Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets Prediction, 7/27/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets

Date: Tuesday, July 27, 2021

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: SNY

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (+105) New York (-132)

Citi Field is the venue where Anthony Banda and the New York Mets (52-44, 1st in NL East) will play the Atlanta Braves (48-50, 3rd in NL East) on Tuesday. The Mets open this game at -132 while the Braves are priced at +105. The over/under has been set at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound are Charlie Morton and Anthony Banda.

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Atlanta owns a slugging percentage of .428 and have been rung up 898 times, while taking a walk on 353 occasions. They have earned 449 runs batted in and 775 base knocks on the season, while their team batting average sits at .240. The Braves have hit 170 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 137 baseballs out of the park. They have earned 468 runs while holding a team OBP of .321. As a team, the Atlanta Braves are notching 4.8 runs per outing, which is 10th in the league.

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The Braves hold a team ERA of 4.15 on the season (15th in baseball), and their staff has struck out 871 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 335 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 4.12 as a unit on the year. They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.60 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.31. Braves pitchers have surrendered 111 long balls and also 431 total runs (13th in baseball).

The Braves relief pitchers have earned a save rate of 57.1% and has entered the game in 98 save situations. The relievers have inherited 132 base runners for the season with 37.1% of those runners ended up scoring. Braves pitchers have entered the game with runners on 87 times and also have had 138 appearances in high leverage situations. The Braves have dispatched 352 relievers to the mound on the season. The relief pitchers have a total of 62 holds over the course of the season (5th in MLB). They have compiled 20 saves this season and have not converted 15 out of their 35 chances to get a save.

The Braves have converted 69.6% of baseballs in play into outs out of 7,668 innings, which ranks them 17th in baseball. The Atlanta Braves are sitting with 2,556 putouts this year, in addition to 875 assists and 47 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .986 which ranks 4th in MLB, and have earned 697 double plays.

Morton has thrown 1,550 innings and has earned 1,406 K's during his career. His earned run average is 4.05 (698 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.320. He has given up 1,488 hits (8.6 hits per 9 innings) with 558 free passes. Morton (102-92 career record) is the owner of a FIP of 3.76 and he has gone up against 6,665 opposing batters during his time in the major leagues.

The New York Mets have an OBP of .316 as well as a team batting average of .236 this season. They have struck out on 821 occasions (23rd in the league) and have accounted for 717 base hits. New York has 107 home runs this year and 363 runs batted in. The Mets hold a slugging percentage of .387 and they have an average of 3.94 runs per game (27th in the league). They have 125 doubles, while getting a free base 307 times as well as notching 378 runs.

The New York pitching staff have conceded 366 runs so far this season and come in with a team ERA of 3.53 (318 earned runs relinquished). They have surrendered 98 dingers and they concede 4.07 runs per 9 innings (10th in the league). The Mets have a team WHIP of 1.202 with a FIP of 3.76 as a staff this season. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.09 (871 strikeouts against 282 free passes). They are currently ranked 1st in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 692.

New York has had relief pitchers enter the game in 44 save chances and they have earned 28 saves. They rank 9th in the league holding a save rate of 63.6%, and they have dispatched 301 relievers to the mound on the season. Their relievers have come in 95 times in high leverage situations in addition to 76 occasions with runners on. New York relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 34.2% of 117 inherited runners. With 89 save situations, the Mets have tallied 44 holds in addition to 16 blown saves.

The New York Mets have twisted 74 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .984 (13th in baseball). The Mets have accrued 774 assists, 52 errors and have earned 2,431 putouts on the campaign. In 7,293 innings on the diamond, the Mets have a defensive efficiency of 69.9% (13th in baseball).

So far in his MLB career, Banda has surrendered 63 base knocks while earning 41 strikeouts in 53 frames. He has given up a total of 37 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.509 and a FIP of 3.9. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.28 and he has faced 240 opposing batters during his MLB career. Banda (5-3 win-loss record in his career) is the owner of a 6.20 earned run average and has allowed 10.6 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game ATS?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take New York (-132)

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