Washington Nationals vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 9/5/2020 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Washington Nationals vs Atlanta Braves

Date: Saturday, September 5, 2020

Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA

TV: MAS2/FSSO

Odds/Point Spread: Nationals (+224) Braves (-250)

Trea Turner and the Washington Nationals (12-23, 5th in NL East) head to Truist Park on Saturday where they'll meet the Atlanta Braves (22-14, 1st in NL East). The line on this game has the Nationals coming in at +224 and the Braves are at -250. The over/under opens at 9. The expected starting pitchers will be Erick Fedde and Max Fried.

Key Washington Nationals Injuries

9/4/2020 Adam Eaton RF Knee Probable for Sep 4
9/4/2020 Juan Soto LF Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 5
9/2/2020 Javy Guerra RP Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 12
8/29/2020 Starlin Castro 2B Wrist Out for the season
8/24/2020 Seth Romero RP Hand Out for the season
8/22/2020 Stephen Strasburg SP Hand Out for the season
8/18/2020 Sam Freeman RP Elbow Out for the season
8/13/2020 Roenis Elias RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
6/29/2020 Adrian Sanchez 3B Achilles Out for the season

Key Atlanta Braves Injuries

9/4/2020 Jacob Webb RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 18
9/4/2020 Phil Pfeifer RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 11
9/4/2020 Ozzie Albies 2B Wrist Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
8/28/2020 Cole Hamels SP Triceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
8/27/2020 Mike Soroka SP Achilles Out for the season
6/26/2020 Jeremy Walker RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 16

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Nationals have a 12-23 overall record this season. Fedde has taken the hill for 172 innings and has accounted for 112 strikeouts so far in his pro baseball career. His earned run average is 5.28 (101 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.534. He has given up 190 base knocks (9.9 hits per nine innings) and has 74 free passes. Fedde (7-10 win-loss record in his career) has earned a FIP of 5.45 and he has gone up against 753 hitters in the major leagues. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.30 and they have given up 126 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .214 against the bullpen and they've struck out 140 hitters and walked 65 batters. As a team, Washington allows 9.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.7 batters per nine innings. They are 22nd in the league in team earned run average at 4.96. The Nationals pitchers collectively have given up 330 base hits and 165 earned runs. They have allowed 52 home runs this season, ranking them 8th in the league. Washington as a pitching staff has walked 120 batters and struck out 291. They have walked 3.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.50 and their FIP as a unit is 4.76.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team Washington is hitting .262, good for 6th in the league. The Nationals hold a .439 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .330, which is good for 10th in baseball. They rank 7th in MLB with 8.8 hits per game. Trea Turner is hitting .366 with an on-base percentage of .420. He has 52 hits this season in 142 at bats with 21 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .634 and an OPS+ of 175. Victor Robles is hitting .240 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .310. He has totaled 24 hits and he has driven in 11 men in 100 at bats. His OPS+ is 73 while his slugging percentage is at .340. The Nationals have 308 hits, including 58 doubles and 46 home runs. Washington has walked 106 times so far this season and they have struck out 268 times as a unit. They have left 238 men on base and have a team OPS of .769. They score 4.57 runs per contest and have scored a total of 160 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Atlanta has a 22-14 overall mark this year. During his career, Fried has given up 261 base knocks while accumulating 282 strikeouts in 270 innings. He has allowed 104 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.311 and having a FIP of 3.6. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.03 and he has gone up against 1,139 opposing batters so far in his MLB career. Fried (25-11 career record) holds a 3.47 ERA and has allowed 8.7 hits per 9 innings. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.11 and they have given up 131 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .201 against the Braves bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 164 batters and walked 53 opposing hitters. As a team, Atlanta allows 8.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.7 batters per nine innings. They are 12th in the league in team earned run average at 4.3. The Braves pitchers as a team have surrendered 277 base knocks and 148 earned runs this season. They have given up 42 home runs this year, which ranks 25th in Major League Baseball. Atlanta as a staff has walked 126 hitters and struck out 300 batters. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.30 while their FIP as a staff is 4.40.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .263, good for 5th in the league. The Braves hold a .465 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .330, which is good for 11th in baseball. They rank 6th in MLB with 9.0 hits per contest. Freddie Freeman comes into this matchup batting .317 with an OBP of .438. He has 40 hits this year along with 22 RBI in 126 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .540 with an OPS+ of 156. Dansby Swanson is hitting .295 this season and he has an OBP of .335. He has collected 43 hits in 146 at bats while driving in 21 runs. He has an OPS+ of 110 and a slugging percentage of .473. The Braves as a unit have 323 base hits, including 79 doubles and 55 homers. Atlanta has walked 117 times this year and they have struck out on 349 occasions. They have had 241 men left on base and have an OPS of .795. They have scored 5.33 runs per game and totaled 192 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Nationals/Braves MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Braves (-250)

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