Atlanta Braves vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction, 9/23/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs Arizona Diamondbacks

Date: Thursday, September 23, 2021

Location: Chase Field in Phoenix, AZ

TV: Bally Sports Arizona

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (-185) Arizona (+140)

Chase Field is the site where Madison Bumgarner and the Arizona Diamondbacks (48-103, 5th in NL West) will play the Atlanta Braves (79-70, 1st in NL East) on Thursday. The line on this contest has the Braves priced at -185 and the Diamondbacks are at +140. The over/under opens at 9. The pitchers who are expected to start are Charlie Morton and Madison Bumgarner.

The Braves have tallied 245 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 224 balls out of the stadium. Atlanta has a slugging rate of .435 and have struck out 1,339 times, while taking a walk on 510 occasions. As a unit, the Atlanta Braves are recording 4.9 runs per outing, which is 8th in MLB. They have tallied 698 RBI's and 1,208 hits so far this season, while their team batting average is sitting at .243. They have a total of 726 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .319.

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The Braves hold a team ERA of 3.93 for the season (12th in MLB), and their staff has rung up 1,321 batters. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.73 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.26. Braves pitchers have allowed 172 home runs in addition to 616 runs in total (6th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 484 opposing batters and their FIP comes in at 4.11 as a squad so far this year.

Braves pitchers have gone to the mound with opponents on base 120 times and also have had 208 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have tallied 105 holds over the course of the season (2nd in MLB). The Braves relievers have accumulated a save rate of 59.3% and has stepped onto the mound in 165 save situations. They have tallied 35 saves on the season and have missed out on 24 out of their 59 save chances. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 174 runners on the year and 33.3% of those players ended up crossing the plate. The Braves have sent 538 relievers to the hill so far this year.

The Braves have turned 70.5% of baseballs in play into outs out of 11,742 innings on the field, which has them sitting 6th in pro baseball. The Atlanta Braves have a total of 3,914 putouts thus far, as well as 1,369 assists and 67 errors. Their fielding rate is holding at .987 which ranks 3rd in MLB, and they have twisted 1,052 double plays.

Morton (106-95 career mark) has earned a FIP of 3.74 while facing 6,897 opposing batters during his time in the major leagues. He has given up 1,529 hits (8.6 hits per nine innings) and has had 572 free passes. His earned run average is 4.02 (719 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.306. Morton has taken the hill for 1,609 frames and has 1,471 K's so far in his MLB career.

The Arizona Diamondbacks have an on-base percentage of .309 in addition to a team batting average of .235 for the season. They have been called out on strikes on 1,370 occasions (8th in the league) and have totaled 1,202 base hits. Arizona has accumulated 134 home runs so far this year to go along with 598 runs batted in. The Diamondbacks have a team slugging percentage of .380 and they score 4.18 runs per contest (25th in baseball). They have recorded 284 doubles, while taking a walk 506 times as well as scoring 631 runs.

The Diamondbacks are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.438 and have a FIP of 4.88 as a pitching staff this year. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.23 (1,149 strikeouts against 515 walks). They are sitting at 29th in baseball as a staff in total hits conceded with 1,385. They have yielded 217 long balls and they concede 5.75 runs per 9 innings (29th in the league). The Arizona pitching staff have conceded 844 runs this year while having a team ERA of 5.16 (758 earned runs yielded).

Sitting with 114 save situations, the Diamondbacks have compiled 64 holds and also 27 blown saves. Arizona has called on relief pitchers to take the mound in 48 save opportunities and they have tallied 21 saves. Their relief pitchers have come in 142 times in high leverage situations in addition to 138 occasions with runners on base. Arizona relievers hold an inherited score rate of 32.5% out of 200 inherited runners. They rank 30th in the league holding a save rate of 43.8%, and they have sent 523 relievers onto the field so far this year.

The Arizona Diamondbacks have turned 104 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .982 (27th in MLB). The Diamondbacks have recorded 1,285 assists, 96 errors and have 3,963 putouts for the year. In 11,889 innings played, the Diamondbacks are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 68.4% (27th in MLB).

Bumgarner (127-106 career mark) has earned a 3.29 earned run average while conceding 8.0 hits per 9 innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 4.06 and he has faced 8,266 opposing hitters during his pro baseball career. He has allowed 741 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.121 and having a FIP of 3.5. During his career, Bumgarner has given up 1,790 hits while earning 1,939 strikeouts in 2,024 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Atlanta (-185)

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