Atlanta Braves vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, 10/9/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs Milwaukee Brewers

Date: Saturday, October 9, 2021

Location: American Family Field in Milwaukee, WI

TV: TBS

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (+110) Milwaukee (-135)

Brandon Woodruff and the Milwaukee Brewers (95-67, 1st in NL Central) host the Atlanta Braves (88-73, 1st in NL East) at American Family Field on Saturday. The Brewers open this matchup at -135 while the Braves are priced at +110. The over/under opens at 7. The starting pitchers will be Max Fried and Brandon Woodruff in game 2 of the NLDS.

Atlanta is slugging .435 and have been rung up 1,453 times, while being walked on 549 occasions. They have 762 runs batted in and 1,307 hits for the year, and their average at the plate sits at .244. The Braves have tallied 269 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 239 baseballs out of the park. They have tallied 790 runs and have an OBP of .319. As a team, the Atlanta Braves are putting up 4.9 runs per contest, which puts them at 7th in the league.

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The Braves have compiled a team earned run average of 3.88 over the course of the season (8th in the league), and their staff has rung up 1,417 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 516 hitters and their FIP is 4.09 as a team for the season. Their K/BB ratio is 2.75 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.24. Braves pitchers have conceded 183 home runs and 656 total runs (6th in the league).

Braves relief pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on base 129 times in addition to having 221 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have notched 113 holds this season (2nd in MLB). The Braves bullpen have earned a save rate of 60.6% and has entered the game in 180 save situations. They have compiled 40 saves this season and have not converted 26 out of their 66 save chances. The relief pitchers have inherited 185 runners for the year with 33.0% of those players earned a run for their team. The Braves have sent 581 relief pitchers to the mound so far this year.

The Atlanta Braves have notched a total of 4,232 putouts on the year, as well as 1,483 assists and 72 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .988 which has them sitting 3rd in MLB, and have a total of 1,126 double plays. The Braves have turned 70.8% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 12,696 innings on the field, which ranks them 5th in MLB.

Fried has thrown 447 frames and is sitting with 447 K's so far in his career. His earned run average is 3.34 (166 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.230. He has allowed 411 base hits (8.3 hits per 9 innings) and has had 139 walks. Fried (40-18 career record) has a FIP of 3.55 and he has gone up against 1,856 opposing batters in the major leagues.

Milwaukee has accumulated 194 home runs on the campaign and 700 RBIs. They have put up 255 doubles, while taking a walk 586 times and scoring 738 runs. The Milwaukee Brewers have earned an OBP of .317 and a team batting average of .233 this season. The Brewers have a SLG% of .396 and they have an average of 4.56 runs per contest (12th in the league). They have been rung up on 1,465 occasions (8th in MLB) and have recorded 1,251 base knocks.

The Milwaukee pitching staff have given up 623 runs for the season and come in with a team ERA of 3.50 (558 earned runs yielded). They have allowed 168 long balls and they relinquish 3.90 runs per 9 innings (3rd in baseball). The Brewers have a WHIP of 1.179 in addition to having a FIP of 3.72 as a team this year. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 3.01 (1,618 strikeouts vs 537 walks). They come in at 2nd in the league as a staff in total hits surrendered with 1,156.

Milwaukee relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 35.5% out of 152 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 188 times in high leverage situations in addition to 105 occasions with runners on. With 155 save situations, the Brewers have recorded 80 holds and 29 blown saves. They rank 18th in MLB holding a save rate of 60.3%, and they have sent 533 relievers onto the field on the campaign. Milwaukee has had relief pitchers enter the contest in 73 save chances and they have tallied 44 saves.

The Milwaukee Brewers have twisted 102 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .984 (22nd in professional baseball). The Brewers have accrued 1,331 assists, 94 errors and have amassed 4,308 putouts this season. In their 12,924 innings played, the Brewers have earned a defensive efficiency of 70.8% (4th in professional baseball).

In his career, Woodruff has conceded 373 base knocks while he has accumulated 524 strikeouts in 460 innings pitched. Woodruff (28-21 career mark) has earned a 3.23 ERA and has surrendered 7.3 hits per 9 innings. He has conceded a total of 165 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.070 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.2. He has a K/BB ratio of 4.40 and he has gone up against 1,854 batters in his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Atlanta (+110)

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