Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 7/22/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Thursday, July 22, 2021

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (-116) Philadelphia (-105)

Matt Moore and the Philadelphia Phillies (47-46, 2nd in NL East) play the Atlanta Braves (46-47, 3rd in NL East) at Citizens Bank Park on Thursday. The Phillies open this game at -105 while the Braves are coming in at -116. The over/under has been set at 9. The expected starting pitchers are Max Fried and Matt Moore.

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Atlanta has a slugging % of .427 and have struck out 862 times, while taking a walk on 338 occasions. They have earned 425 runs batted in and 733 hits so far this season, and their team batting average is at .240. The Braves have recorded 162 two-baggers as a squad and have knocked 129 balls out of the park. They have notched a total of 442 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .322. As a squad, the Atlanta Braves are knocking in 4.8 runs per game, which ranks them 11th in the league.

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The Braves have compiled a team earned run average of 4.21 for the year (15th in MLB), and the staff has struck out 828 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 316 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 4.17 as a team on the season. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.62 and their pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.31. Braves pitchers have allowed 107 long balls and 416 total runs (13th in the league).

The Braves bullpen have a save rate of 57.1% and has come into the game in 98 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 128 runners on the season and 37.5% of them crossed the plate. Braves bullpen pitchers have entered the game with runners on 84 times in addition to having 138 appearances in high leverage situations. The Braves have sent 338 relief pitchers to the hill over the course of the season. The bullpen have notched 62 holds this season (2nd in MLB). They have earned 20 saves on the season and have blown 15 of 35 save chances.

The Atlanta Braves have a tally of 2,433 putouts thus far, in addition to 827 assists and 45 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .986 which ranks 4th in the majors, and they have twisted 659 double plays. The Braves have turned 69.6% of baseballs in play into outs out of 7,299 innings, which has them ranked 15th in MLB.

Fried (33-16 career mark) holds a FIP of 3.72 while facing 1,530 hitters in the majors. He has allowed 352 base hits (8.8 hits per 9 innings) and has had 124 walks. His ERA is 3.69 (148 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.319. Fried has thrown 361 frames and is sitting with 368 punch outs during his MLB career.

The Philadelphia Phillies have accounted for a team on-base percentage of .317 as well as a team batting average of .241 on the year. They have struck out on 861 instances (10th in the league) and have totaled 742 base hits. Philadelphia has tallied 107 home runs so far this season to go along with 403 runs batted in. The Phillies hold a slugging percentage of .401 and they earn 4.54 runs per game (13th in MLB). They have notched 147 doubles, while taking a walk 318 times as well as putting up 422 runs.

The Phillies have a team WHIP of 1.301 with a FIP of 4.19 as a pitching staff this year. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 3.04 (856 strikeouts against 282 free passes). They sit at 17th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 772. They have conceded 120 home runs and they yield 4.80 runs per 9 innings (19th in MLB). The Philadelphia pitching staff have allowed 432 runs for the year and come in with a team ERA of 4.39 (395 earned runs surrendered).

Philadelphia has called on relievers to step onto the hill in 45 save opportunities and they have come away with 22 saves. They rank 27th in the league with a save percentage of 48.9%, and they have sent 292 relievers onto the field so far this season. Their relief pitchers have come in 102 times in high leverage situations and also on 83 occasions with runners on base. Philadelphia relievers hold an inherited score rate of 43.4% out of their 122 inherited base runners. Sitting with 90 save situations, the Phillies have earned 41 holds in addition to 23 blown saves.

In their 7,296 innings on the field, the Phillies have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 68.1% (25th in the majors). The Philadelphia Phillies have turned 84 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .984 (14th in the majors). The Phillies have accrued 826 assists, 54 errors and have a total of 2,432 putouts during this campaign.

Moore (54-57 career mark) has a 4.54 ERA while allowing 9.0 hits per nine innings. His K/BB ratio is 2.17 and he has gone up against 4,061 hitters during his pro baseball career. He has given up a total of 469 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.410 and having a FIP of 4.4. During his pro baseball career, Moore has given up 926 base knocks while he has totaled 839 strikeouts in 930 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Philadelphia (-105)

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