Arizona Diamondbacks vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, 6/5/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Milwaukee Brewers

Date: Saturday, June 5, 2021

Location: American Family Field in Milwaukee, WI

TV: Bally Sports Wisconsin

Odds/Point Spread: Arizona (+170) Milwaukee (-227)

Merrill Kelly and the Arizona Diamondbacks (20-38, 5th in NL West) travel to American Family Field on Saturday where they'll take on the Milwaukee Brewers (30-26, 3rd in NL Central). The Brewers open this matchup at -227 while the Diamondbacks are priced at +170. The O/U opens at 7. The expected starting pitchers will be Merrill Kelly and Adrian Houser.

Arizona owns a slugging percentage of .390 and have been called out on strikes 523 times, while drawing a walk on 200 occasions. They have accrued 240 RBI's as well as 471 hits on the season, and their average at the plate is at .237. The Diamondbacks have accrued 104 two-baggers as a team and have hit 57 balls out of the park. They are sitting with 255 runs scored and hold an on-base percentage of .313. As a squad, the Arizona Diamondbacks are notching 4.4 runs/g, which puts them at 14th in MLB.

The Diamondbacks have a team ERA of 4.98 this season (28th in the league), and the staff has rung up 461 batters. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.51 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.40. Diamondbacks pitchers have given up 80 home runs and 311 runs in total (30th in the league). They have walked 184 opposing batters and their FIP sits at 4.60 as a unit for the season.

The Diamondbacks bullpen have a save percentage of 35.3% and has entered the game in 39 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 58 base runners on the year and 25.9% of those players crossed home plate. Diamondbacks relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on 46 times in addition to having 48 appearances in high leverage situations. The Diamondbacks have sent 198 relief pitchers to the mound on the season. The relief pitchers have a total of 22 holds over the course of the season (25th in MLB). They have accumulated 6 saves this year and have blown 11 of 17 save chances.

The Diamondbacks have turned 68.1% of balls hit into play into outs out of 4,560 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting 26th in professional baseball. The Arizona Diamondbacks have a tally of 1,520 putouts so far this season, as well as 511 assists and 38 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .982 which has them sitting 25th in professional baseball, and they have turned 369 double plays.

Kelly has taken the hill for 279 innings and has tallied 245 K's during his career. His ERA is 4.35 (135 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.287. He has given up 279 base hits (9.0 hits per nine innings) and has had 80 free passes. Kelly (18-22 career mark) has earned a FIP of 4.34 while he has faced 1,177 batters in the major leagues.

The Brewers hold a slugging % of .367 and they score 3.88 runs per contest (22nd in baseball). They have 70 doubles, while taking a walk 194 times and putting up 217 runs. Milwaukee has compiled 68 home runs this year to go along with 209 RBIs. They have been called out on strikes on 557 instances (3rd in baseball) and have totaled 387 hits. The Milwaukee Brewers hold a team on-base percentage of .297 and a team batting average of .211 so far this year.

The Brewers hold a team WHIP of 1.170 with a FIP of 3.89 as a pitching staff on the year. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 3.04 (577 strikeouts against 190 walks). They rank 6th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 395. They have conceded 67 homers and they allow 4.12 runs per 9 innings (10th in the league). The Milwaukee pitching staff have yielded 229 runs so far this year while having an ERA of 3.74 (208 earned runs surrendered).

Milwaukee has called on relievers to step onto the mound in 25 save opportunities and they have come away with 15 saves. They are ranked 18th in baseball with a save rate of 60.0%, and they have sent 177 bullpen pitchers to the mound for the year. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 72 times in high leverage situations and also on 37 occasions with runners on. Milwaukee bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 40.4% out of their 47 inherited runners. With 52 save situations, the Brewers have amassed 27 holds in addition to 10 blown saves.

The Milwaukee Brewers have turned 34 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .982 (24th in professional baseball). The Brewers have 450 assists, 36 errors and have notched a total of 1,500 putouts this year. In 4,500 innings on the field, the Brewers hold a defensive efficiency of 71.3% (8th in baseball).

So far in his career, Houser has surrendered 225 base hits while tallying 217 strikeouts in 236 innings pitched. He has allowed 107 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.331 and a FIP of 4.3. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.41 and he has gone up against 1,001 hitters during his pro baseball career. Houser (10-18 record in his career) has earned a 4.07 ERA and has allowed 8.6 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Arizona (+170)

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