Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 6/11/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins

Date: Friday, June 11, 2021

Location: Marlins Park in Miami, FL

TV: Bally Sports Florida

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (-111) Miami (-111)

Marlins Park is the venue where Sandy Alcantara and the Miami Marlins (26-35, 5th in NL East) will take on the Atlanta Braves (29-30, 2nd in NL East) on Friday. The odds on this contest have the Braves coming in at -111 and the Marlins are at -111. The over/under opens at 7. The pitchers expected to start will be Charlie Morton and Sandy Alcantara.

As a team, the Atlanta Braves are notching 4.9 runs/g, which has them sitting at 8th in MLB. They have accounted for 287 runs scored and have an on-base percentage of .317. The Braves have earned 94 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 89 balls out of the stadium. They have accounted for 276 RBI's in addition to 458 base knocks on the season, while their average at the plate is at .237. Atlanta is slugging .432 and have been called out on strikes 554 times, while drawing a walk on 208 occasions.

The Braves have a team ERA of 4.36 this season (20th in the league), and their staff has rung up 537 hitters. They have a K/BB ratio of 2.59 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.33. Braves pitchers have surrendered 76 home runs in addition to 287 runs in total (20th in MLB). They have walked 207 opposing batters and their FIP comes in at 4.34 as a squad on the year.

The Braves have sent 219 relief pitchers to the mound over the course of the season. The relief pitchers have inherited 91 base runners this season and 36.3% of those runners crossed home plate. They have compiled 12 saves so far this year and have blown 10 of their 22 chances to save the game. The Braves relief pitchers have a save percentage of 54.5% and stepped onto the hill in 63 save situations. The bullpen have notched 40 holds this season (6th in baseball). Braves relief pitchers have gone to the mound with players on base 58 times in addition to having 95 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Atlanta Braves have amassed 1,560 putouts this season, as well as 541 assists and 36 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .983 which puts them in 17th in professional baseball, and have a total of 421 double plays. The Braves have turned 69.1% of baseballs in play into outs in their 4,680 innings, ranking them 19th in pro baseball.

Morton (98-91 career win-loss record) is the owner of a FIP of 3.78 while he has gone up against 6,465 opposing batters in the majors. He has conceded 1,458 base knocks (8.7 hits per 9 innings) and has 540 free passes. His ERA is 4.09 (682 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.331. Morton has taken the mound for 1,501 frames and has 1,348 strikeouts during his MLB career.

The Miami Marlins have a team on-base percentage of .302 and a team batting average of .233 on the year. They have struck out on 600 instances (4th in baseball) and have tallied 473 hits. Miami has accounted for 55 home runs so far this year to go along with 222 runs batted in. The Marlins have a team SLG% of .370 and they have an average of 3.84 runs per game (28th in the league). They have hit 91 doubles, while walking 179 times as well as racking up 234 runs.

The Marlins hold a team WHIP of 1.184 with a FIP of 3.49 as a staff so far this year. They are currently ranked 11th in the league as a staff in total hits allowed with 459. The Miami pitching staff have allowed 236 runs this season while having a team ERA of 3.53 (210 earned runs conceded). They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.96 (521 strikeouts vs 176 bases on balls). They have yielded 47 long balls and they relinquish 3.96 runs per 9 innings (8th in baseball).

With 54 save situations, the Marlins have 27 holds in addition to 16 blown saves. Miami has called on relievers to enter the game in 27 save opportunities and they have tallied 11 saves. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 72 times in high leverage situations in addition to 42 occasions with base runners. Miami relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 39.3% of 61 inherited base runners. They sit at 29th in MLB with a save percentage of 40.7%, and they have sent 224 relief pitchers to the mound on the season.

The Miami Marlins have twisted 54 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .982 (23rd in baseball). The Marlins have accrued 538 assists, 39 errors and are sitting with 1,609 putouts for the season. In 4,827 innings played, the Marlins have a defensive efficiency of 69.8% (13th in pro baseball).

During his career, Alcantara has conceded 310 base knocks while he has accumulated 304 strikeouts in 360 innings. He has surrendered a total of 145 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.267 and having a FIP of 4.3. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.07 and he has gone up against 1,512 batters in his pro baseball career. Alcantara (14-24 career win-loss mark) has a 3.62 ERA while allowing 7.7 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's baseball game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Miami (-111)

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