Arizona Diamondbacks vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction, 6/28/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Arizona Diamondbacks vs St. Louis Cardinals

Date: Monday, June 28, 2021

Location: Busch Stadium in St. Louis, MO

TV: Bally Sports Midwest

Odds/Point Spread: Arizona (+130) St. Louis (-172)

Busch Stadium is the site where John Gant and the St. Louis Cardinals (37-40, 4th in NL Central) will play the Arizona Diamondbacks (22-56, 5th in NL West) on Monday. The Diamondbacks open this contest at +130 while the Cardinals are coming in at -172. The over/under opens at 8.5. The expected starting pitchers are Caleb Smith and John Gant.

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As a unit, the Arizona Diamondbacks are putting up 4.2 runs per game, which has them at 18th in the league. They have a total of 331 runs while holding a team OBP of .306. The Diamondbacks have recorded 135 doubles as a squad and have hit 70 balls out of the stadium. They have accounted for 312 runs batted in in addition to 620 base knocks so far this year, and their team batting average is sitting at .233. Arizona is slugging .374 and have been called out on strikes 707 times, while drawing a walk on 258 occasions.

The Diamondbacks are sitting with a team earned run average of 5.25 so far this season (29th in the league), and the staff has struck out 615 hitters. They have walked 269 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 4.82 as a unit on the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.29 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.46. Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed 111 home runs and 437 runs in total (30th in MLB).

Diamondbacks relief pitchers have entered the game with runners on base 65 times in addition to having 60 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers are sitting with 25 holds for the season (28th in baseball). The Diamondbacks relief pitchers have recorded a save percentage of 31.6% and has stepped onto the mound in 44 save situations. They have accumulated 6 saves for the year and have blown 13 of 19 chances to get a save. The relievers have inherited 95 runners over the course of the season and 30.5% of those players ended up crossing the plate. The Diamondbacks have dispatched 271 relievers to the hill on the year.

The Diamondbacks have converted 67.9% of balls in play into outs out of their 5,946 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting 25th in pro baseball. The Arizona Diamondbacks have 1,982 putouts on the year, as well as 668 assists and 48 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .982 which is 23rd in MLB, and they have twisted 481 double plays.

Smith (17-21 career record) sits with a FIP of 4.71 and he has gone up against 1,374 hitters in the major leagues. He has allowed 263 base hits (7.3 hits per 9 innings) with 145 free passes. His ERA is 4.27 (153 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.264. Smith has taken the ball for 322 frames and has 356 strikeouts in his pro baseball career.

St. Louis is sitting with 82 HRs over the course of the season as well as 285 runs batted in. They have hit 114 doubles, while getting a free base 233 times and scoring 300 runs. The St. Louis Cardinals have tallied an on-base percentage of .299 as well as a batting average of .225 on the season. The Cardinals hold a team SLG% of .375 and they are scoring 3.90 runs per contest (27th in the league). They have been called out on strikes on 633 occasions (24th in MLB) and have earned 566 base hits.

The Cardinals are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.361 and have a FIP of 4.35 as a pitching staff on the year. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 1.83 (607 strikeouts vs 332 walks). They are sitting at 13th in baseball as a staff in total hits given up with 576. They have surrendered 66 home runs and they surrender 4.68 runs per 9 innings (18th in MLB). The St. Louis pitching staff have conceded 347 runs so far this year while holding an ERA of 4.28 (317 earned runs conceded).

Sitting with 63 save situations, the Cardinals have accrued 33 holds and 6 blown saves. St. Louis has had relief pitchers step onto the mound in 28 save chances and they have earned 22 saves. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 67 times in high leverage situations and on 81 occasions with runners on. St. Louis bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 44.3% out of their 140 inherited runners. They are currently ranked 3rd in the league holding a save percentage of 78.6%, and they have sent 254 bullpen pitchers onto the field on the year.

Out of their 5,841 innings on the field, the Cardinals have earned a efficiency on defense of 70.8% (10th in baseball). The St. Louis Cardinals have turned 57 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .983 (21st in professional baseball). The Cardinals have 662 assists, 46 errors and have accounted for 1,947 putouts this season.

During his MLB career, Gant has given up 279 hits while earning 283 punch outs in 327 innings. He has surrendered a total of 138 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.393 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.3. His strikeout to walk ratio is 1.60 and he has gone up against 1,408 hitters during his career. Gant (23-21 career mark) holds a 3.79 earned run average and has allowed 7.7 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Arizona (+130)

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