Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets Prediction, 7/28/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets

Date: Wednesday, July 28, 2021

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: SNY

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (+105) New York (-132)

Tylor Megill and the New York Mets (53-45, 1st in NL East) play the Atlanta Braves (49-51, 3rd in NL East) at Citi Field on Wednesday. The Mets open this matchup at -132 while the Braves are priced at +105. The O/U opens at 7.5. The expected starting pitchers will be Max Fried and Tylor Megill.

The Braves have hit 173 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 137 baseballs out of the park. Atlanta has a slugging percentage of .426 and have been called out on strikes 916 times, while taking a walk on 356 occasions. As a team, the Atlanta Braves are notching 4.7 runs per game, which ranks them 11th in the league. They have 451 runs batted in and 789 hits this year, while their team batting average is .241. They have racked up 470 runs and hold an on-base percentage of .321.

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Braves pitchers have allowed 111 home runs and also 432 runs in total (13th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 339 opposing batters and their FIP is 4.10 as a unit for the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.60 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.31. The Braves have an ERA of 4.10 so far this year (15th in the league), and they have rung up 880 hitters.

The Braves relief pitchers have compiled a save rate of 58.3% and has come into the game in 100 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 134 base runners on the season with 36.6% of them ended up crossing the plate. Braves pitchers have come into the game with runners on base 88 times in addition to having 142 appearances in high leverage situations. The Braves have dispatched 357 relief pitchers to the hill so far this year. The relievers are sitting with 63 holds so far this year (5th in the league). They have 21 saves on the year and have blown 15 out of their 36 chances to get a save.

The Braves have transformed 69.6% of balls in play into outs in their 7,785 innings on the diamond, ranking them 18th in the majors. The Atlanta Braves have accounted for 2,595 putouts on the campaign, as well as 889 assists and 47 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .987 which puts them in 4th in baseball, and have earned 712 double plays.

Fried (33-17 win-loss record in his career) has a FIP of 3.74 while facing 1,554 hitters in the major leagues. He has allowed 358 hits (8.8 hits per nine innings) and has had 128 walks. His earned run average is 3.74 (152 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.328. Fried has taken the mound for 366 innings and has totaled 374 K's so far in his MLB career.

New York has a total of 107 long balls on the season as well as 364 runs batted in. They have put up 128 two-baggers, while walking 311 times as well as racking up 379 runs. The New York Mets have an OBP of .316 and a team batting average of .236 on the campaign. The Mets have a team slugging % of .386 and they average 3.87 runs per game (28th in MLB). They have struck out on 830 occasions (23rd in MLB) and have totaled 728 base hits.

The New York pitching staff have allowed 368 runs for the season while having a team ERA of 3.49 (320 earned runs conceded). They have conceded 98 HR's and they give up 4.02 runs per 9 innings (7th in MLB). The Mets have a team WHIP of 1.203 in addition to having a FIP of 3.72 as a unit so far this season. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 3.12 (889 strikeouts against 285 walks). They come in at 2nd in baseball as a staff in total hits conceded with 706.

Sitting with 91 save situations, the Mets have 45 holds and 16 blown saves. New York has had relief pitchers enter the game in 45 save opportunities and they have walked away with 29 saves. Their relievers have come in 98 times in high leverage situations in addition to 76 occasions with runners on base. New York relievers have an inherited score rate of 34.2% out of 117 inherited runners. They rank 9th in MLB with a save rate of 64.4%, and they have sent 307 relievers to the hill for the season.

In 7,419 innings on the field, the Mets have a defensive efficiency of 69.7% (14th in the majors). The New York Mets have turned 76 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .984 (12th in baseball). The Mets have 786 assists, 52 errors and have earned a total of 2,473 putouts this year.

In his pro baseball career, Megill has given up 23 base hits while he has totaled 33 strikeouts in 30 innings. Megill (1-0 record in his career) has earned a 2.10 ERA while giving up 6.9 hits per nine innings. He has given up a total of 7 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.100 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.4. His K/BB ratio is 3.30 and he has gone up against 122 batters during his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game ATS?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take New York (-132)

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