Atlanta Braves vs San Diego Padres Prediction, 9/26/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs San Diego Padres

Date: Sunday, September 26, 2021

Location: Petco Park in San Diego, CA

TV: Bally Sports San Diego

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (+125) San Diego (-172)

Jesse Chavez and the Atlanta Braves (81-72, 1st in NL East) go to Petco Park on Sunday where they'll take on the San Diego Padres (78-76, 3rd in NL West). The line on this contest has the Braves coming in at +125 and the Padres are at -172. The total is set at 8.5. The pitchers who are expected to start are Jesse Chavez and Joe Musgrove.

As a unit, the Atlanta Braves are notching 4.9 runs/g, which ranks them 8th in baseball. They have notched a total of 748 runs scored and have an on-base percentage of .319. The Braves have tallied 253 doubles as a unit and have knocked 230 baseballs out of the park. They have tallied 720 runs batted in in addition to 1,239 base knocks this year, and their average at the plate comes in at .243. Atlanta is slugging .436 and have struck out 1,374 times, while drawing a walk on 523 occasions.

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Braves pitchers have conceded 175 home runs and also 630 runs in total (6th in baseball). They have walked 494 opposing players and their FIP comes in at 4.10 as a unit so far this season. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.74 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.25. The Braves have an earned run average of 3.93 on the campaign (12th in the league), and their staff has rung up 1,352 batters.

The Braves relief pitchers have a save percentage of 58.3% and stepped onto the hill in 167 save situations. The relievers have inherited 179 runners for the season and 34.1% of those runners ended up scoring. Braves pitchers have come into the game with players on base 123 times as well as having 210 appearances in high leverage situations. The Braves have sent 547 relief pitchers to the hill on the year. The bullpen have tallied 106 holds over the course of the season (2nd in the league). They have accumulated 35 saves on the year and have missed out on 25 of 60 chances to get a save.

The Braves have turned 70.6% of balls in play into outs in their 12,039 innings, which has them ranked 6th in pro baseball. The Atlanta Braves have a tally of 4,013 putouts on the campaign, as well as 1,406 assists and 67 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .988 which has them ranked 2nd in MLB, and they have twisted 1,076 double plays.

Chavez has thrown 961 innings and has tallied 864 strikeouts thus far in his career. His ERA is 4.47 (477 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.343. He has surrendered 986 base knocks (9.2 hits per 9 innings) and has had 305 free passes. Chavez (44-60 career record) is the owner of a FIP of 4.30 and he has faced 4,115 batters during his time in the majors.

San Diego has tallied 172 home runs on the season as well as 665 runs batted in. They have 255 doubles, while walking 564 times and earning 698 runs. The San Diego Padres have an OBP of .322 as well as a batting average of .242 over the course of the season. The Padres hold a team slugging % of .400 and they average 4.53 runs per contest (14th in the league). They have been called out on strikes on 1,252 instances (26th in baseball) and have a total of 1,236 hits.

The San Diego pitching staff have conceded 657 runs over the course of the season while having an ERA of 3.99 (604 earned runs relinquished). They have conceded 189 long balls and they relinquish 4.34 runs per 9 innings (12th in MLB). The Padres are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.239 and have a FIP of 4.10 as a unit so far this year. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 3.00 (1,444 strikeouts against 482 walks). They sit at 11th in the league as a staff in total hits relinquished with 1,204.

San Diego bullpen pitchers have an inherited score rate of 34.5% out of 165 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have come in 146 times in high leverage situations in addition to 116 occasions with runners on base. With 158 save situations, the Padres have amassed 89 holds and also 25 blown saves. They rank 12th in baseball with a save percentage of 62.7%, and they have sent 592 relievers to the mound for the year. San Diego has called on relievers to enter the contest in 67 save chances and they have earned 42 saves.

The San Diego Padres have turned 136 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .986 (9th in the majors). The Padres have 1,346 assists, 77 errors and have a tally of 4,083 putouts this year. In their 12,249 innings played, the Padres have earned a defensive efficiency of 69.9% (10th in professional baseball).

Thus far in his career, Musgrove has given up 622 base hits while he has totaled 655 K's in 668 innings pitched. He has allowed 299 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.190 and having a FIP of 3.9. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.79 and he has faced 2,793 opposing batters during his pro baseball career. Musgrove (40-47 win-loss mark in his career) holds a 4.03 earned run average and has surrendered 8.4 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game ATS?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Atlanta (+125)

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