs batted in as well as 792 base knocks for the season, and their average at the plate is sitting at .237. They have earned a total of 419 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .303.

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Orioles pitchers have conceded 147 home runs and 552 total runs (28th in baseball). They have walked 350 players from the other team and their FIP sits at 4.81 as a team on the year. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.37 and their pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.46. The Orioles hold a team earned run average of 5.47 so far this year (30th in baseball), and the staff has rung up 830 hitters.

Orioles relief pitchers have entered the contest with runners on base 131 times in addition to having 104 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have a total of 40 holds so far this year (28th in the league). The Orioles relievers have a save rate of 51.6% and has stepped onto the mound in 72 save situations. They have earned 16 saves for the season and have blown 15 out of their 31 save chances. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 204 runners so far this season with 35.8% of those runners crossed home plate. The Orioles have sent 339 relief pitchers to the mound this year.

The Baltimore Orioles have accounted for 2,596 putouts thus far, as well as 816 assists and 47 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .986 which has them sitting 5th in pro baseball, and have a total of 685 double plays. The Orioles have turned 67.7% of balls in play into outs out of their 7,788 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting at 28th in pro baseball.

Harvey has thrown 926 frames and has totaled 839 strikeouts during his MLB career. Harvey (49-62 career record) sits with a FIP of 3.92 and he has gone up against 3,925 hitters in the majors. His earned run average is 4.38 (451 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.279. He has given up 921 base knocks (8.9 hits per 9 innings) and has 264 free passes.

Detroit has a total of 120 HRs this year to go along with 446 runs batted in. They have hit 138 two-baggers, while taking a walk 333 times as well as scoring 460 runs. The Detroit Tigers are sitting with a team OBP of .311 in addition to a team batting average of .241 for the season. The Tigers have a team SLG% of .399 and they score 4.42 runs per game (15th in baseball). They have struck out on 993 instances (2nd in the league) and have notched a total of 824 hits.

The Tigers have a team WHIP of 1.363 and have a FIP of 4.68 as a unit over the course of the season. They are sitting at 25th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 864. The Detroit pitching staff have surrendered 514 runs for the season and come in with a team ERA of 4.68 (468 earned runs surrendered). They currently have a K/BB ratio of 2.27 (825 strikeouts against 363 walks). They have relinquished 135 HR's and they surrender 5.14 runs per 9 innings (24th in the league).

Detroit bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 38.2% out of 157 inherited base runners. Their relievers have come in 101 times in high leverage situations and on 101 occasions with runners on. With 93 save situations, the Tigers have amassed 51 holds and also 14 blown saves. They are ranked 11th in MLB holding a save percentage of 63.2%, and they have dispatched 364 bullpen pitchers to the hill for the season. Detroit has called on relievers to take the mound in 38 save opportunities and they have walked away with 24 saves.

The Detroit Tigers have twisted 87 double plays and have a fielding rate of .984 (12th in MLB). The Tigers have accrued 920 assists, 57 errors and are sitting with 2,700 putouts this year. In 8,100 innings on the diamond, the Tigers have earned a efficiency on defense of 69.7% (14th in the majors).

So far in his career, Skubal has conceded 121 base knocks and he has 150 K's in 131 innings pitched. He has conceded 69 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.291 and having a FIP of 5.2. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.06 and he has gone up against 563 opposing batters during his MLB career. Skubal (7-13 career win-loss mark) has earned a 4.72 earned run average while surrendering 8.3 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Baltimore (+125)

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