Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 8/18/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins

Date: Wednesday, August 18, 2021

Location: Marlins Park in Miami, FL

TV: Bally Sports Florida

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (-185) Miami (+140)

Marlins Park is the site where Jesus Luzardo and the Miami Marlins (51-68, 4th in NL East) will take on the Atlanta Braves (63-56, 1st in NL East) on Wednesday. The Braves open this game at -185 while the Marlins are coming in at +140. The total opens at 8. The pitchers taking the mound are Charlie Morton and Jesus Luzardo.

As a team, the Atlanta Braves are earning 4.9 runs per game, which is 9th in the league. They have accounted for 587 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .324. The Braves have accounted for 197 doubles as a squad and have knocked 174 balls out of the stadium. They have amassed 563 runs batted in as well as 959 base knocks on the year, while their batting average is sitting at .243. Atlanta has a slugging rate of .433 and have struck out 1,082 times, while drawing a walk on 431 occasions.

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The Braves have compiled a team earned run average of 4.03 on the campaign (13th in baseball), and they have struck out 1,057 batters. They have walked 391 opposing batters and their FIP comes in at 4.08 as a unit on the year. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.70 and the pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.29. Braves pitchers have allowed 132 home runs and also 505 total runs (14th in the league).

Braves pitchers have entered the game with opponents on base 97 times and also have had 165 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have racked up 86 holds on the campaign (1st in MLB). The Braves relief pitchers have earned a save percentage of 60.0% and has entered the game in 132 save situations. They have compiled 27 saves on the season and have blown 18 of their 45 chances to save the game. The relievers have inherited 144 runners on the season and 36.1% of those players ended up crossing the plate. The Braves have dispatched 426 relief pitchers to the mound on the season.

The Braves have turned 69.6% of balls hit into play into outs out of 9,333 innings, ranking them 15th in pro baseball. The Atlanta Braves have a total of 3,111 putouts on the year, as well as 1,062 assists and 53 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .987 which has them ranked 2nd in professional baseball, and have a total of 841 double plays.

Morton has thrown 1,573 innings and has earned 1,431 punch outs so far in his career. Morton (104-93 career win-loss record) sits with a FIP of 3.75 and he has faced 6,754 opposing batters during his time in the major leagues. His ERA is 4.03 (705 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.315. He has given up 1,505 base hits (8.6 hits per 9 innings) and has had 564 walks.

The Marlins hold a slugging percentage of .381 and they are earning 4.04 runs per contest (27th in the league). They have put up 175 doubles, while taking a walk 341 times and putting up 481 runs. Miami has accumulated 121 HRs this year to go along with 457 runs batted in. They have struck out on 1,147 occasions (3rd in MLB) and have recorded 942 hits. The Miami Marlins hold an on-base percentage of .304 and a batting average of .237 on the season.

The Miami pitching staff have given up 500 runs on the season and come in with a team ERA of 3.86 (447 earned runs relinquished). They have surrendered 114 long balls and they relinquish 4.32 runs per 9 innings (12th in the league). The Marlins have a team WHIP of 1.263 with a FIP of 3.96 as a team on the year. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.61 (1,013 strikeouts vs 388 bases on balls). They sit at 11th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 928.

With 106 save situations, the Marlins have earned 60 holds and also 23 blown saves. Miami has called on relievers to step onto the hill in 46 save chances and they have converted 23 saves. Their relievers have stepped onto the hill 133 times in high leverage situations and also on 87 occasions with runners on. Miami relievers have an inherited score percentage of 38.6% of 132 inherited runners. They rank 29th in baseball with a save percentage of 50.0%, and they have sent 442 bullpen pitchers to the hill on the season.

In their 9,378 innings played, the Marlins have earned a defensive efficiency of 69.3% (17th in the majors). The Miami Marlins have turned 106 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .981 (29th in pro baseball). The Marlins have racked up 1,060 assists, 83 errors and have 3,126 putouts this season.

During his MLB career, Luzardo has surrendered 126 base hits while he has earned 128 strikeouts in 123 innings. Luzardo (7-7 career win-loss mark) has a 5.31 earned run average and has conceded 9.2 hits per 9 innings. He has surrendered a total of 73 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.399 and a FIP of 4.9. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.72 and he has faced 539 opposing hitters in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's baseball game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Miami (+140)

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