Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 7/24/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Saturday, July 24, 2021

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (-105) Philadelphia (-116)

Drew Smyly and the Atlanta Braves (47-48, 2nd in NL East) are headed to Citizens Bank Park on Saturday where they'll meet the Philadelphia Phillies (47-48, 3rd in NL East). The Braves open this game at -105 while the Phillies are priced at -116. The O/U has been set at 9. The pitchers taking the mound are Drew Smyly and Vince Velasquez.

Atlanta is slugging .426 and have been rung up 871 times, while taking a walk on 345 occasions. They have accounted for 432 runs batted in and 745 base knocks for the season, and their batting average sits at .239. The Braves have hit 164 doubles as a unit and have hit 131 balls out of the park. They have earned 451 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .321. As a team, the Atlanta Braves are scoring 4.8 runs per game, which puts them at 11th in baseball.

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The Braves have compiled a team earned run average of 4.18 so far this year (16th in the league), and their staff has rung up 845 batters. They have walked 324 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 4.14 as a unit on the year. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.61 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.31. Braves pitchers have surrendered 108 home runs and 421 total runs (13th in MLB).

The Braves have sent 344 relief pitchers to the hill this season. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 131 runners so far this season and 37.4% of them crossed home plate. They have recorded 20 saves so far this season and have not converted 15 of 35 save opportunities. The Braves relievers have accumulated a save percentage of 57.1% and has entered the game in 98 save situations. The relief pitchers have racked up 62 holds over the course of the season (5th in MLB). Braves pitchers have gone to the mound with players on base 86 times and also have had 138 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Atlanta Braves have 2,481 putouts so far this season, as well as 843 assists and 45 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .987 which has them sitting 4th in the majors, and they have turned 675 double plays. The Braves have converted 69.6% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 7,443 innings, which has them ranked 16th in pro baseball.

Smyly (42-38 win-loss mark in his career) holds a FIP of 4.25 while he has faced 3,336 batters in the major leagues. He has given up 751 hits (8.5 hits per nine innings) and has had 255 walks. His ERA is 4.17 (368 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.266. Smyly has taken the mound for 794 frames and is sitting with 788 punch outs so far in his pro baseball career.

Philadelphia has knocked in 108 home runs over the course of the season as well as 409 runs batted in. They have 151 doubles, while walking 333 times and scoring 429 runs. The Philadelphia Phillies have an on-base percentage of .318 as well as a batting average of .240 on the campaign. The Phillies hold a slugging % of .399 and they average 4.52 runs per contest (13th in baseball). They have struck out on 880 occasions (9th in baseball) and have recorded 753 base knocks.

The Philadelphia pitching staff have allowed 445 runs on the campaign while having an ERA of 4.42 (407 earned runs allowed). They have allowed 124 homers and they allow 4.83 runs per 9 innings (20th in the league). The Phillies hold a team WHIP of 1.304 in addition to having a FIP of 4.23 as a staff for the year. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.98 (872 strikeouts vs 293 free passes). They have a ranking of 17th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 788.

Philadelphia relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 42.7% of 124 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill 105 times in high leverage situations in addition to 84 occasions with base runners. With 90 save situations, the Phillies have earned 41 holds in addition to 23 blown saves. They are currently ranked 28th in MLB holding a save rate of 48.9%, and they have dispatched 299 relievers to the hill on the season. Philadelphia has had bullpen pitchers take the mound in 45 save opportunities and they have earned 22 saves.

In 7,461 innings played, the Phillies are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 68.3% (24th in pro baseball). The Philadelphia Phillies have twisted 85 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .984 (15th in the majors). The Phillies have recorded 848 assists, 55 errors and have earned a total of 2,487 putouts this season.

Velasquez (31-39 mark in his career) holds a 4.76 earned run average while giving up 8.7 hits per nine innings. His K/BB ratio is 2.67 and he has faced 2,730 batters so far in his career. He has conceded 335 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.377 and a FIP of 4.5. During his MLB career, Velasquez has given up 612 hits while he has totaled 696 strikeouts in 634 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's baseball game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Philadelphia (-116)

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