Atlanta Braves vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, 8/21/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs Baltimore Orioles

Date: Saturday, August 21, 2021

Location: Oriole Park in Baltimore, MD

TV: MASN/MASN2

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (-161) Baltimore (+125)

Matt Harvey and the Baltimore Orioles (38-82, 5th in AL East) host the Atlanta Braves (65-56, 1st in NL East) at Oriole Park on Saturday. The moneyline on this contest has the Braves coming in at -161 and the Orioles are at +125. The over/under has been set at 10.5. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Drew Smyly and Matt Harvey.

As a squad, the Atlanta Braves are putting up 5.0 runs per outing, which is 8th in the league. They have accumulated 600 runs scored and have an OBP of .324. The Braves have tallied 199 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 176 baseballs out of the stadium. They have earned 576 RBI's and 975 hits on the season, while their team batting average sits at .243. Atlanta owns a slugging percentage of .432 and have been called out on strikes 1,100 times, while drawing a walk on 444 occasions.

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The Braves hold a team ERA of 4.04 for the year (13th in baseball), and they have struck out 1,078 batters. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.72 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.29. Braves pitchers have conceded 133 home runs and also 514 runs in total (12th in MLB). They have walked 396 opposing batters and their FIP comes in at 4.05 as a team on the season.

Braves pitchers have stepped onto the hill with opponents on base 99 times and also have had 169 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have racked up 87 holds this year (1st in baseball). The Braves relief pitchers have earned a save rate of 60.9% and stepped onto the hill in 134 save situations. They have recorded 28 saves for the season and have blown 18 of their 46 chances to save the game. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 147 base runners for the season with 36.1% of those players crossed home plate. The Braves have dispatched 434 relievers to the hill on the season.

The Braves have transformed 69.6% of balls in play into outs out of their 9,495 innings, which has them ranked 15th in pro baseball. The Atlanta Braves have earned 3,165 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 1,079 assists and 53 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .988 which has them sitting 2nd in MLB, and they have twisted 854 double plays.

Smyly has thrown 816 innings and has totaled 810 strikeouts in his MLB career. His earned run average is 4.18 (379 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.273. He has allowed 777 base knocks (8.6 hits per 9 innings) with 263 walks. Smyly (43-38 career record) holds a FIP of 4.25 while he has faced 3,432 batters during his time in the majors.

Baltimore has recorded 141 long balls for the season to go along with 460 RBIs. They have put up 201 doubles, while getting a free base 326 times and notching 481 runs. The Baltimore Orioles hold an OBP of .301 in addition to a team batting average of .238 for the season. The Orioles have a SLG% of .399 and they are earning 4.01 runs per outing (27th in MLB). They have struck out on 1,050 occasions (16th in the league) and have notched a total of 954 hits.

The Baltimore pitching staff have allowed 708 runs over the course of the season and come in with a team ERA of 5.85 (672 earned runs surrendered). They have given up 184 homers and they relinquish 6.16 runs per 9 innings (30th in the league). The Orioles have a WHIP of 1.506 and are the owners of a FIP of 5.02 as a squad over the course of the season. Their K/BB ratio sits at 2.24 (966 strikeouts against 431 free passes). They sit at 30th in MLB as a staff in total hits surrendered with 1,126.

With 80 save situations, the Orioles have earned 44 holds and 17 blown saves. Baltimore has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the contest in 35 save opportunities and they have tallied 18 saves. Their relievers have stepped onto the hill 114 times in high leverage situations in addition to 153 occasions with runners on base. Baltimore bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 41.0% out of 249 inherited runners. They are currently ranked 28th in the league holding a save rate of 51.4%, and they have dispatched 412 relievers onto the diamond for the season.

Out of their 9,309 innings on the diamond, the Orioles hold a defensive efficiency of 67.4% (29th in MLB). The Baltimore Orioles have turned 72 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .986 (8th in the majors). The Orioles have accrued 977 assists, 58 errors and have earned a total of 3,103 putouts this season.

In his MLB career, Harvey has given up 943 hits and he has 856 K's in 946 innings pitched. Harvey (50-64 career win-loss record) has earned a 4.38 earned run average and has allowed 9.0 hits per nine innings. He has given up a total of 461 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.281 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.9. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.17 and he has gone up against 4,012 hitters during his MLB career.

So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Baltimore (+125) and under 10.5 runs

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