Atlanta Braves vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 6/25/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Friday, June 25, 2021

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: Bally Sports Ohio

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (-116) Cincinnati (-105)

Drew Smyly and the Atlanta Braves (35-38, 3rd in NL East) travel to Great American Ball Park on Friday where they'll take on the Cincinnati Reds (36-36, 3rd in NL Central). The Reds open this game at -105 while the Braves are coming in at -116. The total is set at 10. The expected starting pitchers will be Drew Smyly and Vladimir Gutierrez.

As a unit, the Atlanta Braves are recording 4.7 runs per contest, which ranks them 10th in baseball. They have a total of 341 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .318. The Braves have accumulated 119 doubles as a squad and have smacked 103 balls out of the park. They have accounted for 326 RBI's in addition to 554 base knocks this year, and their batting average sits at .234. Atlanta has a slugging rate of .424 and have been called out on strikes 681 times, while taking a walk on 264 occasions.

The Braves hold a team earned run average of 4.37 for the year (19th in baseball), and the staff has struck out 645 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 243 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 4.21 as a team for the year. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.65 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.31. Braves pitchers have conceded 86 home runs and 344 runs (19th in MLB).

The Braves bullpen have a save percentage of 57.1% and has entered the game in 76 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 109 runners so far this season and 41.3% of those runners crossed home plate. Braves pitchers have entered the contest with runners on 69 times and also have had 112 appearances in high leverage situations. The Braves have sent 266 relief pitchers to the hill on the year. The bullpen have earned 47 holds so far this year (5th in baseball). They have 16 saves this year and have missed out on 12 out of their 28 chances to save the game.

The Atlanta Braves have earned a total of 1,902 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 652 assists and 40 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .985 which has them sitting 10th in MLB, and have accumulated 518 double plays. The Braves have converted 69.2% of baseballs in play into outs in their 5,706 innings, which has them ranked 20th in the majors.

Smyly (39-38 win-loss mark in his career) sits with a FIP of 4.27 while he has faced 3,242 opposing batters in the majors. He has conceded 729 base knocks (8.5 hits per nine innings) with 248 walks. His earned run average is 4.21 (361 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.265. Smyly has thrown 772 innings and has earned 768 K's during his career.

The Reds have a team slugging percentage of .420 and they are recording 5.01 runs per game (5th in MLB). They have put up 122 two-baggers, while getting a free base 249 times as well as putting up 361 runs. Cincinnati is sitting with 96 home runs for the season to go along with 347 runs batted in. They have struck out on 625 occasions (22nd in MLB) and have 610 base hits. The Cincinnati Reds have earned a team OBP of .329 and a team batting average of .249 this year.

The Reds have a team WHIP of 1.377 with a FIP of 4.39 as a squad for the year. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 2.34 (708 strikeouts vs 302 free passes). They are currently ranked 17th in the league as a staff in total hits relinquished with 581. They have given up 93 long balls and they yield 5.21 runs per 9 innings (25th in MLB). The Cincinnati pitching staff have given up 371 runs this season and come in with a team ERA of 4.79 (341 earned runs relinquished).

Cincinnati relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 41.8% of 122 inherited base runners. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 77 times in high leverage situations in addition to 83 occasions with base runners. With 55 save situations, the Reds have 24 holds and also 12 blown saves. They are currently ranked 19th in MLB with a save percentage of 58.6%, and they have dispatched 262 relief pitchers to the hill on the campaign. Cincinnati has called on relievers to step onto the mound in 29 save chances and they have walked away with 17 saves.

Out of their 5,775 innings on the diamond, the Reds have a defensive efficiency of 69.0% (21st in MLB). The Cincinnati Reds have twisted 44 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .983 (20th in the majors). The Reds have racked up 616 assists, 45 errors and have amassed 1,925 putouts so far this season.

During his career, Gutierrez has allowed 23 base knocks while he has earned 23 K's in 28 frames. Gutierrez (3-1 career win-loss record) has earned a 3.86 ERA and has conceded 7.4 hits per nine innings. He has given up a total of 12 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.321 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.5. His strikeout to walk ratio is 1.64 and he has gone up against 122 hitters during his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's baseball game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Cincinnati (-105)

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