Atlanta Braves vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 6/26/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Saturday, June 26, 2021

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: Bally Sports Ohio

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (-105) Cincinnati (-116)

Luis Castillo and the Cincinnati Reds (37-36, 3rd in NL Central) host the Atlanta Braves (35-39, 4th in NL East) at Great American Ball Park on Saturday. The Reds open this matchup at -116 while the Braves are coming in at -105. The total has been set at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound will be Ian Anderson and Luis Castillo.

Atlanta has a slugging rate of .423 and have struck out 693 times, while drawing a walk on 268 occasions. They have recorded 329 RBI's in addition to 561 hits on the season, and their batting average sits at .234. The Braves have recorded 119 two-baggers as a team and have hit 105 baseballs out of the park. They have earned a total of 344 runs scored while having a team on-base percentage of .317. As a squad, the Atlanta Braves are scoring 4.7 runs per game, which has them at 10th in the league.

Braves pitchers have conceded 87 home runs in addition to 349 runs (19th in the league). They have walked 251 players from the other team and their FIP sits at 4.22 as a unit for the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.60 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.32. The Braves hold a team ERA of 4.39 on the season (19th in baseball), and they have rung up 653 hitters.

The Braves relievers have earned a save percentage of 57.1% and has stepped onto the mound in 76 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 112 runners over the course of the season and 41.1% of those runners earned a run for their team. Braves relief pitchers have entered the contest with runners on 71 times in addition to having 113 appearances in high leverage situations. The Braves have sent 271 relievers to the hill on the campaign. The relievers are sitting with 47 holds over the course of the season (5th in baseball). They have earned 16 saves for the season and have not converted 12 of 28 save chances.

The Atlanta Braves have earned 1,926 putouts this year, in addition to 664 assists and 40 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .985 which has them sitting 10th in baseball, and have 526 double plays. The Braves have transformed 69.2% of baseballs in play into outs in their 5,778 innings, which has them sitting 19th in the majors.

Anderson has taken the ball for 108 innings and has accounted for 120 punch outs in his pro baseball career. His ERA is 2.92 (35 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.157. He has given up 83 base hits (6.9 hits per 9 innings) with 42 walks. Anderson (8-5 career mark) has a FIP of 3.03 while he has faced 452 hitters during his time in the majors.

The Reds hold a team SLG% of .421 and they have an average of 5.01 runs per game (4th in the league). They have put up 125 two-baggers, while taking a walk 257 times as well as recording 366 runs. Cincinnati has recorded 97 long balls so far this season and 352 RBIs. They have struck out on 633 occasions (22nd in MLB) and have a total of 618 base hits. The Cincinnati Reds are sitting with an on-base percentage of .330 and a team batting average of .249 over the course of the season.

The Reds are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.375 with a FIP of 4.40 as a staff on the year. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 2.35 (720 strikeouts against 306 bases on balls). They are sitting at 18th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 588. They have given up 95 long balls and they surrender 5.18 runs per 9 innings (25th in baseball). The Cincinnati pitching staff have allowed 374 runs so far this year while holding a team ERA of 4.75 (343 earned runs relinquished).

Cincinnati has had relief pitchers step onto the mound in 30 save chances and they have walked away with 18 saves. They rank 19th in MLB holding a save rate of 60.0%, and they have dispatched 265 bullpen pitchers onto the field so far this year. Their relievers have stepped onto the hill 79 times in high leverage situations and also on 83 occasions with base runners. Cincinnati bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 41.8% out of their 122 inherited base runners. With 58 save situations, the Reds have tallied 26 holds in addition to 12 blown saves.

Out of their 5,856 innings on the field, the Reds have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 69.1% (20th in baseball). The Cincinnati Reds have turned 44 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .982 (22nd in baseball). The Reds have racked up 618 assists, 46 errors and have earned 1,952 putouts over the course of the season.

Castillo (34-43 career win-loss mark) holds a 3.88 earned run average while allowing 7.6 hits per nine innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.00 and he has faced 2,486 batters during his MLB career. He has conceded a total of 257 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.212 and having a FIP of 3.8. In his pro baseball career, Castillo has surrendered 506 base knocks while he has accumulated 652 strikeouts in 596 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Atlanta (-105)

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