Arizona Diamondbacks vs Chicago Cubs Prediction, 7/24/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Chicago Cubs
Date: Saturday, July 24, 2021
Location: Wrigley Field in Chicago, IL
TV: Marquee Sports Network
Odds/Point Spread: Arizona (+125) Chicago (-156)
Wrigley Field is the site where Alec Mills and the Chicago Cubs (47-50, 4th in NL Central) will take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (30-68, 5th in NL West) on Saturday. The line on this game has the Diamondbacks coming in at +125 and the Cubs are at -156. The over/under has been set at 9. The starting pitchers are Merrill Kelly and Alec Mills.
Arizona is slugging .379 and have struck out 884 times, while drawing a walk on 336 occasions. They have compiled 387 runs batted in as well as 778 base knocks over the course of the season, while their team batting average comes in at .234. The Diamondbacks have accrued 175 doubles as a unit and have hit 88 balls out of the stadium. They have notched a total of 411 runs scored and have an on-base percentage of .311. As a unit, the Arizona Diamondbacks are scoring 4.2 runs per outing, which has them sitting at 20th in the league.
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Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed 141 home runs and also 556 total runs (30th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 325 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 4.85 as a squad so far this year. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.34 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.46. The Diamondbacks have an earned run average of 5.29 on the season (29th in the league), and their staff has struck out 762 batters.
The Diamondbacks have sent 340 relievers to the mound on the campaign. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 124 base runners for the season with 29.8% of them ended up crossing the plate. They have compiled 12 saves over the course of the season and have blown 19 out of their 31 save chances. The Diamondbacks relievers have recorded a save percentage of 38.7% and stepped onto the hill in 74 save situations. The relievers have recorded 42 holds so far this season (20th in baseball). Diamondbacks pitchers have entered the game with opponents on base 82 times in addition to having 87 appearances in high leverage situations.
The Diamondbacks have converted 67.6% of baseballs in play into outs in their 7,668 innings on the field, which has them ranked 27th in the majors. The Arizona Diamondbacks are sitting with 2,556 putouts so far this season, in addition to 863 assists and 61 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .982 which ranks 24th in professional baseball, and they have twisted 601 double plays.
Kelly has pitched in 331 innings and has totaled 286 strikeouts in his career. Kelly (22-23 career win-loss record) has earned a FIP of 4.24 while he has faced 1,390 hitters in the majors. His earned run average is 4.26 (157 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.251. He has surrendered 326 base hits (8.8 hits per nine innings) with 89 walks.
The Cubs have a SLG% of .390 and they are earning 4.18 runs per outing (22nd in MLB). They have 128 two-baggers, while taking a walk 305 times and scoring 405 runs. Chicago has knocked in 119 home runs this season to go along with 387 runs batted in. They have struck out on 934 occasions (5th in the league) and have 708 hits. The Chicago Cubs are sitting with a team OBP of .305 and a batting average of .225 over the course of the season.
The Cubs have a WHIP of 1.321 in addition to having a FIP of 4.57 as a pitching staff so far this year. They are sitting at 15th in the league as a staff in total hits conceded with 753. The Chicago pitching staff have relinquished 431 runs this season while having an ERA of 4.09 (386 earned runs relinquished). They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.31 (854 strikeouts against 369 walks). They have surrendered 125 dingers and they relinquish 4.57 runs per 9 innings (15th in the league).
Chicago has had bullpen pitchers step onto the mound in 34 save opportunities and they have tallied 25 saves. They sit at 2nd in baseball with a save rate of 73.5%, and they have dispatched 356 bullpen pitchers to the mound so far this year. Their relievers have taken the field 105 times in high leverage situations in addition to 99 occasions with runners on base. Chicago relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 29.3% out of their 157 inherited base runners. With 94 save situations, the Cubs have accumulated 59 holds and also 9 blown saves.
The Chicago Cubs have turned 80 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .984 (11th in MLB). The Cubs have 920 assists, 55 errors and have a tally of 2,548 putouts on the season. In their 7,644 innings played, the Cubs hold a efficiency on defense of 70.6% (8th in the majors).
During his pro baseball career, Mills has allowed 155 base knocks while earning 161 strikeouts in 172 innings. Mills (10-9 career record) has a 4.29 ERA while conceding 8.1 hits per nine innings. He has conceded 82 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.250 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.4. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.68 and he has gone up against 726 opposing hitters in his career.
So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?
Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Arizona (+125) and over 0 runs
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Additional Resources:
Chicago Cubs - Twitter
Arizona Diamondbacks - Twitter