Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 9/18/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Saturday, September 18, 2021

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Baltimore (+220) Boston (-303)

Fenway Park is the site where Nick Pivetta and the Boston Red Sox (83-65, 3rd in AL East) will take on the Baltimore Orioles (47-99, 5th in AL East) on Saturday. The Orioles open this contest at +220 while the Red Sox are priced at -303. The O/U has been set at 10.5. The pitchers taking the mound will be Zac Lowther and Nick Pivetta.

The Orioles have compiled 244 two-baggers as a squad and have knocked 181 balls out of the park. Baltimore is slugging .406 and have been called out on strikes 1,306 times, while drawing a walk on 410 occasions. As a unit, the Baltimore Orioles are earning 4.2 runs per outing, which has them at 26th in MLB. They have 582 runs batted in as well as 1,176 base knocks this year, and their batting average is at .240. They have accounted for 608 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .304.

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The Orioles have compiled a team earned run average of 5.90 so far this year (30th in the league), and they have rung up 1,136 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 522 players from the other team and their FIP is 5.17 as a squad this year. They have a K/BB ratio of 2.18 and their pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.49. Orioles pitchers have given up 234 home runs and also 870 total runs (30th in baseball).

The Orioles have sent 504 relievers to the hill on the year. The relief pitchers have inherited 301 base runners on the season and 40.5% of those players crossed the plate. They have 22 saves this year and have blown 23 out of their 45 chances to get a save. The Orioles relievers have recorded a save percentage of 48.9% and has come into the game in 100 save situations. The relief pitchers have 54 holds on the season (30th in MLB). Orioles pitchers have come into the game with runners on base 188 times as well as having 137 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Baltimore Orioles have 3,793 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 1,208 assists and 71 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .986 which is 7th in professional baseball, and they have turned 987 double plays. The Orioles have converted 68.2% of balls hit into play into outs out of 11,379 innings on the diamond, which ranks them 28th in the majors.

Lowther has taken the hill for 16 innings and has earned 17 punch outs in his pro baseball career. Lowther (0-2 career mark) is the owner of a FIP of 7.45 while he has gone up against 81 hitters in the major leagues. His earned run average is 9.92 (18 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.776. He has surrendered 20 base hits (11.0 hits per 9 innings) with 9 walks.

The Red Sox have a SLG% of .446 and they average 5.08 runs per contest (4th in MLB). They have recorded 301 doubles, while walking 464 times and earning 752 runs. Boston has hit 198 HRs so far this season as well as 712 RBIs. They have been rung up on 1,279 instances (14th in baseball) and have tallied 1,303 base hits. The Boston Red Sox have recorded an OBP of .327 and a batting average of .260 this season.

The Red Sox are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.384 and have a FIP of 3.98 as a pitching staff on the season. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 2.78 (1,384 strikeouts against 497 walks). They rank 28th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 1,295. They have given up 162 homers and they give up 4.81 runs per 9 innings (18th in the league). The Boston pitching staff have relinquished 692 runs over the course of the season while holding a team ERA of 4.27 (615 earned runs relinquished).

Boston relievers have an inherited score rate of 30.2% out of their 248 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have come in 176 times in high leverage situations in addition to 162 occasions with runners on base. With 155 save situations, the Red Sox have tallied 82 holds in addition to 23 blown saves. They are ranked 5th in MLB with a save percentage of 66.2%, and they have dispatched 505 bullpen pitchers onto the field for the year. Boston has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the contest in 68 save opportunities and they have tallied 45 saves.

In 11,655 innings played, the Red Sox have earned a defensive efficiency of 65.7% (30th in MLB). The Boston Red Sox have turned 132 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .980 (29th in MLB). The Red Sox have accrued 1,299 assists, 104 errors and are sitting with 3,885 putouts on the campaign.

Pivetta (30-37 record in his career) has a 5.19 ERA and has conceded 9.1 hits per 9 innings. His K/BB ratio is 2.74 and he has faced 2,371 opposing batters so far in his MLB career. He has allowed a total of 315 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.401 and having a FIP of 4.5. During his career, Pivetta has allowed 551 base knocks while he has earned 590 K's in 546 innings.

So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Boston (-303) and under 10.5 runs

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