Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres Prediction, 4/4/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres

Date: Sunday, April 4, 2021

Location: Petco Park in San Diego, CA

TV: Bally Sports San Diego

Odds/Point Spread: Arizona (+150) San Diego (-227)

Taylor Widener and the Arizona Diamondbacks (25-35, 5th in NL West last year) go to Petco Park on Sunday where they'll meet the San Diego Padres (37-23, 2nd in NL West last season). The moneyline on this matchup has the Diamondbacks priced at +150 and the Padres are at -227. The over/under is set at 11.5. The expected starting pitchers are Taylor Widener and Chris Paddack.

As a squad, the Arizona Diamondbacks put up 4.5 runs per game last year, which had them at 18th in the league. They had a total of 269 runs scored while having a team on-base percentage of .312. The Diamondbacks hit 101 two-baggers as a team and knocked 58 baseballs out of the park. They accounted for 255 runs batted in in addition to 482 base knocks in the previous season, while their batting average sat at .241. Arizona was slugging .391 and struck out 461 times, while being walked on 181 occasions.

Diamondbacks pitchers yielded 93 home runs and 295 runs (14th in baseball). They walked 235 players from the other team and their FIP was 4.99 as a team over the course of the prior season. They had a K/BB ratio of 2.23 and the pitching staff held a WHIP of 1.43. The Diamondbacks finished with a team ERA of 4.85 last year (20th in MLB), and their staff struck out 524 hitters. The Diamondbacks dispatched 200 relief pitchers to the hill during the previous year. The relief pitchers inherited 96 runners in the prior season and 31.3% of them ended up crossing the plate. They accumulated 13 saves over the course of the prior season and did not convert 9 of their 22 save chances. The Diamondbacks relief pitchers had a save percentage of 59.1% and stepped onto the mound in 44 save situations. The relievers racked up 21 holds last season (26th in baseball). Diamondbacks relief pitchers entered the contest with runners on in 62 contests in addition to 53 games with high leverage.

Widener was the owner of a FIP of 6.49 and his ERA+ was 103. He conceded 10 earned runs last year and had a strikeout to walk ratio of 1.8. He allowed 6.3 hits per 9 innings and his WHIP was 1.3. His earned run average was 4.50 and he fanned 22 batters. Taylor Widener surrendered 14 base knocks in 20 innings he pitched last season. 

The San Diego Padres compiled an OBP of .333 and a batting average of .257 over the course of last season. They struck out on 479 instances (25th in the league) and tallied 506 base hits. San Diego compiled 95 home runs during the previous year to go along with 312 runs batted in. The Padres had a team SLG% of .466 and they averaged 5.42 runs per game (3rd in MLB). They recorded 103 doubles, while walking 204 times and notching 325 runs.

The San Diego pitching staff surrendered 241 runs in the previous season while having an ERA of 3.86 (223 earned runs surrendered). They allowed 70 homers and they surrendered 4.17 runs per 9 innings (7th in baseball). The Padres had a team WHIP of 1.204 and had a FIP of 3.88 as a unit last year. They earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.32 (565 strikeouts vs 170 bases on balls). They ranked 20th in the league as a staff in total hits allowed with 456. Finishing with 24 save opportunities, the Padres tallied 42 holds and 11 blown saves. San Diego called on relievers to step onto the hill in 67 save situations and they earned 13 saves. Their relief pitchers stepped onto the mound in 61 games with high leverage and also 63 outings with runners on. San Diego relievers held an inherited score percentage of 26.0% of 93 inherited runners. They were ranked 22nd in the league with a save percentage of 54.2%, and they sent 218 relief pitchers onto the diamond last season.

Paddack earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 4.8 with 58 total punch outs and an ERA+ of 88. His WHIP was at 1.22 and he held a FIP of 5.02 last season. He took the hill for 59.0 innings last season while conceding 9.2 hits per 9 innings. Paddack allowed 60 total base hits while he conceded 31 ER's (4.73 ERA). Paddack (13-12 career mark) is the owner of a 3.74 ERA while giving up 7.5 hits per 9 innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 4.91 and he has gone up against 813 opposing batters thus far in his career. He has given up a total of 83 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.052 and having a FIP of 4.3. So far in his career, Paddack has surrendered 167 base hits while tallying 211 punch outs in 199 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's baseball game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Arizona (+150)

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