Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 9/17/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Friday, September 17, 2021

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Baltimore (+275) Boston (-435)

Keegan Akin and the Baltimore Orioles (46-99, 5th in AL East) travel to Fenway Park on Friday where they'll meet the Boston Red Sox (83-65, 4th in AL East). The moneyline on this game has the Orioles priced at +275 and the Red Sox are at -435. The over/under has been set at 10. The pitchers who are expected to start are Keegan Akin and Chris Sale.

As a team, the Baltimore Orioles are recording 4.2 runs per contest, which puts them at 26th in the league. They have tallied 605 runs while having a team on-base percentage of .304. The Orioles have tallied 244 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 180 baseballs out of the park. They have accumulated 580 runs batted in and 1,166 base knocks this season, while their batting average is at .240. Baltimore has a slugging % of .407 and have been called out on strikes 1,289 times, while being walked on 408 occasions.

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Orioles pitchers have yielded 233 long balls and also 868 total runs (30th in the league). They have walked 516 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 5.17 as a unit on the campaign. Their K/BB ratio is 2.19 and their pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.49. The Orioles have a team earned run average of 5.93 for the year (30th in MLB), and their staff has rung up 1,128 hitters.

The Orioles have sent 500 relievers to the hill this season. The relief pitchers have inherited 300 runners for the season with 40.7% of them ended up scoring. They have accumulated 22 saves for the season and have blown 23 of their 45 save opportunities. The Orioles relievers have accumulated a save rate of 48.9% and has come into the game in 100 save situations. The relievers have notched 54 holds this year (30th in baseball). Orioles relief pitchers have gone to the mound with players on base 187 times in addition to having 137 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Orioles have turned 68.2% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 11,289 innings, ranking them 28th in the majors. The Baltimore Orioles have a tally of 3,763 putouts this season, as well as 1,199 assists and 71 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .986 which puts them in 7th in the majors, and have earned 983 double plays.

Akin has taken the mound for 111 innings and has 111 punch outs during his MLB career. His ERA is 6.31 (78 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.545. He has conceded 126 base knocks (10.2 hits per nine innings) and has 46 free passes. Akin (3-11 record in his career) sits with a FIP of 4.72 while going up against 502 opposing hitters in the major leagues.

The Boston Red Sox have an on-base percentage of .327 and a batting average of .260 on the season. They have been called out on strikes on 1,279 instances (14th in MLB) and have a total of 1,303 hits. Boston is sitting with 198 HRs on the year as well as 712 RBIs. The Red Sox hold a team slugging % of .446 and they score 5.08 runs per contest (4th in MLB). They have recorded 301 two-baggers, while getting a free base 464 times as well as racking up 752 runs.

The Red Sox have a team WHIP of 1.384 with a FIP of 3.98 as a pitching staff this season. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 2.78 (1,384 strikeouts against 497 free passes). They are sitting at 28th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 1,295. They have given up 162 dingers and they relinquish 4.81 runs per 9 innings (18th in MLB). The Boston pitching staff have given up 692 runs so far this year while having a team ERA of 4.27 (615 earned runs yielded).

Boston has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the game in 68 save opportunities and they have tallied 45 saves. They are ranked 5th in the league with a save percentage of 66.2%, and they have dispatched 505 relievers to the mound on the campaign. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 176 times in high leverage situations and also on 162 occasions with runners on base. Boston relievers have an inherited score rate of 30.2% out of their 248 inherited runners. With 155 save situations, the Red Sox have amassed 82 holds and also 23 blown saves.

In 11,655 innings on the diamond, the Red Sox have earned a efficiency on defense of 65.7% (30th in pro baseball). The Boston Red Sox have turned 132 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .980 (29th in the majors). The Red Sox have accrued 1,299 assists, 104 errors and have a tally of 3,885 putouts for the season.

Sale (112-73 career record) holds a 3.02 ERA while surrendering 7.3 hits per 9 innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 5.36 and he has faced 6,653 batters so far in his pro baseball career. He has given up 555 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.040 and a FIP of 2.9. In his pro baseball career, Sale has surrendered 1,341 base knocks while he has tallied 2,037 punch outs in 1,654 frames.

So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Boston (-435) and under 10 runs

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